@Article{cju.2026.070210,
AUTHOR = {Kemal Ertaş, Ali Yasin Özercan},
TITLE = {Comparative predictive value of 3D stone volume versus maximal diameter for retrograde intrarenal surgery success: a prospective clinical analysis},
JOURNAL = {Canadian Journal of Urology},
VOLUME = {},
YEAR = {},
NUMBER = {},
PAGES = {{pages}},
URL = {http://www.techscience.com/CJU/online/detail/27424},
ISSN = {1488-5581},
ABSTRACT = { <b>Objective:</b> Retrograde intrarenal surgery (RIRS) is a widely adopted minimally invasive procedure for renal stones, yet accurately predicting its success remains challenging. This study aimed to evaluate the predictive value of three-dimensional (3D) stone volume compared with traditional maximal stone diameter for RIRS success and complications. <b>Methods:</b> This prospective single-center study included 122 patients undergoing RIRS for renal calculi. Preoperative non-contrast CT scans were used to measure stone volume using the ellipsoid formula. Surgical outcomes included stone-free rate (SFR; residual fragments ≤2 mm) and complications (Clavien-Dindo classification). Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, DeLong’s test, and multivariable logistic regression were performed. Non-parametric tests were used for skewed data. <b>Results:</b> Median stone size was 16 mm (IQR 12–22) and median stone volume was 2357 mm³ (IQR 628–5124). The stone-free rate was 66.4% (81/122). Successful cases had significantly smaller median stone size [14 mm (IQR 11–18) <i>vs</i>. 21 mm (IQR 16–28), <i>p</i> = 0.002] and lower median stone volume [1624 mm³ (IQR 471–3452) <i>vs</i>. 6123 mm³ (IQR 2987–12456), <i>p</i> < 0.001]. ROC analysis showed optimal cutoffs of 19 mm for size (AUC 0.788, 95% CI 0.706–0.871) and 2357.55 mm³ for volume (AUC 0.782, 95% CI 0.699–0.865), with no significant difference between curves (DeLong’s test <i>p</i> = 0.812). Multivariable logistic regression confirmed stone volume as an independent predictor (OR 0.9997 per mm³, 95% CI 0.9995–0.9999, <i>p</i> = 0.002), while stone size was not (<i>p</i> = 0.128). Complication rates were low (fever 4.1%, sepsis 0.8%). <b>Conclusion:</b> Three-dimensional stone volume and maximal diameter demonstrated comparable overall predictive performance for RIRS success. However, stone volume provided independent prognostic value and higher sensitivity at the optimal cutoff (≈2358 mm³), supporting its use for improved preoperative planning and risk stratification.},
DOI = {10.32604/cju.2026.070210}
}