TY  - EJOU
AU  - Wu, Wei 
AU  - Zhang, Weigong 
AU  - Wang, Dong 
AU  - Zhu, Lydia 
AU  - Song, Xiang 

TI  - Forecasting Future Trajectories with an Improved Transformer Network
T2  - Computers, Materials \& Continua

PY  - 2023
VL  - 74
IS  - 2
SN  - 1546-2226

AB  - An increase in car ownership brings convenience to people’s life. However, it also leads to frequent traffic accidents. Precisely forecasting surrounding agents’ future trajectories could effectively decrease vehicle-vehicle and vehicle-pedestrian collisions. Long-short-term memory (LSTM) network is often used for vehicle trajectory prediction, but it has some shortages such as gradient explosion and low efficiency. A trajectory prediction method based on an improved Transformer network is proposed to forecast agents’ future trajectories in a complex traffic environment. It realizes the transformation from sequential step processing of LSTM to parallel processing of Transformer based on attention mechanism. To perform trajectory prediction more efficiently, a probabilistic sparse self-attention mechanism is introduced to reduce attention complexity by reducing the number of queried values in the attention mechanism. Activate or not (ACON) activation function is adopted to select whether to activate or not, hence improving model flexibility. The proposed method is evaluated on the publicly available benchmarks next-generation simulation (NGSIM) and ETH/UCY. The experimental results indicate that the proposed method can accurately and efficiently predict agents’ trajectories.
KW  - Trajectory prediction; Transformer; attention mechanism; ACON activation; intelligent perception

DO  - 10.32604/cmc.2023.029787