TY - EJOU AU - Guo, Boyun TI - Mathematical Modeling of Hydraulic Fracture Population in Shale Oil/Gas Reservoirs T2 - Energy Engineering PY - VL - IS - SN - 1546-0118 AB - It is generally believed that the productivity of oil/gas wells in shale reservoirs increases with the population of hydraulic fractures in the stimulated reservoir volume. The objective of this work is to identify the dominant factors affecting hydraulic fracture population in shale oil/gas reservoirs. A semi-analytical model was first developed to simulate the sequential initiation and simultaneous propagation of hydraulic fractures during fracturing shale gas/oil reservoirs. The semi-analytical model was then coded in the FracPropag computer program for model validation and quick analyses. The sequential initiation and simultaneous propagation of hydraulic fractures predicted by FracPropag were compared with those inferred from the bottom-hole pressure curve for a real-case operation. A sensitivity study was performed with FracProp using data from the Tuscaloosa Marine Shale to identify key factors affecting the growing population of hydraulic fractures during hydraulic fracturing. The sequential initiation and simultaneous propagation of hydraulic fractures predicted by FracPropag were found to be remarkably consistent with those interpreted from the bottom-hole pressure curve for a real-case operation. A sensitivity study using FracProp with data from the Tuscaloosa Marine Shale identified three key factors that affect the growing population of hydraulic fractures during hydraulic fracturing. They are rheological type of fracturing fluid, rheological properties of fracturing fluid, and flow rate of hydraulic-fracturing fluid. It was found that, compared with water, the use of plastic fluids (e.g., slick water) should reduce the number of short hydraulic fractures and thus fracture network complicity, while the use of dilatant fracturing fluids (e.g., CMC solution) should increase the number of short hydraulic fractures and thus fracture network complicity. Regardless of fluid type, increasing the viscosity of fracturing fluid and slurry pumping rate will increase the number of short hydraulic fractures and thus fracture network complexity. All these effects are attributed to the fluid friction and thus fluid flow in long fractures. This work provides a useful tool for maximizing fracture population and fracture network complexity to improve well productivity in shale reservoirs. KW - Shale reservoirs; hydraulic fracturing; fracture population; SRV; mathematical modeling DO - 10.32604/ee.2026.080366