Saman Taheri¹, Behnam Talebjedi^2,*, Timo Laukkanen²

Energy Engineering, Vol.118, No.6, pp. 1577-1594, 2021, DOI:10.32604/EE.2021.017795 - 10 September 2021

Abstract Load forecasting is critical for a variety of applications in modern energy systems. Nonetheless, forecasting is a difficult task because electricity load profiles are tied with uncertain, non-linear, and non-stationary signals. To address these issues, long short-term memory (LSTM), a machine learning algorithm capable of learning temporal dependencies, has been extensively integrated into load forecasting in recent years. To further increase the effectiveness of using LSTM for demand forecasting, this paper proposes a hybrid prediction model that incorporates LSTM with empirical mode decomposition (EMD). EMD algorithm breaks down a load time-series data into several sub-series… More >

Fuyun Zhu, Guoqing Wu^*

Energy Engineering, Vol.118, No.6, pp. 1703-1712, 2021, DOI:10.32604/EE.2021.015602 - 10 September 2021

Abstract Accurate power load forecasting plays an important role in the power dispatching and security of grid. In this paper, a mathematical model for power load forecasting based on the random forest regression (RFR) was established. The input parameters of RFR model were determined by means of the grid search algorithm. The prediction results for this model were compared with those for several other common machine learning methods. It was found that the coefficient of determination (R²) of test set based on the RFR model was the highest, reaching 0.514 while the corresponding mean absolute error (MAE) More >

Yifu Sheng¹, Jianjun Zhang^1,*, Wenwu Tan¹, Jiang Wu¹, Haijun Lin¹, Guang Sun², Peng Guo³

CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.69, No.3, pp. 4043-4059, 2021, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2021.019900 - 24 August 2021

Abstract There are many influencing factors of fiscal revenue, and traditional forecasting methods cannot handle the feature dimensions well, which leads to serious over-fitting of the forecast results and unable to make a good estimate of the true future trend. The grey neural network model fused with Lasso regression is a comprehensive prediction model that combines the grey prediction model and the BP neural network model after dimensionality reduction using Lasso. It can reduce the dimensionality of the original data, make separate predictions for each explanatory variable, and then use neural networks to make multivariate predictions,… More >

Daxing Zhang^1,*, Erguan Cai²

CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.69, No.3, pp. 3931-3943, 2021, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2021.012302 - 24 August 2021

Abstract Previous research in the area of using deep learning algorithms to forecast stock prices was focused on news headlines, company reports, and a mix of daily stock fundamentals, but few studies achieved excellent results. This study uses a convolutional neural network (CNN) to predict stock prices by considering a great amount of data, consisting of financial news headlines. We call our model N-CNN to distinguish it from a CNN. The main concept is to narrow the diversity of specific stock prices as they are impacted by news headlines, then horizontally expand the news headline data… More >

Amrul Faruq¹, Aminaton Marto², Shahrum Shah Abdullah^3,*

Computer Systems Science and Engineering, Vol.39, No.3, pp. 297-306, 2021, DOI:10.32604/csse.2021.017468 - 12 August 2021

Abstract The rainstorm is believed to contribute flood disasters in upstream catchments, resulting in further consequences in downstream area due to rise of river water levels. Forecasting for flood water level has been challenging, presenting complex task due to its nonlinearities and dependencies. This study proposes a support vector machine regression model, regarded as a powerful machine learning-based technique to forecast flood water levels in downstream area for different lead times. As a case study, Kelantan River in Malaysia has been selected to validate the proposed model. Four water level stations in river basin upstream were… More >

Wei Fang^1,2,*, Lin Pang¹, Weinan Yi¹, Victor S. Sheng³

Intelligent Automation & Soft Computing, Vol.30, No.2, pp. 453-466, 2021, DOI:10.32604/iasc.2021.016589 - 11 August 2021

Abstract Precipitation nowcasting has become an essential technology underlying various public services ranging from weather advisories to citywide rainfall alerts. The main challenge facing many algorithms is the high non-linearity and temporal-spatial complexity of the radar image. Convolutional Long Short-Term Memory (ConvLSTM) is appropriate for modeling spatiotemporal variations as it integrates the convolution operator into recurrent state transition functions. However, the technical characteristic of encoding the input sequence into a fixed-size vector cannot guarantee that ConvLSTM maintains adequate sequence representations in the information flow, which affects the performance of the task. In this paper, we propose… More >

Liping Yan^1,*, Wei-Chiang Hong²

CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.128, No.3, pp. 1069-1102, 2021, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2021.016499 - 11 August 2021

Abstract The timely and effective investment risk assessment and forecasting are of great significance to ensure the investment safety and sustainable development of wind energy along the Belt and Road. In order to obtain the scientific and real-time forecasting result, this paper constructs a novel hybrid intelligent model based on improved cloud model combined with GRA-TOPSIS and MBA-WLSSVM. Firstly, the factors influencing investment risk of wind energy along the Belt and Road are identified from three dimensions: endogenous risk, exogenous risk and process risk. Through the fuzzy threshold method, the final input index system is selected.… More >

Karpagam Sundararajan¹, Lalit Garg^2,*, Kathiravan Srinivasan^4,*, Ali Kashif Bashir³, Jayakumar Kaliappan⁴, Ganapathy Pattukandan Ganapathy⁵, Senthil Kumaran Selvaraj⁶, T. Meena⁷

CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.128, No.2, pp. 447-487, 2021, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2021.015528 - 22 July 2021

Abstract Drought is the least understood natural disaster due to the complex relationship of multiple contributory factors. Its beginning and end are hard to gauge, and they can last for months or even for years. India has faced many droughts in the last few decades. Predicting future droughts is vital for framing drought management plans to sustain natural resources. The data-driven modelling for forecasting the metrological time series prediction is becoming more powerful and flexible with computational intelligence techniques. Machine learning (ML) techniques have demonstrated success in the drought prediction process and are becoming popular to More >

Huizhi Gou^1,2,*, Yuncai Ning¹

CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.128, No.2, pp. 803-822, 2021, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2021.015922 - 22 July 2021

Abstract Accurate photovoltaic (PV) power prediction can effectively help the power sector to make rational energy planning and dispatching decisions, promote PV consumption, make full use of renewable energy and alleviate energy problems. To address this research objective, this paper proposes a prediction model based on kernel principal component analysis (KPCA), modified cuckoo search algorithm (MCS) and deep convolutional neural networks (DCNN). Firstly, KPCA is utilized to reduce the dimension of the feature, which aims to reduce the redundant input vectors. Then using MCS to optimize the parameters of DCNN. Finally, the photovoltaic power forecasting method More >

Prince Waqas Khan, Yung-Cheol Byun^*

CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.69, No.2, pp. 1893-1913, 2021, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2021.018523 - 21 July 2021

Abstract Despite the advancement within the last decades in the field of smart grids, energy consumption forecasting utilizing the metrological features is still challenging. This paper proposes a genetic algorithm-based adaptive error curve learning ensemble (GA-ECLE) model. The proposed technique copes with the stochastic variations of improving energy consumption forecasting using a machine learning-based ensembled approach. A modified ensemble model based on a utilizing error of model as a feature is used to improve the forecast accuracy. This approach combines three models, namely CatBoost (CB), Gradient Boost (GB), and Multilayer Perceptron (MLP). The ensembled CB-GB-MLP model’s… More >