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  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Optimal Load Forecasting Model for Peer-to-Peer Energy Trading in Smart Grids

    Lijo Jacob Varghese1, K. Dhayalini2, Suma Sira Jacob3, Ihsan Ali4,*, Abdelzahir Abdelmaboud5, Taiseer Abdalla Elfadil Eisa6

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.70, No.1, pp. 1053-1067, 2022, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2022.019435 - 07 September 2021

    Abstract Peer-to-Peer (P2P) electricity trading is a significant research area that offers maximum fulfilment for both prosumer and consumer. It also decreases the quantity of line loss incurred in Smart Grid (SG). But, uncertainities in demand and supply of the electricity might lead to instability in P2P market for both prosumer and consumer. In recent times, numerous Machine Learning (ML)-enabled load predictive techniques have been developed, while most of the existing studies did not consider its implicit features, optimal parameter selection, and prediction stability. In order to overcome fulfill this research gap, the current research paper… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Comparison of Missing Data Imputation Methods in Time Series Forecasting

    Hyun Ahn1, Kyunghee Sun2, Kwanghoon Pio Kim3,*

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.70, No.1, pp. 767-779, 2022, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2022.019369 - 07 September 2021

    Abstract Time series forecasting has become an important aspect of data analysis and has many real-world applications. However, undesirable missing values are often encountered, which may adversely affect many forecasting tasks. In this study, we evaluate and compare the effects of imputation methods for estimating missing values in a time series. Our approach does not include a simulation to generate pseudo-missing data, but instead perform imputation on actual missing data and measure the performance of the forecasting model created therefrom. In an experiment, therefore, several time series forecasting models are trained using different training datasets prepared More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Attention-Based and Time Series Models for Short-Term Forecasting of COVID-19 Spread

    Jurgita Markevičiūtė1,*, Jolita Bernatavičienė2, Rūta Levulienė1, Viktor Medvedev2, Povilas Treigys2, Julius Venskus2

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.70, No.1, pp. 695-714, 2022, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2022.018735 - 07 September 2021

    Abstract The growing number of COVID-19 cases puts pressure on healthcare services and public institutions worldwide. The pandemic has brought much uncertainty to the global economy and the situation in general. Forecasting methods and modeling techniques are important tools for governments to manage critical situations caused by pandemics, which have negative impact on public health. The main purpose of this study is to obtain short-term forecasts of disease epidemiology that could be useful for policymakers and public institutions to make necessary short-term decisions. To evaluate the effectiveness of the proposed attention-based method combining certain data mining… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Energy Demand Forecasting Using Fused Machine Learning Approaches

    Taher M. Ghazal1,2, Sajida Noreen3, Raed A. Said4, Muhammad Adnan Khan5,*, Shahan Yamin Siddiqui3,6, Sagheer Abbas3, Shabib Aftab3, Munir Ahmad3

    Intelligent Automation & Soft Computing, Vol.31, No.1, pp. 539-553, 2022, DOI:10.32604/iasc.2022.019658 - 03 September 2021

    Abstract The usage of IoT-based smart meter in electric power consumption shows a significant role in helping the users to manage and control their electric power consumption. It produces smooth communication to build equitable electric power distribution for users and improved management of the entire electric system for providers. Machine learning predicting algorithms have been worked to apply the electric efficiency and response of progressive energy creation, transmission, and consumption. In the proposed model, an IoT-based smart meter uses a support vector machine and deep extreme machine learning techniques for professional energy management. A deep extreme More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Stock-Price Forecasting Based on XGBoost and LSTM

    Pham Hoang Vuong1, Trinh Tan Dat1, Tieu Khoi Mai1, Pham Hoang Uyen2, Pham The Bao1,*

    Computer Systems Science and Engineering, Vol.40, No.1, pp. 237-246, 2022, DOI:10.32604/csse.2022.017685 - 26 August 2021

    Abstract Using time-series data analysis for stock-price forecasting (SPF) is complex and challenging because many factors can influence stock prices (e.g., inflation, seasonality, economic policy, societal behaviors). Such factors can be analyzed over time for SPF. Machine learning and deep learning have been shown to obtain better forecasts of stock prices than traditional approaches. This study, therefore, proposed a method to enhance the performance of an SPF system based on advanced machine learning and deep learning approaches. First, we applied extreme gradient boosting as a feature-selection technique to extract important features from high-dimensional time-series data and… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    A Study on Technological Dynamics in Structural Health Monitoring Using Intelligent Fault Diagnosis Techniques: A Patent-Based Approach

    Saqlain Abbas1,2,*, Zulkarnain Abbas3, Xiaotong Tu4, Yanping Zhu1

    Journal on Artificial Intelligence, Vol.3, No.3, pp. 97-113, 2021, DOI:10.32604/jai.2021.023020 - 25 January 2022

    Abstract The performance and reliability of structural components are greatly influenced by the presence of any abnormality in them. To this purpose, structural health monitoring (SHM) is recognized as a necessary tool to ensure the safety precautions and efficiency of both mechanical and civil infrastructures. Till now, most of the previous work has emphasized the functioning of several SHM techniques and systematic changes in SHM execution. However, there exist insufficient data in the literature regarding the patent-based technological developments in the SHM research domain which might be a useful source of detailed information for worldwide research… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Electricity Demand Time Series Forecasting Based on Empirical Mode Decomposition and Long Short-Term Memory

    Saman Taheri1, Behnam Talebjedi2,*, Timo Laukkanen2

    Energy Engineering, Vol.118, No.6, pp. 1577-1594, 2021, DOI:10.32604/EE.2021.017795 - 10 September 2021

    Abstract Load forecasting is critical for a variety of applications in modern energy systems. Nonetheless, forecasting is a difficult task because electricity load profiles are tied with uncertain, non-linear, and non-stationary signals. To address these issues, long short-term memory (LSTM), a machine learning algorithm capable of learning temporal dependencies, has been extensively integrated into load forecasting in recent years. To further increase the effectiveness of using LSTM for demand forecasting, this paper proposes a hybrid prediction model that incorporates LSTM with empirical mode decomposition (EMD). EMD algorithm breaks down a load time-series data into several sub-series… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Load Forecasting of the Power System: An Investigation Based on the Method of Random Forest Regression

    Fuyun Zhu, Guoqing Wu*

    Energy Engineering, Vol.118, No.6, pp. 1703-1712, 2021, DOI:10.32604/EE.2021.015602 - 10 September 2021

    Abstract Accurate power load forecasting plays an important role in the power dispatching and security of grid. In this paper, a mathematical model for power load forecasting based on the random forest regression (RFR) was established. The input parameters of RFR model were determined by means of the grid search algorithm. The prediction results for this model were compared with those for several other common machine learning methods. It was found that the coefficient of determination (R2) of test set based on the RFR model was the highest, reaching 0.514 while the corresponding mean absolute error (MAE) More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Application of Grey Model and Neural Network in Financial Revenue Forecast

    Yifu Sheng1, Jianjun Zhang1,*, Wenwu Tan1, Jiang Wu1, Haijun Lin1, Guang Sun2, Peng Guo3

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.69, No.3, pp. 4043-4059, 2021, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2021.019900 - 24 August 2021

    Abstract There are many influencing factors of fiscal revenue, and traditional forecasting methods cannot handle the feature dimensions well, which leads to serious over-fitting of the forecast results and unable to make a good estimate of the true future trend. The grey neural network model fused with Lasso regression is a comprehensive prediction model that combines the grey prediction model and the BP neural network model after dimensionality reduction using Lasso. It can reduce the dimensionality of the original data, make separate predictions for each explanatory variable, and then use neural networks to make multivariate predictions,… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Improving Stock Price Forecasting Using a Large Volume of News Headline Text

    Daxing Zhang1,*, Erguan Cai2

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.69, No.3, pp. 3931-3943, 2021, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2021.012302 - 24 August 2021

    Abstract Previous research in the area of using deep learning algorithms to forecast stock prices was focused on news headlines, company reports, and a mix of daily stock fundamentals, but few studies achieved excellent results. This study uses a convolutional neural network (CNN) to predict stock prices by considering a great amount of data, consisting of financial news headlines. We call our model N-CNN to distinguish it from a CNN. The main concept is to narrow the diversity of specific stock prices as they are impacted by news headlines, then horizontally expand the news headline data… More >

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