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  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Holt-Winters Algorithm to Predict the Stock Value Using Recurrent Neural Network

    M. Mohan1,*, P. C. Kishore Raja2, P. Velmurugan3, A. Kulothungan4

    Intelligent Automation & Soft Computing, Vol.35, No.1, pp. 1151-1163, 2023, DOI:10.32604/iasc.2023.026255 - 06 June 2022

    Abstract Prediction of stock market value is highly risky because it is based on the concept of Time Series forecasting system that can be used for investments in a safe environment with minimized chances of loss. The proposed model uses a real time dataset of fifteen Stocks as input into the system and based on the data, predicts or forecast future stock prices of different companies belonging to different sectors. The dataset includes approximately fifteen companies from different sectors and forecasts their results based on which the user can decide whether to invest in the particular… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Spectral Vacancy Prediction Using Time Series Forecasting for Cognitive Radio Applications

    Vineetha Mathai*, P. Indumathi

    Intelligent Automation & Soft Computing, Vol.33, No.3, pp. 1729-1746, 2022, DOI:10.32604/iasc.2022.024234 - 24 March 2022

    Abstract An identification of unfilled primary user spectrum using a novel method is presented in this paper. Cooperation among users with the utilization of machine learning methods is analyzed. Learning methods are applied to construct the classifier, which selects the suitable fusion algorithm for the considered environment so that the out of band sensing is performed efficiently. Sensing performance is looked into with the existence of fading and it is observed that sensing performance degrades with fading which coincides with earlier findings. From the simulation, it can be inferred that Weibull fading outperforms all the other… More >

  • Open Access

    A Hybrid Neural Network and Box-Jenkins Models for Time Series Forecasting

    Mohammad Hadwan1,2,3,*, Basheer M. Al-Maqaleh4 , Fuad N. Al-Badani5 , Rehan Ullah Khan1,3, Mohammed A. Al-Hagery6

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.70, No.3, pp. 4829-4845, 2022, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2022.017824 - 11 October 2021

    Abstract

    Time series forecasting plays a significant role in numerous applications, including but not limited to, industrial planning, water consumption, medical domains, exchange rates and consumer price index. The main problem is insufficient forecasting accuracy. The present study proposes a hybrid forecasting methods to address this need. The proposed method includes three models. The first model is based on the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) statistical model; the second model is a back propagation neural network (BPNN) with adaptive slope and momentum parameters; and the third model is a hybridization between ARIMA and BPNN (ARIMA/BPNN) and artificial

    More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Comparison of Missing Data Imputation Methods in Time Series Forecasting

    Hyun Ahn1, Kyunghee Sun2, Kwanghoon Pio Kim3,*

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.70, No.1, pp. 767-779, 2022, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2022.019369 - 07 September 2021

    Abstract Time series forecasting has become an important aspect of data analysis and has many real-world applications. However, undesirable missing values are often encountered, which may adversely affect many forecasting tasks. In this study, we evaluate and compare the effects of imputation methods for estimating missing values in a time series. Our approach does not include a simulation to generate pseudo-missing data, but instead perform imputation on actual missing data and measure the performance of the forecasting model created therefrom. In an experiment, therefore, several time series forecasting models are trained using different training datasets prepared More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Electricity Demand Time Series Forecasting Based on Empirical Mode Decomposition and Long Short-Term Memory

    Saman Taheri1, Behnam Talebjedi2,*, Timo Laukkanen2

    Energy Engineering, Vol.118, No.6, pp. 1577-1594, 2021, DOI:10.32604/EE.2021.017795 - 10 September 2021

    Abstract Load forecasting is critical for a variety of applications in modern energy systems. Nonetheless, forecasting is a difficult task because electricity load profiles are tied with uncertain, non-linear, and non-stationary signals. To address these issues, long short-term memory (LSTM), a machine learning algorithm capable of learning temporal dependencies, has been extensively integrated into load forecasting in recent years. To further increase the effectiveness of using LSTM for demand forecasting, this paper proposes a hybrid prediction model that incorporates LSTM with empirical mode decomposition (EMD). EMD algorithm breaks down a load time-series data into several sub-series… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Machine Learning and Classical Forecasting Methods Based Decision Support Systems for COVID-19

    Ramazan Ünlü1, Ersin Namlı2, *

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.64, No.3, pp. 1383-1399, 2020, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2020.011335 - 30 June 2020

    Abstract From late 2019 to the present day, the coronavirus outbreak tragically affected the whole world and killed tens of thousands of people. Many countries have taken very stringent measures to alleviate the effects of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) and are still being implemented. In this study, various machine learning techniques are implemented to predict possible confirmed cases and mortality numbers for the future. According to these models, we have tried to shed light on the future in terms of possible measures to be taken or updating the current measures. Support Vector Machines (SVM), Holt-Winters, More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Short-term Forecasting of Air Passengers Based on the Hybrid Rough Set and the Double Exponential Smoothing Model

    Haresh Kumar Sharma, Kriti Kumari, Samarjit Kar

    Intelligent Automation & Soft Computing, Vol.25, No.1, pp. 1-14, 2019, DOI:10.31209/2018.100000036

    Abstract This article focuses on the use of the rough set theory in modeling of time series forecasting. In this paper, we have used the double exponential smoothing (DES) model for forecasting. The classical DES model has been improved by using the rough set technique. The improved double exponential smoothing (IDES) method can be used for the time series data without any statistical assumptions. The proposed method is applied on tourism demand of the air transportation passenger data set in Australia and the results are compared with the classical DES model. It has been observed that More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Forecasting Damage Mechanics By Deep Learning

    Duyen Le Hien Nguyen1, Dieu Thi Thanh Do2, Jaehong Lee2, Timon Rabczuk3, Hung Nguyen-Xuan1,4,*

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.61, No.3, pp. 951-977, 2019, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2019.08001

    Abstract We in this paper exploit time series algorithm based deep learning in forecasting damage mechanics problems. The methodologies that are able to work accurately for less computational and resolving attempts are a significant demand nowadays. Relied on learning an amount of information from given data, the long short-term memory (LSTM) method and multi-layer neural networks (MNN) method are applied to predict solutions. Numerical examples are implemented for predicting fracture growth rates of L-shape concrete specimen under load ratio, single-edge-notched beam forced by 4-point shear and hydraulic fracturing in permeable porous media problems such as storage-toughness More >

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