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  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    A Comparative Study of Optimized-LSTM Models Using Tree-Structured Parzen Estimator for Traffic Flow Forecasting in Intelligent Transportation

    Hamza Murad Khan1, Anwar Khan1,*, Santos Gracia Villar2,3,4, Luis Alonso Dzul Lopez2,5,6, Abdulaziz Almaleh7, Abdullah M. Al-Qahtani8

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.83, No.2, pp. 3369-3388, 2025, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2025.060474 - 16 April 2025

    Abstract Traffic forecasting with high precision aids Intelligent Transport Systems (ITS) in formulating and optimizing traffic management strategies. The algorithms used for tuning the hyperparameters of the deep learning models often have accurate results at the expense of high computational complexity. To address this problem, this paper uses the Tree-structured Parzen Estimator (TPE) to tune the hyperparameters of the Long Short-term Memory (LSTM) deep learning framework. The Tree-structured Parzen Estimator (TPE) uses a probabilistic approach with an adaptive searching mechanism by classifying the objective function values into good and bad samples. This ensures fast convergence in… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Heart Disease Prediction Model Using Feature Selection and Ensemble Deep Learning with Optimized Weight

    Iman S. Al-Mahdi1, Saad M. Darwish1,*, Magda M. Madbouly2

    CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.143, No.1, pp. 875-909, 2025, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2025.061623 - 11 April 2025

    Abstract Heart disease prediction is a critical issue in healthcare, where accurate early diagnosis can save lives and reduce healthcare costs. The problem is inherently complex due to the high dimensionality of medical data, irrelevant or redundant features, and the variability in risk factors such as age, lifestyle, and medical history. These challenges often lead to inefficient and less accurate models. Traditional prediction methodologies face limitations in effectively handling large feature sets and optimizing classification performance, which can result in overfitting poor generalization, and high computational cost. This work proposes a novel classification model for heart… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Photovoltaic Power Generation Power Prediction under Major Extreme Weather Based on VMD-KELM

    Yuxuan Zhao1,2,*, Bo Wang1, Shu Wang1, Wenjun Xu2, Gang Ma2

    Energy Engineering, Vol.121, No.12, pp. 3711-3733, 2024, DOI:10.32604/ee.2024.054032 - 22 November 2024

    Abstract The output of photovoltaic power stations is significantly affected by environmental factors, leading to intermittent and fluctuating power generation. With the increasing frequency of extreme weather events due to global warming, photovoltaic power stations may experience drastic reductions in power generation or even complete shutdowns during such conditions. The integration of these stations on a large scale into the power grid could potentially pose challenges to system stability. To address this issue, in this study, we propose a network architecture based on VMD-KELM for predicting the power output of photovoltaic power plants during severe weather… More >

  • Open Access

    REVIEW

    An Integrated Analysis of Yield Prediction Models: A Comprehensive Review of Advancements and Challenges

    Nidhi Parashar1, Prashant Johri1, Arfat Ahmad Khan5, Nitin Gaur1, Seifedine Kadry2,3,4,*

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.80, No.1, pp. 389-425, 2024, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2024.050240 - 18 July 2024

    Abstract The growing global requirement for food and the need for sustainable farming in an era of a changing climate and scarce resources have inspired substantial crop yield prediction research. Deep learning (DL) and machine learning (ML) models effectively deal with such challenges. This research paper comprehensively analyses recent advancements in crop yield prediction from January 2016 to March 2024. In addition, it analyses the effectiveness of various input parameters considered in crop yield prediction models. We conducted an in-depth search and gathered studies that employed crop modeling and AI-based methods to predict crop yield. The… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    A Combination Prediction Model for Short Term Travel Demand of Urban Taxi

    Mingyuan Li1,*, Yuanli Gu1, Qingqiao Geng2, Hongru Yu1

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.79, No.3, pp. 3877-3896, 2024, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2024.047765 - 20 June 2024

    Abstract This study proposes a prediction model considering external weather and holiday factors to address the issue of accurately predicting urban taxi travel demand caused by complex data and numerous influencing factors. The model integrates the Complete Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition with Adaptive Noise (CEEMDAN) and Convolutional Long Short Term Memory Neural Network (ConvLSTM) to predict short-term taxi travel demand. The CEEMDAN decomposition method effectively decomposes time series data into a set of modal components, capturing sequence characteristics at different time scales and frequencies. Based on the sample entropy value of components, secondary processing of more… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    A Health State Prediction Model Based on Belief Rule Base and LSTM for Complex Systems

    Yu Zhao, Zhijie Zhou*, Hongdong Fan, Xiaoxia Han, Jie Wang, Manlin Chen

    Intelligent Automation & Soft Computing, Vol.39, No.1, pp. 73-91, 2024, DOI:10.32604/iasc.2024.042285 - 29 March 2024

    Abstract In industrial production and engineering operations, the health state of complex systems is critical, and predicting it can ensure normal operation. Complex systems have many monitoring indicators, complex coupling structures, non-linear and time-varying characteristics, so it is a challenge to establish a reliable prediction model. The belief rule base (BRB) can fuse observed data and expert knowledge to establish a nonlinear relationship between input and output and has well modeling capabilities. Since each indicator of the complex system can reflect the health state to some extent, the BRB is built based on the causal relationship… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Prediction Model of Wax Deposition Rate in Waxy Crude Oil Pipelines by Elman Neural Network Based on Improved Reptile Search Algorithm

    Zhuo Chen1,*, Ningning Wang2, Wenbo Jin3, Dui Li1

    Energy Engineering, Vol.121, No.4, pp. 1007-1026, 2024, DOI:10.32604/ee.2023.045270 - 26 March 2024

    Abstract A hard problem that hinders the movement of waxy crude oil is wax deposition in oil pipelines. To ensure the safe operation of crude oil pipelines, an accurate model must be developed to predict the rate of wax deposition in crude oil pipelines. Aiming at the shortcomings of the ENN prediction model, which easily falls into the local minimum value and weak generalization ability in the implementation process, an optimized ENN prediction model based on the IRSA is proposed. The validity of the new model was confirmed by the accurate prediction of two sets of… More > Graphic Abstract

    Prediction Model of Wax Deposition Rate in Waxy Crude Oil Pipelines by Elman Neural Network Based on Improved Reptile Search Algorithm

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Productivity Prediction Model of Perforated Horizontal Well Based on Permeability Calculation in Near-Well High Permeability Reservoir Area

    Shuangshuang Zhang1,*, Kangliang Guo1, Xinchen Gao1, Haoran Yang1, Jinfeng Zhang2, Xing Han3

    Energy Engineering, Vol.121, No.1, pp. 59-75, 2024, DOI:10.32604/ee.2023.041709 - 27 December 2023

    Abstract To improve the productivity of oil wells, perforation technology is usually used to improve the productivity of horizontal wells in oilfield exploitation. After the perforation operation, the perforation channel around the wellbore will form a near-well high-permeability reservoir area with the penetration depth as the radius, that is, the formation has different permeability characteristics with the perforation depth as the dividing line. Generally, the permeability is measured by the permeability tester, but this approach has a high workload and limited application. In this paper, according to the reservoir characteristics of perforated horizontal wells, the reservoir… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Two-Way Neural Network Performance Prediction Model Based on Knowledge Evolution and Individual Similarity

    Xinzheng Wang1,2,*, Bing Guo1, Yan Shen3

    CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.138, No.2, pp. 1183-1206, 2024, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2023.029552 - 17 November 2023

    Abstract Predicting students’ academic achievements is an essential issue in education, which can benefit many stakeholders, for instance, students, teachers, managers, etc. Compared with online courses such as MOOCs, students’ academic-related data in the face-to-face physical teaching environment is usually sparsity, and the sample size is relatively small. It makes building models to predict students’ performance accurately in such an environment even more challenging. This paper proposes a Two-Way Neural Network (TWNN) model based on the bidirectional recurrent neural network and graph neural network to predict students’ next semester’s course performance using only their previous course More > Graphic Abstract

    Two-Way Neural Network Performance Prediction Model Based on Knowledge Evolution and Individual Similarity

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Application Research on Two-Layer Threat Prediction Model Based on Event Graph

    Shuqin Zhang, Xinyu Su*, Yunfei Han, Tianhui Du, Peiyu Shi

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.77, No.3, pp. 3993-4023, 2023, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2023.044526 - 26 December 2023

    Abstract Advanced Persistent Threat (APT) is now the most common network assault. However, the existing threat analysis models cannot simultaneously predict the macro-development trend and micro-propagation path of APT attacks. They cannot provide rapid and accurate early warning and decision responses to the present system state because they are inadequate at deducing the risk evolution rules of network threats. To address the above problems, firstly, this paper constructs the multi-source threat element analysis ontology (MTEAO) by integrating multi-source network security knowledge bases. Subsequently, based on MTEAO, we propose a two-layer threat prediction model (TL-TPM) that combines… More >

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