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  • Open Access


    A Study on the Transmission Dynamics of the Omicron Variant of COVID-19 Using Nonlinear Mathematical Models

    S. Dickson1, S. Padmasekaran1, Pushpendra Kumar2,*, Kottakkaran Sooppy Nisar3, Hamidreza Marasi4

    CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.139, No.3, pp. 2265-2287, 2024, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2023.030286

    Abstract This research examines the transmission dynamics of the Omicron variant of COVID-19 using SEIQIcRVW and SQIRV models, considering the delay in converting susceptible individuals into infected ones. The significant delays eventually resulted in the pandemic’s containment. To ensure the safety of the host population, this concept integrates quarantine and the COVID-19 vaccine. We investigate the stability of the proposed models. The fundamental reproduction number influences stability conditions. According to our findings, asymptomatic cases considerably impact the prevalence of Omicron infection in the community. The real data of the Omicron variant from Chennai, Tamil Nadu, India, is used to validate the… More >

  • Open Access


    Construction of a Computational Scheme for the Fuzzy HIV/AIDS Epidemic Model with a Nonlinear Saturated Incidence Rate

    Muhammad Shoaib Arif1,2,*, Kamaleldin Abodayeh1, Yasir Nawaz2

    CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.138, No.2, pp. 1405-1425, 2024, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2023.028946

    Abstract This work aimed to construct an epidemic model with fuzzy parameters. Since the classical epidemic model does not elaborate on the successful interaction of susceptible and infective people, the constructed fuzzy epidemic model discusses the more detailed versions of the interactions between infective and susceptible people. The next-generation matrix approach is employed to find the reproduction number of a deterministic model. The sensitivity analysis and local stability analysis of the system are also provided. For solving the fuzzy epidemic model, a numerical scheme is constructed which consists of three time levels. The numerical scheme has an advantage over the existing… More >

  • Open Access


    Qualitative Analysis of a Fractional Pandemic Spread Model of the Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19)

    Ali Yousef1,*, Fatma Bozkurt1,2, Thabet Abdeljawad3,4,5

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.66, No.1, pp. 843-869, 2021, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2020.012060

    Abstract In this study, we classify the genera of COVID-19 and provide brief information about the root of the spread and the transmission from animal (natural host) to humans. We establish a model of fractional-order differential equations to discuss the spread of the infection from the natural host to the intermediate one, and from the intermediate one to the human host. At the same time, we focus on the potential spillover of bat-borne coronaviruses. We consider the local stability of the co-existing critical point of the model by using the Routh–Hurwitz Criteria. Moreover, we analyze the existence and uniqueness of the… More >

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