Panagiotis G. Asteris^1,*, Maria G. Douvika¹, Chrysoula A. Karamani¹, Athanasia D. Skentou¹, Katerina Chlichlia², Liborio Cavaleri³, Tryfon Daras⁴, Danial J. Armaghani⁵, Theoklis E. Zaoutis⁶

CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.125, No.2, pp. 815-828, 2020, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2020.013280

Abstract The modeling and risk assessment of a pandemic phenomenon such as COVID-19 is an important and complicated issue in epidemiology, and such an attempt is of great interest for public health decision-making. To this end, in the present study, based on a recent heuristic algorithm proposed by the authors, the time evolution of COVID-19 is investigated for six different countries/states, namely New York, California, USA, Iran, Sweden and UK. The number of COVID-19-related deaths is used to develop the proposed heuristic model as it is believed that the predicted number of daily deaths in each country/state includes information about the… More >

Kaijun Xu¹, Xueting Chen², Yusheng Yao¹, Shanshan Li¹

Intelligent Automation & Soft Computing, Vol.24, No.3, pp. 603-611, 2018, DOI:10.31209/2018.100000027

Abstract The lateral conflict risk assessment of low-altitude training airspace strategic planning, which is based on the TSE errors has always been a difficult task for training flight research. In order to effectively evaluate the safety interval and lateral collision risk in training airspace, in this paper, TSE error performance using a weakly supervised learning method was modelled. First, the lateral probability density function of TSE is given by using a multidimensional random variable covariance matrix, and the risk model of a training flight lateral collision based on TSE error is established. The lateral conflict risk in specific training airspace is… More >

Zubair Baig¹, Sherali Zeadally²

Intelligent Automation & Soft Computing, Vol.25, No.1, pp. 121-129, 2019, DOI:10.31209/2018.100000049

Abstract A critical infrastructure provides essential services to a nation’s population. Interruptions in its smooth operations are highly undesirable because they will cause significant and devastating consequences on all stakeholders in the society. In order to provide sustained protection to a nation’s critical infrastructure, we must continually assess and evaluate the risks thereof. We propose a risk assessment framework that can evaluate the risks posed to the security of a critical infrastructure from threat agents, with a special emphasis on the smart grid communications infrastructure. The framework defines finegrained risk identification to help quantify and assess exploitable vulnerabilities within a critical… More >

Tao Zheng, Yan Chang, Shibin Zhang^*

CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.124, No.2, pp. 573-584, 2020, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2020.010445

Abstract With the acceleration of the construction of quantum communication networks, scholars have proposed different quantum communication protocols for different application scenarios. However, few scholars pay attention to the risk assessment process before communication. In this paper, we propose a novel quantum risk assessment model based on quantum teleportation technology with two three-qubit GHZ states. Only by using Bell states measurements (BSMs) and two-qubit projective measurements (PJMs), the communicators can recovery any arbitrary two-qubit state. This protocol can transmit two-dimension risk assessment factors with better security performance. On the one hand, more sufficient evaluation factors allow the two communicating parties to… More >

Michela Palma, Giancarlo Scognamiglio^*, Flavia Fusco, Assunta Merola, Anna Correra, Diego Colonna, Emanuele Romeo, Berardo Sarubbi

Congenital Heart Disease, Vol.15, No.1, pp. 33-49, 2020, DOI:10.32604/CHD.2020.011523

Abstract Adults with congenital heart disease (ACHD) constitute a growing population with complex cardiac physiopathology and frequent extra-cardiac involvement. The recent dramatic improvement of their life expectancy has resulted in an increasing proportion of ACHD patients requiring non-cardiac surgery. While a large body of evidence demonstrated the importance of an accurate risk assessment in patients with acquired heart disease before noncardiac surgery in order to reduce perioperative morbidity and mortality and detailed algorithms have been released by international societies, no specific guidelines are available for the perioperative management in this population. Nonetheless, understanding the complex anatomy and unusual physiology of both… More >

Hossein Bisheh^{1, 2}, Yunhua Luo^{1, 3}, Timon Rabczuk^{4, *}

CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.63, No.2, pp. 567-591, 2020, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2020.09393

Abstract Precise evaluation of hip fracture risk leads to reduce hip fracture occurrence in individuals and assist to check the effect of a treatment. A subject-specific QCT-based finite element model is introduced to evaluate hip fracture risk using the strain energy, von-Mises stress, and von-Mises strain criteria during the single-leg stance and the sideways fall configurations. Choosing a proper failure criterion in hip fracture risk assessment is very important. The aim of this study is to define hip fracture risk index using the strain energy, von Mises stress, and von Mises strain criteria and compare the calculated fracture risk indices using… More >

A. Soprano¹, F. Caputo¹

Structural Durability & Health Monitoring, Vol.2, No.1, pp. 51-68, 2006, DOI:10.3970/sdhm.2006.002.051

Abstract This work describes the results of the experience acquired by the authors during their participation to some among the European research programs with the aim to develop a probabilistic risk assessment procedure to analyse the spreading of fatigue-induced damage in typical aeronautical components. The several steps of the procedure are pointed out, and especially the modelling of the damage evolutionary process; the initiation and the transitional probabilities, which characterize the passage from one damage level to a higher one, are fully characterized and their dependence from time and from the damage state of surrounding zones illustrated by various example results. More >

Yang Zhao¹, Shibin Zhang^1,*, Min Yang¹, Peilin He¹, Qirun Wang²

CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.61, No.2, pp. 677-686, 2019, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2019.05936

Abstract The risk assessment system has been applied to the information security, energy, medical and other industries. Through the risk assessment system, it is possible to quantify the possibility of the impact or loss caused by an event before or after an event, thereby avoiding the risk or reducing the loss. However, the existing risk assessment system architecture is mostly a centralized architecture, which could lead to problems such as data leakage, tampering, and central cheating. Combined with the technology of block chain, which has the characteristics of decentralization, security and credibility, collective maintenance, and untamperability. This paper proposes a new… More >

Zhaoyue Zhang^{1, *}, Jing Zhang², Peng Wang¹, Lei Chen³

CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.57, No.1, pp. 151-166, 2018, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2018.02890

Abstract In order to explore the safe operation of UAVs in non-segregated airspace, a collision risk model for cylindrical UAVs based on conflict areas was constructed and the risk of conflict between manned and unmanned aerial vehicles was researched. According to the results of risk analysis, a strategy for solving the conflict of aircraft is proposed, and the risk assessment experiment of unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) in non-isolated airspace conflict is carried out. The results show that under the experimental conditions, large unmanned aerial vehicles equipped with ADS-B, TCAS and other airborne sensing systems will indeed interfere with other aircraft in… More >