Chen Pan, ChangGyoon Lim^*

CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.145, No.3, pp. 3747-3781, 2025, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2025.073389 - 23 December 2025

Abstract Solar forecasting using ground-based sky image offers a promising approach to reduce uncertainty in photovoltaic (PV) power generation. However, existing methods often rely on deterministic predictions that lack diversity, making it difficult to capture the inherently stochastic nature of cloud movement. To address this limitation, we propose a new two-stage probabilistic forecasting framework. In the first stage, we introduce I-GPT, a multiscale physics-constrained generative model for stochastic sky image prediction. Given a sequence of past sky images, I-GPT uses a Transformer-based VQ-VAE. It also incorporates multi-scale physics-informed recurrent units (Multi-scale PhyCell) and dynamically weighted fuses… More >

Ramazan Özkan^1,2, Mustafa Serdar Genç^1,3,*, İlker Kayali^1,4,5

CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.145, No.3, pp. 3349-3380, 2025, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2025.072519 - 23 December 2025

Abstract The optimization of turbine blades is crucial in improving the efficiency of wind energy systems and developing clean energy production models. This paper presented a novel approach to the structural design of small-scale turbine blades using the Artificial Bee Colony (ABC) Algorithm based on the stochastic method to optimize both mass and cost (objective functions). The study used computational fluid dynamics (CFD) and structural analysis to consider the fluid-structure interaction. The optimization algorithm defined several variables: structural constraints, the type of composite material, and the number of composite layers to form a mathematical model. The More >

Michał Guminiak¹, Marcin Kamiński^2,*

CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.145, No.3, pp. 3133-3163, 2025, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2025.071887 - 23 December 2025

Abstract The analysis of the dynamics of surface girders is of great importance in the design of engineering structures such as steel welded bridge plane girders or concrete plate-column structures. This work is an extension of the classical deterministic problem of free vibrations of thin (Kirchhoff) plates. The main aim of this work is the study of stochastic eigenvibrations of thin (Kirchhoff) elastic plates resting on internal continuous and column supports by the Boundary Element Method (BEM). This work is a continuation of previous research related to the random approach in plate analysis using the BEM.… More >

Maysaa Al-Qurashi¹, Ayesha Siddiqa², Shazia Karim³, Yu-Ming Chu^4,5,*, Saima Rashid^2,*

CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.145, No.2, pp. 2057-2129, 2025, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2025.071629 - 26 November 2025

Abstract Chikungunya is a mosquito-borne viral infection caused by the chikungunya virus (CHIKV). It is characterized by acute onset of high fever, severe polyarthralgia, myalgia, headache, and maculopapular rash. The virus is rapidly spreading and may establish in new regions where competent mosquito vectors are present. This research analyzes the regulatory dynamics of a stochastic differential equation (SDE) model describing the transmission of the CHIKV, incorporating seasonal variations, immunization efforts, and environmental fluctuations modeled through Poisson random measure noise under demographic heterogeneity. The model guarantees the existence of a global positive solution and demonstrates periodic dynamics… More >

Adel A.Abou El-Ela¹, Ragab A. El-Sehiemy^2,3,4,*, Abdallah Nazih¹, Asmaa A. Mubarak⁵, Eman S. Ali¹

CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.145, No.2, pp. 1349-1388, 2025, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2025.069507 - 26 November 2025

Abstract Distribution systems face significant challenges in maintaining power quality issues and maximizing renewable energy hosting capacity due to the increased level of photovoltaic (PV) systems integration associated with varying loading and climate conditions. This paper provides a comprehensive overview on the exit strategies to enhance distribution system operation, with a focus on harmonic mitigation, voltage regulation, power factor correction, and optimization techniques. The impact of passive and active filters, custom power devices such as dynamic voltage restorers (DVRs) and static synchronous compensators (STATCOMs), and grid modernization technologies on power quality is examined. Additionally, this paper… More >

Xing Lin¹, Junning Wu¹, Shixue Liang^1,2,*

CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.145, No.1, pp. 215-239, 2025, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2025.070846 - 30 October 2025

Abstract Random media like concrete and ceramics exhibit stochastic crack propagation due to their heterogeneous microstructures. This study establishes a Conditional Generative Adversarial Network (CGAN) combined with random field modeling for the efficient prediction of stochastic crack patterns and stress-strain responses. A total dataset of 500 samples, including crack propagation images and corresponding stress-strain curves, is generated via random Finite Element Method (FEM) simulations. This dataset is then partitioned into 400 training and 100 testing samples. The model demonstrates robust performance with Intersection over Union (IoU) scores of 0.8438 and 0.8155 on training and testing datasets, More >

Nada Alasbali^*

CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.85, No.3, pp. 4943-4958, 2025, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2025.068330 - 23 October 2025

Abstract Intelligent Traffic Management (ITM) has progressively developed into a critical component of modern transportation networks, significantly enhancing traffic flow and reducing congestion in urban environments. This research proposes an enhanced framework that leverages Deep Q-Learning (DQL), Game Theory (GT), and Stochastic Optimization (SO) to tackle the complex dynamics in transportation networks. The DQL component utilizes the distribution of traffic conditions for epsilon-greedy policy formulation and action and choice reward calculation, ensuring resilient decision-making. GT models the interaction between vehicles and intersections through probabilistic distributions of various features to enhance performance. Results demonstrate that the proposed More >

Ali Raza^1,*, Asad Ullah², Eugénio M. Rocha¹, Dumitru Baleanu³, Hala H. Taha⁴, Emad Fadhal^5,*

CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.144, No.3, pp. 3433-3461, 2025, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2025.069655 - 30 September 2025

Abstract This study investigates the transmission dynamics of conjunctivitis using stochastic delay differential equations (SDDEs). A delayed stochastic model is formulated by dividing the population into five distinct compartments: susceptible, exposed, infected, environmental irritants, and recovered individuals. The model undergoes thorough analytical examination, addressing key dynamical properties including positivity, boundedness, existence, and uniqueness of solutions. Local and global stability around the equilibrium points is studied with respect to the basic reproduction number. The existence of a unique global positive solution for the stochastic delayed model is established. In addition, a stochastic nonstandard finite difference scheme is More >

Manuel J. C. S. Reis^*

CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.85, No.2, pp. 3023-3039, 2025, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2025.066390 - 23 September 2025

Abstract The Vehicle Routing Problem with Time Windows (VRPTW) presents a significant challenge in combinatorial optimization, especially under real-world uncertainties such as variable travel times, service durations, and dynamic customer demands. These uncertainties make traditional deterministic models inadequate, often leading to suboptimal or infeasible solutions. To address these challenges, this work proposes an adaptive hybrid metaheuristic that integrates Genetic Algorithms (GA) with Local Search (LS), while incorporating stochastic uncertainty modeling through probabilistic travel times. The proposed algorithm dynamically adjusts parameters—such as mutation rate and local search probability—based on real-time search performance. This adaptivity enhances the algorithm’s… More >

Yu-Tang Cao¹, Shin-Hung Lin¹, Raphael Brent Lau Hundangan², Edward Basaong Ang ², Tsung-Liang Wu^1,*

CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.84, No.3, pp. 5255-5277, 2025, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2025.066877 - 30 July 2025

Abstract The gantry crane system is a crucial equipment for loading and unloading containers at the shore site. The existing trend of crane technology is in the transition from in-site operators to remote operators outside the cargo handling site, which will comply with all safety regulations, including conditional crane monitoring. However, remote control introduces certain drawbacks in machine maintenance, as no on-site operators can provide real-time feedback on abnormalities. Therefore, this study proposes a failure detection system that uses vibratory sensors installed on machines to monitor and provide early warnings for various failures. For faulty event… More >