Open Access
ARTICLE
Generative World Modeling for Risk-Aware Autonomous UAV Navigation in Dynamic Traffic Networks
1 School of Computing, Horizon University College, Ajman, United Arab Emirates
2 Department of Information Technology, College of Computer and Information Sciences, Princess Nourah bint Abdulrahman University, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
3 Faculty of Computing, Universiti Teknologi Malaysia, Johor Bahru, Johor, Malaysia
4 Mechanical and Industrial Engineering Department, Faculty of Engineering, Hourani Center for Applied Scientific Research, Al-Ahliyya Amman University, Amman, Jordan
5 Data Engineer, Amazon, Seattle, WA, USA
6 Center for Advanced Analytics, CoE for Artificial Intelligence, Faculty of Information Science & Technology (FIST), Multimedia University, Jalan Ayer Keroh Lama, Bukit Beruang, Melaka, Malaysia
* Corresponding Author: Mahmoud Ahmad Al-Khasawneh. Email:
(This article belongs to the Special Issue: Integrating Generative AI with UAVs for Autonomous Navigation and Decision Making)
Computers, Materials & Continua 2026, 88(3), 68 https://doi.org/10.32604/cmc.2026.082572
Received 18 March 2026; Accepted 14 May 2026; Issue published 23 July 2026
Abstract
Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) are finding more and more applications in logistics, surveillance, and other operations at a large scale. However, autonomous navigation in dynamic traffic situations is not an easy task due to limited energy, moving obstacles, and inter-agent interactions. The proposed paper can be discussed as a Generative World Modeling (GWM) framework of risk-focused UAV navigation in the dynamic traffic network. This paper proposes a GWM framework for risk-aware UAV navigation in dynamic traffic networks. The proposed design incorporates three key elements; a generative world model for predicting future environmental conditions, a diffusion-based trajectory-generation component that generates multiple possible paths, and a risk-aware decision-making component that selects trajectories based on energy use, collision avoidance, and mission criteria. The framework is also extended to the case of a multi-UAV swarm, where a coordinated swarm is facilitated by shared representations in the latent space to alleviate potential conflicts. The experimental analysis of real-world-inspired UAV trajectory data indicates that the proposed GWM framework outperforms the classical, reinforcement-based, and conflict-aware baseline approaches across a range of performance metrics, including mission success rate, delivery time, energy cost, safety, and path efficiency. The findings indicate that with risk-sensitive and generative prediction, autonomous UAV missions should be more robust, effective, and secure in uncertain, complex environments.Keywords
Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) are a new technology that could be applied to logistics, surveillance, environmental scanning, and smart city management. They are incapable of compromise because of their plasticity in operation, operational speed, and the capacity to mount complex ground systems to enable real-time situation-awareness and independent security mission operations [1]. The strategic role of UAVs in the contemporary infrastructural context has also been ascertained due to the blistering trend of e-commerce, growing popularity of last-mile marketing, and the necessity to provide a secure disaster management [2,3]. Despite such benefits, the autonomous UAV navigation in the dynamic uncertainties is a major challenge, as a result of power constraints, traffic uncertainty, temporary obstacles, and inter-agent collisions.
The majority of conventional navigation and path-planning methods for UAV systems are deterministic or reactive [4]. Despite these approaches working effectively in controlled or stationary settings, in real-world scenarios where traffic networks and weather conditions, along with roadblocks, are in a continuous state of flux, critical shortcomings are noted [5]. Deterministic algorithms cannot forecast the future, and RL-based methods can be expensive to train and may not generalize to non-in-distribution environments. Thus, real-time UAVs are more prone to mission failure, energy wastage, and collisions, particularly in large urban traffic systems.
Generative Artificial Intelligence (GAI) developed over the last few years presents an opportunity to eliminate these barriers. Generative models that can train on complex environmental distributions using diffusion models, transformer-based networks, and world models can generate plausible future scenarios. UAVs can evolve into imagination-driven models, rather than reactive path navigation, by introducing these models into the UAV navigation system [6]. By predicting potential future environmental conditions prior to taking action, the UAVs can calculate alternative courses of action when faced with uncertainty, account for energy consumption, and take the initiative to avoid collisions, thereby increasing mission success rates and operational safety.
This paper proposes a GWM approach for risk-aware UAV navigation in dynamic traffic networks. The system integrates probabilistic future model prediction, trajectory generation through diffusion, and risk-aware state search to support the anticipatory, adaptive, and risk-averse navigation. It is also generalizable to multi-UAV swarm cases, where the collective latent space serves as a representation of cooperative decision-making, unlike classical, reinforcement-based, and traditional world-modeling methods. The most important conclusions of the research are as follows:
• This study develops a GWM system that enables UAVs to anticipate unexpected traffic conditions, features, and environmental turbulence, thereby enabling proactive, imagination-based maneuvering.
• The proposed work presents diffusion-based trajectory synthesis that generates multiple possible trajectories that satisfy dynamic constraints and enhance their strength and flexibility during operation in unpredictable environments.
• This study presents a risk-aware decision-making process that accounts for potential paths in energy consumption and safety, thereby minimizing collision risk and optimizing operational efficiency.
• The framework enables coordination of multi-agent and swarms by using common latent spaces to support joint decision-making among multiple UAVs, thereby offering adaptive coordination of swarms in complex environments.
• To make the comparisons of the efficiency of the proposed framework, a high level of simulation-oriented validation is conducted within the frame of the actual-life dynamic traffic networks, which happens to raise the success rates of the missions, the efficiency of energy consumption, as well as the safety of the operations significantly.
The remainder of the paper is structured as follows: Section 2 examines the literature and the strategies available to date in UAV navigation. Section 3 presents the system model and formulation of the problem. Section 4 explains the proposed GWM framework, including trajectory generation and risk-aware decision making. Section 5 contains the description of the simulation and experimental assessment. The results and the comparative analysis are discussed in Section 6. Lastly, Section 7 concludes and outlines directions for future work.
The growing need for aerial delivery, surveillance, and environmental monitoring has driven the development of autonomous UAV navigation systems. Recent research [7] identifies shortcomings of reactive planning approaches for planning tasks under changing traffic and moving obstacles, and, as noted in [8], deterministic planning methods frequently fail in the presence of uncertainty, such as changing weather and unpredictable agent actions. Other studies on multi-agent UAV systems have investigated the problem of coordinated flight among several vehicles. The collision-free navigation of small groups of UAVs through conflict-aware planning methods described in [9] is guaranteed; however, the computational complexity of conflict-free navigation increases exponentially with the size of the swarm, making real-time operation difficult. The heuristic conflict-avoidance and task-allocation schemes are more scalable, but still rely on existing knowledge of the environment, and, as stated in [10], most classical methods for multi-agent systems do not effectively address uncertainty modeling or risk-aware decision-making.
To address these aspects, artificial intelligence, specifically Reinforcement Learning (RL), has been employed. Research in [11,12] applies RL to adapt UAV navigation to changing conditions and traffic interest. Nonetheless, according to [13], RL requires extensive training and may perform poorly out-of-distribution, and even the policies are typically shortsighted and do not model the environment predictively. Generative AI has also recently become an effective predictive modeler in robotics and autonomous systems. World models [14] and diffusion models [15] can generate plausible sequences of future states, enabling planning under uncertainty. In autonomous driving [16], robot manipulation, and UAV swarms [17], generative models have been shown to support foresight and joint decision-making. Although these innovations have been made, few models integrate generative models with risk-aware trajectory planning for UAVs in dynamic traffic networks under energy constraints.
The current developments in generative artificial intelligence have had a major impact on predictive-based modeling and decision-making in autonomous systems. Diffusion-based models are shown to be successful at generating diverse future paths in the presence of uncertainty; meanwhile, Ref. [18] identifies transformer-based world models as capable of modeling various temporal dependencies in predictive planning. Correspondingly, recent studies [19] highlight the power of generative models in autonomous driving and robotic navigation, where it is necessary to consider multiple possible future courses of action to operate safely and efficiently. Additionally, there is the issue of integrating generative modeling with decision-making models to enable foresight-based planning rather than reactive or deterministic methods, as presented in [20].
Moreover, the authors in [21] highlight the use of probabilistic modeling on the coordination of the multi-agent systems, especially in dynamic and safety-critical settings. These advancements suggest increased interest in adopting the synergistic approach to generative prediction and adaptive control for real-time navigation. However, they are still using them a little for UAV navigation in moving traffic networks despite these advancements. Specifically, predictive modeling and the effective application of risk-aware decision-making based on energy and safety constraints are not sufficiently incorporated into most existing methods. This gap presents an opportunity to develop common paradigms integrating generative modeling, trajectory synthesis, and risk-aware optimization to enhance resilient UAV navigation.
The literature review demonstrates that there are several gaps in UAV navigation studies. The classical and reinforcement learning-based approaches tend to be reactive, whereas multi-agent approaches often lack explicit consideration of uncertainty or probabilistic safety. Even though generative models offer better predictive performance, the majority of studies hitherto have not combined this with risk-conscious trajectory analysis under operational constraints. Similarly, existing methods for multi-UAV coordination enhance conflict avoidance but seldom provide cooperative, generative planning with energy-aware decisions. The presented GWM framework can overcome these constraints by combining probabilistic environment modeling, diffusion-based trajectory generation, and risk-aware trajectory selection, and can be generalized to multi-UAV systems with a common latent representation.
3 System Model and Problem Formulation
In this section, we formally specify the environment and UAV dynamics that we propose, as well as the optimization goals of the proposed GWM. We use mathematical formulations to analyze UAV conditions, generate forecasts, streamline tillage, and assess risk-prone decisions.
We consider a dynamic traffic network represented as a directed graph, denoted by
where
This abstract formulation of the environment and dynamics of UAVs provides the basis for trajectory planning, generation prediction, and risk-aware decision-making in the proposed GWM framework. We define a generative world model,
such predictions depend on traffic density and obstacle positions, among other environmental factors. Diffusion models or transformer-based prediction networks can be used to implement the generative model, enabling UAVs to simulate various possible futures. For each future time step
Based on the generative predictions from Stage I, each UAV
where
where
where
The UAV navigation issue is described as risk-adaptive trajectory optimization in dynamical traffic conditions in the presence of uncertainty. The generative world model is used to predict future environmental states and determine the generation and selection of candidate trajectories, depending on energy and flight-time limitations and the risk of collision. Multi-UAV can also be associated with optional swarm-level coordination, which enhances efficiency, conflict avoidance, and general safety.
The proposed risk-aware UAV navigation framework consists of three stages: GWM for predicting future environmental states, diffusion-based trajectory generation for producing candidate paths, and a Risk-Aware Decision Module for selecting the optimal trajectory based on energy consumption, collision risk, and mission objectives. As shown in Fig. 1, these stages are integrated to enable adaptive UAV navigation in dynamic and uncertain traffic environments.

Figure 1: Architecture of the proposed Generative World Modeling (GWM) framework for risk-aware UAV navigation.
Stage I: Generative World Modeling: In Stage I, each UAV constructs a generative model of the environment, enabling anticipation of multiple future scenarios. This stage allows UAVs to imagine the consequences of different navigation decisions prior to action. The inputs to the generative model include the current environmental state
Stage II: Diffusion-Based Trajectory Generation: In Stage II, each UAV generates multiple candidate trajectories from the predicted environment states in Stage I using diffusion-based generative models. Each UAV generates the candidate trajectory set
Stage III: Risk-Aware Decision Module: In Stage III, the risk-aware decision module examines the set of candidate trajectories produced by Stage II and selects the best trajectory to guide UAV navigation, thereby reducing anticipated expenses under uncertainties. The risk-aware decision module selects the optimal trajectory using the objective already defined in Eq. (5). For each candidate path, the module estimates expected cost under predicted uncertainty and computes cumulative collision risk from the world-model forecasts. The risk score represents the probability of collision with dynamic obstacles or neighboring UAVs within the modeled safety radius across the prediction horizon. Candidates exceeding the collision threshold ε the maximum energy budget Emax, or the maximum flight-time limit Tmax are eliminated. Among the remaining candidates, the trajectory with the lowest expected cost is selected and executed in a receding-horizon manner, with predictions updated continuously at each time step. These probabilities are summed throughout the prediction horizon to receive the cumulative trajectory risk. A collision threshold
The decision-making process steps include computation of the predicted cost of every candidate trajectory in the case of environmental uncertainty, calculation of the risk of normal trajectories by predicted obstacle positions, traffic dynamics and UAV-to-UAV collisions in the case of multiple agents, choosing the trajectory
Multi-UAV and Swarm Extension: For scenarios involving multiple UAVs operating simultaneously, a shared latent space,
The suggested methodology comprises three primary stages: GWM to predict environmental dynamics, diffusion-based trajectory generation to produce viable candidate paths, and a Risk-Aware Decision Module to select the most appropriate trajectory based on energy, flight time, and safety constraints. In the case of multi-UAV, voluntary swarm coordination enables the UAVs to exchange generative forecasts to enhance collective navigation. Collectively, the components facilitate the safe, efficient, and adaptive navigation of the UAV in the changing traffic conditions as summarized in Algorithm 1.

5 Simulation and Experimental Setup
The GWM framework became the subject of the proposed research and the level of its performance was tested on publicly available UAV trajectory and traffic datasets. Using Python, the simulations were conducted in Google Colab under controlled conditions to study UAV navigation characteristics under low and high traffic conditions, dynamic obstacles, and single- and multi-UAV (swarm) environments, with sufficient reproducibility and scalability.
To simulate real-world UAV navigation scenarios, we used the SWIFTraj repository, which provides trajectories of vehicles in urban and freeway environments observed by UAVs. The dataset comprises long trajectories of moving vehicles, providing realistic mobility patterns of obstacles and traffic that can be used to assess trajectory planning, collision avoidance, and energy expenditure in UAV operation. To be fair and reproducible, the SWIFTraj dataset is aligned with UAV navigation by treating the 2D trajectories as time-dependent multi-agent traffic patterns and adding an altitude axis, providing a simplified view of the 3D space. The resultant state-of-the-art trajectories are normalized and overlaid over the UAV traffic network, and collision modeling constraints are added to the state space through vertical separation constraints. Then, using an 80/20 split, the dataset is divided into training and test sets. Every method is tested at the same UAV conditions, environmental conditions, and working conditions, and the experiment is replicated in several runs with averaged outcomes reported to allow similar comparisons. The simulation environment follows the directed traffic-graph formulation introduced in Eq. (1). For the experimental instantiation, the graph contains depots
where the dynamic obstacles were directly derived on vehicle paths in the database to offer realistic movement pattern in UAV path planning and collision avoidance.
The simulated UAVs were configured with realistic operational characteristics, including a maximum flight time of
The simulations were conducted in Python 3.10 on Google Colab using NumPy, Pandas, NetworkX, Matplotlib, Seaborn, and SciPy. The runtime environment included an Intel Xeon 2.3 GHz CPU, 12 GB RAM, and an NVIDIA Tesla T4 GPU, providing efficient support for large-scale UAV trajectory simulation and reproducible evaluation. To evaluate the proposed GWM framework, we compared it with seven baseline methods: A*, Dijkstra, Rapidly-exploring Random Tree (RRT), RL, Conflict-based search (CBS), Hybrid RL+CBS, and Predictive RL. These baselines represent classical, learning-based, and multi-agent planning approaches, providing a comprehensive basis for assessing the efficiency and robustness of the proposed method.
UAV navigation performance was evaluated using mission success rate, average delivery time, energy consumption, collision rate, safety score, path optimality, and swarm coordination. Simulations were conducted under realistic conditions with low (
The experimental environment is a composition of the SWIFTraj dataset, Python Colab implementation, and realistic UAV operating parameters, in order to test the proposed GWM framework in the context of various traffic densities, dynamic obstacles, single- and multi-UAV rules, and circumstances with seven established baseline approaches. To be fair and reproducible, each baseline is evaluated under the same set of conditions, with hyperparameters chosen either from the literature or selected via validation. The results are reported as mean and standard deviation, with multiple runs and test statistics, and the ablation analysis is provided accordingly to enhance the validity of the assessment.
The proposed GWM framework was evaluated under varying traffic loads, moving obstacles, and single- and multi-UAV swarm scenarios, and compared with seven baseline methods: A*, Dijkstra, RRT, Reinforcement Learning, Conflict-Based Search, Hybrid RL+CBS, and Predictive RL. Performance was assessed using mission success rate, average delivery time, energy consumption, collision rate, safety score, path optimality, and swarm coordination. The greatest performance of the proposed framework is conducted by its integration of predictive modeling, generative trajectory sampling, and risk-aware decision-making, which together enable better adaptation to dynamic environments and a more effective balance between safety and efficiency.
The mission success rate represents the percentage of UAV missions completed without failure and was evaluated under varying traffic densities. Under low traffic conditions (


Figure 2: UAV mission success rate at different traffic densities.
The delivery time parameter was the time difference between the UAV’s departure and the package’s delivery, and its comparison was performed in single-UAV and multi-UAV swarm modes. The GWM framework presented in single-UAV operations has also saved 14%–18% time in delivery compared to their counterparts that employ RL. Co-ordinated trajectories that share latent-space predictions for a swarm of multi-UAVs also reduced the delivery time by 22% compared to CBS. GWM trajectory generation uses a diffusion approach that enables UAVs to select routes with lower energy expenditure that evade evolving impediments. The correspondingly summarized Table 2 of the results is presented in Fig. 3.


Figure 3: Average delivery time at different traffic densities.
One of the primary measures of UAV endurance is energy efficiency, which was evaluated under varying traffic and operating conditions. The GWM framework shown for single-UAV missions entailed 21.3 units per mission under medium traffic density, and 27.5 and 31.2 units under Predictive RL and A*, respectively. In swarm operations, cooperative latent-space planning refined the number of units of energy per individual UAV to be 19.8 units, which illustrates the benefit of multi-UAV coordinated operations. The corresponding quantitative results are summarized in Table 3 and depicted in Fig. 4.


Figure 4: Energy consumption per UAV at different traffic densities.
One of the most pressing issues in UAV navigation is collision avoidance, particularly when UAVs are concentrated within a traffic network. The suggested GWM framework in single UAV missions hit 0.9% of the suggested collision rate, which is significantly lower than the A* framework at 5.4% and the RL framework at 3.7%. In the swarm operations of 5–10 UAVs, the collision probability increased slightly to 1.8%; however, with a shared generative latent-space, an investigation showed that inter-UAV conflicts decreased by 32% relative to CBS, as demonstrated in Fig. 5. The safety score, a composite index of energy efficiency and collision avoidance, was 94.6% for single-UAV missions and 92.1% for swarm operations. These findings underscore the utility of the GWM framework for enhancing the efficiency and safety of UAV navigation. Table 4 presents the related quantitative data, and Fig. 6 shows their illustration.

Figure 5: Swarm coordination showing conflicts, delivery time, and energy.


Figure 6: Comparison of collision rate and safety score.
Path optimality measures the efficiency of UAV paths relative to theoretically optimal paths, such as those with minimum cost. The proposed GWM achieved high optimality of 87.2%, 84.5%, and 81.3% under low, medium, and high traffic, respectively. Compared with other baseline approaches, including RRT with 72%–75% and Predictive RL with 78%–80% optimality, GWM achieves a better balance among path optimality, trajectory safety, and energy efficiency. The results are represented in Fig. 7.

Figure 7: Path optimality at different traffic densities.
In order to understand the contribution of an individual component further, an ablation study is done by removing important modules in the proposed framework. Table 5 demonstrates that without the generative world model, performance is considerably lower because of the absence of predictive power, and that not using the diffusion-based trajectory generation restricts the variety of possible paths. Similarly, eliminating the risk-aware decision module will result in unsafe or suboptimal path stops. The complete model is most successful and demonstrates the efficacy of combining predictive modeling, generative path generation, and risk-sensitive optimization into a single structure.

Experimental findings allow us to draw several main conclusions about the efficiency of the GWM framework. First, generative imagination promotes navigation by enabling UAVs to plan routes in advance, thereby reducing mission failures and collisions. Second, a diffusion-generated trajectory is less susceptible to uncertainty, offering many candidate paths that UAVs can select to achieve safety and energy efficiency. Third, the risk-aware decision module enhances overall safety by accounting for energy limitations, collision risk, and forecasted traffic when selecting optimal routes. Fourth, multi-UAV shared latent-space planning with swarm-level generative cognition mitigates inter-UAV conflicts, minimizes energy usage, and reduces delivery time. Lastly, the GWM framework performs strongly on the metrics, consistently outperforming classical, RL-based, and conflict-based baseline approaches, indicating its effectiveness in dynamic and uncertain traffic networks.
In this paper, a GWM architecture of risk-aware autonomous UAV navigation in changing traffic networks was suggested. By combining generative AI, diffusion-based trajectory generation, and risk-based decision compression, UAVs can anticipate traffic and obstacle dynamics, traverse energy-efficient, systematically safe paths, and respond in real time to environmental vagaries. The overall outcomes of the simulation show that GWM is effective across major parameters, including mission success rate, average delivery time, energy consumption, collision avoidance, and angular efficiency of the paths, thereby meeting the needs of high-performance and adaptive UAV missions.
The suggested system integrates predictive actions for changing traffic and environmental states, trajectory generation using diffusion models, and risk-aware actions within a single architecture, and optionally joint coordination in the latent space when using many UAVs. The experimental analysis at varying traffic conditions has shown that it can enhance safety, efficiency, and mission performance. Nevertheless, the approach can entail computational cost and be vulnerable to prediction error, communication delays, and physical constraints on hardware implementation. Future developments will thus aim at any physical UAV platform or use of UAVs in integration with UAV traffic management systems, and additionally optimizing it for scalable, real-time, and safety-critical uses.
Acknowledgement: Not applicable.
Funding Statement: Princess Nourah bint Abdulrahman University Researchers Supporting Project number (PNURSP2026R435), Princess Nourah bint Abdulrahman University, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.
Author Contributions: Conceptualization, Alaa M. Momani and Deema Mohammed Alsekait; methodology, Mahmoud Ahmad Al-Khasawneh; software, Siti Hajar Othman; validation, Nikunj Sharma; formal analysis, Wee How Khoh; investigation, Wee How Khoh; resources, Nikunj Sharma; data curation, Ibraheem Al-Tarawneh; writing—original draft preparation, Alaa M. Momani; writing—review and editing, Deema Mohammed Alsekait and Mahmoud Ahmad Al-Khasawneh; visualization, Nikunj Sharma and Siti Hajar Othman; supervision, Wee How Khoh; project administration, Mahmoud Ahmad Al-Khasawneh; funding acquisition, Deema Mohammed Alsekait. All authors reviewed and approved the final version of the manuscript.
Availability of Data and Materials: Data will be available on suitable request from the authors.
Ethics Approval: Not applicable.
Conflicts of Interest: The authors declare no conflicts of interest.
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Copyright © 2026 The Author(s). Published by Tech Science Press.This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License , which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.


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