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    ARTICLE

    An Improved CREAM Model Based on DS Evidence Theory and DEMATEL

    Zhihui Xu1, Shuwen Shang2, Yuntong Pu3, Xiaoyan Su2,*, Hong Qian2, Xiaolei Pan2

    CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.138, No.3, pp. 2597-2617, 2024, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2023.031247

    Abstract Cognitive Reliability and Error Analysis Method (CREAM) is widely used in human reliability analysis (HRA). It defines nine common performance conditions (CPCs), which represent the factors that may affect human reliability and are used to modify the cognitive failure probability (CFP). However, the levels of CPCs are usually determined by domain experts, which may be subjective and uncertain. What’s more, the classic CREAM assumes that the CPCs are independent, which is unrealistic. Ignoring the dependence among CPCs will result in repeated calculations of the influence of the CPCs on CFP and lead to unreasonable reliability evaluation. To address the issue… More > Graphic Abstract

    An Improved CREAM Model Based on DS Evidence Theory and DEMATEL

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