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  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    SutteARIMA: A Novel Method for Forecasting the Infant Mortality Rate in Indonesia

    Ansari Saleh Ahmar1,2,*, Eva Boj del Val3, M. A. El Safty4, Samirah AlZahrani4, Hamed El-Khawaga5,6

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.70, No.3, pp. 6007-6022, 2022, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2022.021382

    Abstract This study focuses on the novel forecasting method (SutteARIMA) and its application in predicting Infant Mortality Rate data in Indonesia. It undertakes a comparison of the most popular and widely used four forecasting methods: ARIMA, Neural Networks Time Series (NNAR), Holt-Winters, and SutteARIMA. The data used were obtained from the website of the World Bank. The data consisted of the annual infant mortality rate (per 1000 live births) from 1991 to 2019. To determine a suitable and best method for predicting Infant Mortality rate, the forecasting results of these four methods were compared based on the mean absolute percentage error… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Applications of DTALE: Damage Tolerance Analysis and Life Enhancement [3-D Non-plannar Fatigue Crack Growth]

    S. N. Atluri1

    Structural Durability & Health Monitoring, Vol.1, No.1, pp. 1-20, 2005, DOI:10.3970/sdhm.2005.001.001

    Abstract The solution of three-dimensional cracks (arbitrary surfaces of discontinuity) in solids and structures is considered. The BEM, developed based on the symmetric Galerkin BIEs, is used for obtaining the fracture solutions at the arbitrary crack-front. The finite element method is used to model the uncracked global (built-up) structure for obtaining the stresses in an otherwise uncracked body. The solution for the cracked structural component is obtained in an iteration procedure, which alternates between FEM solution for the uncracked body, and the SGBEM solution for the crack in the local finite-sized subdomain. In addition, some crack growth models are used to… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Design of a Two-State Shuttle Memory Device

    Richard K. F. Lee1, James M. Hill2

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.20, No.1, pp. 85-100, 2010, DOI:10.3970/cmc.2010.020.085

    Abstract In this study, we investigate the mechanics of a metallofullerene shuttle memory device, comprising a metallofullerene which is located inside a closed carbon nanotube. The interaction energy for the system is obtained from the 6-12 Lennard-Jones potential using the continuum approximation, which assumes that a discrete atomic structure can be replaced by an average atomic surface density. This approach shows that the system has two equal minimum energy positions, which are symmetrically located close to the tube extremities, and therefore it gives rise to the possibility of being used as a two-state memory device. On one side the encapsulated metallofullerene… More >

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