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    ARTICLE

    A Fast Product of Conditional Reduction Method for System Failure Probability Sensitivity Evaluation

    Jie Yang1,2, Changping Chen1,2,*, Ao Ma1

    CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.125, No.3, pp. 1159-1171, 2020, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2020.09640

    Abstract System reliability sensitivity analysis becomes difficult due to involving the issues of the correlation between failure modes whether using analytic method or numerical simulation methods. A fast conditional reduction method based on conditional probability theory is proposed to solve the sensitivity analysis based on the approximate analytic method. The relevant concepts are introduced to characterize the correlation between failure modes by the reliability index and correlation coefficient, and conditional normal fractile the for the multi-dimensional conditional failure analysis is proposed based on the two-dimensional normal distribution function. Thus the calculation of system failure probability can be represented as a summation… More >

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