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  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    A Stochastic Model to Assess the Epidemiological Impact of Vaccine Booster Doses on COVID-19 and Viral Hepatitis B Co-Dynamics with Real Data

    Andrew Omame1,2,*, Mujahid Abbas3,6, Dumitru Baleanu4,5,6

    CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.138, No.3, pp. 2973-3012, 2024, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2023.029681

    Abstract A patient co-infected with COVID-19 and viral hepatitis B can be at more risk of severe complications than the one infected with a single infection. This study develops a comprehensive stochastic model to assess the epidemiological impact of vaccine booster doses on the co-dynamics of viral hepatitis B and COVID-19. The model is fitted to real COVID-19 data from Pakistan. The proposed model incorporates logistic growth and saturated incidence functions. Rigorous analyses using the tools of stochastic calculus, are performed to study appropriate conditions for the existence of unique global solutions, stationary distribution in the sense of ergodicity and disease… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Dynamical Analysis of the Stochastic COVID-19 Model Using Piecewise Differential Equation Technique

    Yu-Ming Chu1, Sobia Sultana2, Saima Rashid3,*, Mohammed Shaaf Alharthi4

    CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.137, No.3, pp. 2427-2464, 2023, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2023.028771

    Abstract Various data sets showing the prevalence of numerous viral diseases have demonstrated that the transmission is not truly homogeneous. Two examples are the spread of Spanish flu and COVID-19. The aim of this research is to develop a comprehensive nonlinear stochastic model having six cohorts relying on ordinary differential equations via piecewise fractional differential operators. Firstly, the strength number of the deterministic case is carried out. Then, for the stochastic model, we show that there is a critical number that can predict virus persistence and infection eradication. Because of the peculiarity of this notion, an interesting way… More >

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