Shobhit Verma¹ , Nonita Sharma¹ , Aman Singh² , Abdullah Alharbi³ , Wael Alosaimi³ , Hashem Alyami⁴, Deepali Gupta⁵, Nitin Goyal^{5 ,*}

CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.70, No.3, pp. 6041-6055, 2022, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2022.021747

Abstract This research work proposes a new stack-based generalization ensemble model to forecast the number of incidences of conjunctivitis disease. In addition to forecasting the occurrences of conjunctivitis incidences, the proposed model also improves performance by using the ensemble model. Weekly rate of acute Conjunctivitis per 1000 for Hong Kong is collected for the duration of the first week of January 2010 to the last week of December 2019. Pre-processing techniques such as imputation of missing values and logarithmic transformation are applied to pre-process the data sets. A stacked generalization ensemble model based on Auto-ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average), NNAR (Neural… More >

Haresh Kumar Sharma, Kriti Kumari, Samarjit Kar

Intelligent Automation & Soft Computing, Vol.25, No.1, pp. 1-14, 2019, DOI:10.31209/2018.100000036

Abstract This article focuses on the use of the rough set theory in modeling of time series forecasting. In this paper, we have used the double exponential smoothing (DES) model for forecasting. The classical DES model has been improved by using the rough set technique. The improved double exponential smoothing (IDES) method can be used for the time series data without any statistical assumptions. The proposed method is applied on tourism demand of the air transportation passenger data set in Australia and the results are compared with the classical DES model. It has been observed that the forecasting accuracy of the… More >