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    ARTICLE

    Fractional Order Modeling of Predicting COVID-19 with Isolation and Vaccination Strategies in Morocco

    Lakhlifa Sadek1, Otmane Sadek1, Hamad Talibi Alaoui2, Mohammed S. Abdo3, Kamal Shah4,5, Thabet Abdeljawad4,6,*

    CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.136, No.2, pp. 1931-1950, 2023, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2023.025033

    Abstract In this work, we present a model that uses the fractional order Caputo derivative for the novel Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) with different hospitalization strategies for severe and mild cases and incorporate an awareness program. We generalize the SEIR model of the spread of COVID-19 with a private focus on the transmissibility of people who are aware of the disease and follow preventative health measures and people who are ignorant of the disease and do not follow preventive health measures. Moreover, individuals with severe, mild symptoms and asymptomatically infected are also considered. The basic reproduction number () and local stability… More >

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