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  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Optimal Energy Forecasting Using Hybrid Recurrent Neural Networks

    Elumalaivasan Poongavanam1,*, Padmanathan Kasinathan2, Kulothungan Kanagasabai3

    Intelligent Automation & Soft Computing, Vol.36, No.1, pp. 249-265, 2023, DOI:10.32604/iasc.2023.030101 - 29 September 2022

    Abstract The nation deserves to learn what India’s future energy demand will be in order to plan and implement an energy policy. This energy demand will have to be fulfilled by an adequate mix of existing energy sources, considering the constraints imposed by future economic and social changes in the direction of a more sustainable world. Forecasting energy demand, on the other hand, is a tricky task because it is influenced by numerous micro-variables. As a result, an macro model with only a few factors that may be predicted globally, rather than a detailed analysis for… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Dynamic Ensemble Multivariate Time Series Forecasting Model for PM2.5

    Narendran Sobanapuram Muruganandam, Umamakeswari Arumugam*

    Computer Systems Science and Engineering, Vol.44, No.2, pp. 979-989, 2023, DOI:10.32604/csse.2023.024943 - 15 June 2022

    Abstract In forecasting real time environmental factors, large data is needed to analyse the pattern behind the data values. Air pollution is a major threat towards developing countries and it is proliferating every year. Many methods in time series prediction and deep learning models to estimate the severity of air pollution. Each independent variable contributing towards pollution is necessary to analyse the trend behind the air pollution in that particular locality. This approach selects multivariate time series and coalesce a real time updatable autoregressive model to forecast Particulate matter (PM) PM2.5. To perform experimental analysis the… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Holt-Winters Algorithm to Predict the Stock Value Using Recurrent Neural Network

    M. Mohan1,*, P. C. Kishore Raja2, P. Velmurugan3, A. Kulothungan4

    Intelligent Automation & Soft Computing, Vol.35, No.1, pp. 1151-1163, 2023, DOI:10.32604/iasc.2023.026255 - 06 June 2022

    Abstract Prediction of stock market value is highly risky because it is based on the concept of Time Series forecasting system that can be used for investments in a safe environment with minimized chances of loss. The proposed model uses a real time dataset of fifteen Stocks as input into the system and based on the data, predicts or forecast future stock prices of different companies belonging to different sectors. The dataset includes approximately fifteen companies from different sectors and forecasts their results based on which the user can decide whether to invest in the particular… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Outlier Detection and Forecasting for Bridge Health Monitoring Based on Time Series Intervention Analysis

    Bing Qu*, Ping Liao, Yaolong Huang

    Structural Durability & Health Monitoring, Vol.16, No.4, pp. 323-341, 2022, DOI:10.32604/sdhm.2022.021446 - 03 January 2023

    Abstract The method of time series analysis, applied by establishing appropriate mathematical models for bridge health monitoring data and making forecasts of structural future behavior, stands out as a novel and viable research direction for bridge state assessment. However, outliers inevitably exist in the monitoring data due to various interventions, which reduce the precision of model fitting and affect the forecasting results. Therefore, the identification of outliers is crucial for the accurate interpretation of the monitoring data. In this study, a time series model combined with outlier information for bridge health monitoring is established using intervention… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    A TMA-Seq2seq Network for Multi-Factor Time Series Sea Surface Temperature Prediction

    Qi He1, Wenlong Li1, Zengzhou Hao2, Guohua Liu3, Dongmei Huang1, Wei Song1,*, Huifang Xu4, Fayez Alqahtani5, Jeong-Uk Kim6

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.73, No.1, pp. 51-67, 2022, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2022.026771 - 18 May 2022

    Abstract Sea surface temperature (SST) is closely related to global climate change, ocean ecosystem, and ocean disaster. Accurate prediction of SST is an urgent and challenging task. With a vast amount of ocean monitoring data are continually collected, data-driven methods for SST time-series prediction show promising results. However, they are limited by neglecting complex interactions between SST and other ocean environmental factors, such as air temperature and wind speed. This paper uses multi-factor time series SST data to propose a sequence-to-sequence network with two-module attention (TMA-Seq2seq) for long-term time series SST prediction. Specifically, TMA-Seq2seq is an… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    A Hybrid Neural Network-based Approach for Forecasting Water Demand

    Al-Batool Al-Ghamdi1,*, Souad Kamel2, Mashael Khayyat3

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.73, No.1, pp. 1365-1383, 2022, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2022.026246 - 18 May 2022

    Abstract Water is a vital resource. It supports a multitude of industries, civilizations, and agriculture. However, climatic conditions impact water availability, particularly in desert areas where the temperature is high, and rain is scarce. Therefore, it is crucial to forecast water demand to provide it to sectors either on regular or emergency days. The study aims to develop an accurate model to forecast daily water demand under the impact of climatic conditions. This forecasting is known as a multivariate time series because it uses both the historical data of water demand and climatic conditions to forecast… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Novel Time Series Bagging Based Hybrid Models for Predicting Historical Water Levels in the Mekong Delta Region, Vietnam

    Nguyen Thanh Hoan1, Nguyen Van Dung1, Ho Le Thu1, Hoa Thuy Quynh1, Nadhir Al-Ansari2,*, Tran Van Phong3, Phan Trong Trinh3, Dam Duc Nguyen4, Hiep Van Le4, Hanh Bich Thi Nguyen4, Mahdis Amiri5, Indra Prakash6, Binh Thai Pham4,*

    CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.131, No.3, pp. 1431-1449, 2022, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2022.018699 - 19 April 2022

    Abstract Water level predictions in the river, lake and delta play an important role in flood management. Every year Mekong River delta of Vietnam is experiencing flood due to heavy monsoon rains and high tides. Land subsidence may also aggravate flooding problems in this area. Therefore, accurate predictions of water levels in this region are very important to forewarn the people and authorities for taking timely adequate remedial measures to prevent losses of life and property. There are so many methods available to predict the water levels based on historical data but nowadays Machine Learning (ML)… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Wavelet Based Detection of Outliers in Volatility Time Series Models

    Khudhayr A. Rashedi1,2,*, Mohd Tahir Ismail1, Abdeslam Serroukh3, S. Al wadi4

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.72, No.2, pp. 3835-3847, 2022, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2022.026476 - 29 March 2022

    Abstract We introduce a new wavelet based procedure for detecting outliers in financial discrete time series. The procedure focuses on the analysis of residuals obtained from a model fit, and applied to the Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) like model, but not limited to these models. We apply the Maximal-Overlap Discrete Wavelet Transform (MODWT) to the residuals and compare their wavelet coefficients against quantile thresholds to detect outliers. Our methodology has several advantages over existing methods that make use of the standard Discrete Wavelet Transform (DWT). The series sample size does not need to be a More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Spectral Vacancy Prediction Using Time Series Forecasting for Cognitive Radio Applications

    Vineetha Mathai*, P. Indumathi

    Intelligent Automation & Soft Computing, Vol.33, No.3, pp. 1729-1746, 2022, DOI:10.32604/iasc.2022.024234 - 24 March 2022

    Abstract An identification of unfilled primary user spectrum using a novel method is presented in this paper. Cooperation among users with the utilization of machine learning methods is analyzed. Learning methods are applied to construct the classifier, which selects the suitable fusion algorithm for the considered environment so that the out of band sensing is performed efficiently. Sensing performance is looked into with the existence of fading and it is observed that sensing performance degrades with fading which coincides with earlier findings. From the simulation, it can be inferred that Weibull fading outperforms all the other… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Modeling of Hyperparameter Tuned Hybrid CNN and LSTM for Prediction Model

    J. Faritha Banu1,*, S. B. Rajeshwari2, Jagadish S. Kallimani2, S. Vasanthi3, Ahmed Mateen Buttar4, M. Sangeetha5, Sanjay Bhargava6

    Intelligent Automation & Soft Computing, Vol.33, No.3, pp. 1393-1405, 2022, DOI:10.32604/iasc.2022.024176 - 24 March 2022

    Abstract The stock market is an important domain in which the investors are focused to, therefore accurate prediction of stock market trends remains a hot research area among business-people and researchers. Because of the non-stationary features of the stock market, the stock price prediction is considered a challenging task and is affected by several factors. Anticipating stock market trends is a difficult endeavor that requires a lot of attention, because correctly predicting stock prices can lead to significant rewards if the right judgments are made. Due to non-stationary, noisy, and chaotic data, stock market prediction is… More >

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