Said Benkachcha^1,*, Mustapha Adar¹, Mohamed Maniana², Youssef Najih¹, Mourad Kaddiri¹, Mutapha Mabrouki¹

Energy Engineering, Vol.123, No.6, 2026, DOI:10.32604/ee.2026.075406 - 27 May 2026

Abstract Accurate forecasting of solar photovoltaic (PV) power generation is essential for enabling reliable integration of renewable energy into modern power systems. Variability in solar production, driven by meteorological fluctuations and inherent nonlinear dynamics, presents significant challenges for grid stability, operational planning, and energy management. This study investigates and compares the performance of classical statistical forecasting techniques and advanced deep learning approaches using real PV production data from a Moroccan solar plant. The analysis focuses on accuracy, robustness, computational efficiency, and suitability for short-term operational applications. Among statistical approaches, the Holt–Winters model demonstrated strong capability in… More > Graphic Abstract

Xi Li¹, Yingjie Chang¹, Peng Chen^1,*, Ang Bian¹, Ning Lu^1,2,*

CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.88, No.1, 2026, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2026.077521 - 08 May 2026

Abstract Multivariate time series anomaly detection (MTSAD) is a critical task for real-time risk control and fault diagnosis in industrial monitoring, aerospace, and financial domains. Unsupervised MTSAD confronts three core challenges: label scarcity in practical scenarios, diverse anomaly patterns that demand adaptive modeling, and weak feature discriminability between normal and anomalous samples. To address these challenges, we propose a Prototype Memory and Contrastive Learning Based Unsupervised Anomaly Detection for Multivariate Time Series method named PC-UAD. PC-UAD comprises three core modules with hierarchical functionalities: (1) A Temporal PatchEmbedder, which adopts learnable positional encoding for dynamic temporal representation… More >

Guotai Huang, Xiyu Gao, Peng Liu, Liming Zhou^*

CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.87, No.2, 2026, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2026.074941 - 12 March 2026

Abstract To address the insufficient prediction accuracy of multi-state parameters in electro-hydraulic servo material fatigue testing machines under complex loading and nonlinear coupling conditions, this paper proposes a multivariate sequence-to-sequence prediction model integrating a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) encoder, a Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) decoder, and a multi-head attention mechanism. This approach enhances prediction accuracy and robustness across different control modes and load spectra by leveraging multi-channel inputs and cross-variable feature interactions, thereby capturing both short-term high-frequency dynamics and long-term slow drift characteristics. Experiments using long-term data from real test benches demonstrate that the model achieves… More >

Qi Wang, Kelvin Amos Nicodemas^*

CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.87, No.2, 2026, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2026.074305 - 12 March 2026

Abstract Multivariate time series forecasting plays a crucial role in decision-making for systems like energy grids and transportation networks, where temporal patterns emerge across diverse scales from short-term fluctuations to long-term trends. However, existing Transformer-based methods often process data at a single resolution or handle multiple scales independently, overlooking critical cross-scale interactions that influence prediction accuracy. To address this gap, we introduce the Hierarchical Attention Transformer (HAT), which enables direct information exchange between temporal hierarchies through a novel cross-scale attention mechanism. HAT extracts multi-scale features using hierarchical convolutional-recurrent blocks, fuses them via temperature-controlled mechanisms, and optimizes More >

Guebin Choi^*

CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.146, No.1, 2026, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2025.073985 - 29 January 2026

Abstract This study proposes a novel forecasting framework that simultaneously captures the strong periodicity and irregular meteorological fluctuations inherent in solar radiation time series. Existing approaches typically define inter-regional correlations using either simple correlation coefficients or distance-based measures when applying spatio-temporal graph neural networks (STGNNs). However, such definitions are prone to generating spurious correlations due to the dominance of periodic structures. To address this limitation, we adopt the Elastic-Band Transform (EBT) to decompose solar radiation into periodic and amplitude-modulated components, which are then modeled independently with separate graph neural networks. The periodic component, characterized by strong More >

Jihoon Moon^*

CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.146, No.1, 2026, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2025.071052 - 29 January 2026

Abstract Predicting the behavior of renewable energy systems requires models capable of generating accurate forecasts from limited historical data, a challenge that becomes especially pronounced when commissioning new facilities where operational records are scarce. This review aims to synthesize recent progress in data-efficient deep learning approaches for addressing such “cold-start” forecasting problems. It primarily covers three interrelated domains—solar photovoltaic (PV), wind power, and electrical load forecasting—where data scarcity and operational variability are most critical, while also including representative studies on hydropower and carbon emission prediction to provide a broader systems perspective. To this end, we examined… More >

Zhongrui Jing¹, Hongzhang Yang^1,*, Jiangpu Guo²

CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.86, No.2, pp. 1-25, 2026, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2025.067759 - 09 December 2025

Abstract Hard disk drives (HDDs) serve as the primary storage devices in modern data centers. Once a failure occurs, it often leads to severe data loss, significantly degrading the reliability of storage systems. Numerous studies have proposed machine learning-based HDD failure prediction models. However, the Self-Monitoring, Analysis, and Reporting Technology (SMART) attributes differ across HDD manufacturers. We define hard drives of the same brand and model as homogeneous HDD groups, and those from different brands or models as heterogeneous HDD groups. In practical engineering scenarios, a data center is often composed of a heterogeneous population of… More >

Jeongsu Park¹, Moohong Min^2,*

CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.145, No.3, pp. 3913-3948, 2025, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2025.072261 - 23 December 2025

Abstract Time series anomaly detection is critical in domains such as manufacturing, finance, and cybersecurity. Recent generative AI models, particularly Transformer- and Autoencoder-based architectures, show strong accuracy but their robustness under noisy conditions is less understood. This study evaluates three representative models—AnomalyTransformer, TranAD, and USAD—on the Server Machine Dataset (SMD) and cross-domain benchmarks including the Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) dataset, the Mars Science Laboratory (MSL) dataset, and the Secure Water Treatment (SWaT) testbed. Seven noise settings (five canonical, two mixed) at multiple intensities are tested under fixed clean-data training, with variations in window, stride, and More > Graphic Abstract

Manzhu Liao¹, Lan Yang¹, Liehua Tie¹, Qiqiang Guo^1,*, Weilie Zheng^2,*, Jiangrong Li², Yongxia Li²

Phyton-International Journal of Experimental Botany, Vol.94, No.11, pp. 3633-3652, 2025, DOI:10.32604/phyton.2025.072725 - 01 December 2025

Abstract Cupressus gigantea is an endemic endangered tree species in the Tibet Plateau, and studying the survival status of the different C. gigantea populations and revealing the main environmental factors that affect the population survival are particularly significant for the conservation and sustainable development of endangered species. Based on the 28 sample plots, the Hierarchical Cluster Method was used to classify the C. gigantea populations into four community types. Age structure diagrams were drawn based on the structure of each community, static life tables and survival curves were compiled, and the future development trends of each age group in… More >

Ugur Madran, Saeed Mian Qaisar^*, Duygu Soyoglu

CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.145, No.2, pp. 1969-1992, 2025, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2025.072024 - 26 November 2025

Abstract Recent advancements in smart-meter technology are transforming traditional power systems into intelligent smart grids. It offers substantial benefits across social, environmental, and economic dimensions. To effectively realize these advantages, a fine-grained collection and analysis of smart meter data is essential. However, the high dimensionality and volume of such time-series present significant challenges, including increased computational load, data transmission overhead, latency, and complexity in real-time analysis. This study proposes a novel, computationally efficient framework for feature extraction and selection tailored to smart meter time-series data. The approach begins with an extensive offline analysis, where features are… More >