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# Ensemble Model for Spindle Thermal Displacement Prediction of Machine Tools

1 Department of Mechanical Engineering, National Chung Cheng University, Chiayi, 62102, Taiwan

2 Advanced Institute of Manufacturing with High-Tech Innovations (AIM-HI), National Chung Cheng University, Chiayi, 62102, Taiwan

* Corresponding Author: Her-Terng Yau. Email:

(This article belongs to this Special Issue: Computational Mechanics Assisted Modern Urban Planning and Infrastructure)

*Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences* **2023**, *137*(1), 319-343. https://doi.org/10.32604/cmes.2023.026860

**Received** 29 September 2022; **Accepted** 04 January 2023; **Issue published** 23 April 2023

## Abstract

Numerous factors affect the increased temperature of a machine tool, including prolonged and high-intensity usage, tool-workpiece interaction, mechanical friction, and elevated ambient temperatures, among others. Consequently, spindle thermal displacement occurs, and machining precision suffers. To prevent the errors caused by the temperature rise of the Spindle from affecting the accuracy during the machining process, typically, the factory will warm up the machine before the manufacturing process. However, if there is no way to understand the tool spindle's thermal deformation, the machining quality will be greatly affected. In order to solve the above problem, this study aims to predict the thermal displacement of the machine tool by using intelligent algorithms. In the practical application, only a few temperature sensors are used to input the information into the prediction model for real-time thermal displacement prediction. This approach has greatly improved the quality of tool processing. However, each algorithm has different performances in different environments. In this study, an ensemble model is used to integrate Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) with Support Vector Machine (SVM). The experimental results show that the prediction performance of LSTM-SVM is higher than that of other machine learning algorithms.## Keywords

Since the start of the Industrial Revolution, the machine tool has played an important role and is called the mother of all machines. Literature [1] indicated “Often, the condition of a machine tool is detected indirectly in the reduced quality of manufactured parts upon visual inspection.” However, intelligent manufacturing has become a new trend with the arrival of Industry 4.0 and the rapid advancement of machine tool technologies. The demand for higher machining precision increases as the development of smart machine tool [2]. Heat induced spindle deformation, among many other factors [3], affects machining precision [4,5]. Research has shown that 40% to 70% of errors result from the heat generated by rotating spindle when the machine tool is in operation [6]. The heat of an operating machine tool comes largely from both internal and external sources [7], which were the main causes for spindle deformation and consequent machining errors [8]. Three methods [9] were used to reduce spindle thermal deformation and machining errors. The first method relies on thermal affinity design and lathes cooling technique to prevent thermal deformation. Or graphite-carbon composites were used as lathe structure material because it has the advantage of low expansion and high thermal conductivity. However, the high cost and difficulty of maintenance were the downsides. The second method implements thermal compensation by measuring thermal displacement with a laser or touch probe. The deformation was measured with the laser emitter installed on the machine and controlled by a controller. The drawback is that the laser beam cannot be used for measurement during machining operation. The third method is to model the relationships between temperature and tooltip displacement [10,11]. Since machine tool is a dynamic system and the model fails after a long operation, the capabilities of fast modeling that requires only a small amount of data and fast real-time model modification were necessary.

Many research papers about thermal error compensation models were published previously. Li et al. [12] proposed a spindle axial thermal error compensation method. The Finite Element Analysis (FEA) was used to simulate the spindle system’s thermal deformation and temperature. The temperature and axial thermal deformation were measured using magnetic temperature sensors and a non-contact tool setting system. The Spearman’s rank correlation analysis was also carried out to pinpoint the locations and determine the number of key temperature points that have a strong impact on spindle axial thermal deformation. A temperature and spindle axial thermal deformation prediction model was built. It was shown that the system developed successfully reduces the influence of axial thermal error by 85%. Chen et al. [13] used Regression Analysis to measure and compensate for the temperature variation of the machine tool. An intelligent machining module was used to build the prediction system for thermal displacement. The system used totally 3 Eddy-Current displacement sensors and 8 IC-type temperature sensors to measure the multi-point temperature changes on the axial spindle tip and machine column. Finally, the linear regression analysis was carried out with Minitab statistical analysis software and the compensation model was built. Experiment results show that a drop from 104 to 38 μm for the compensation spindle Z-axis thermal error deformation was achieved. Abdulshahed et al. [9] proposed two thermal error prediction models based on Adaptive Network-based Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS). The ANFIS-Grid model adopts an approach in which the data space is divided into multiple rectangular sub-spaces. The ANFIS-FCM model was obtained through the use of the fuzzy c-means (FCM) clustering method. By using the Grey System Theory, the influence ranking of the machine structure on temperature sensors was obtained. The FCM clustering method was used to cluster all the influence weightings of the thermal sensors into different groups before the training was carried out. The results illustrated that the ANFIS-FCM model delivers better performance in terms of prediction accuracy. Wang [14] presented two types of thermal error models: the Grey Model (GM(1, N)) and the adaptive network-based fuzzy inference system (ANFIS). Besides, the deformation data and temperature information were preprocessed by using GM(1, N) and the influence ranking of relationships between the temperature and spindle. The high-ranking temperature rises were used as the input to ANFIS. The data were trained using a hybrid machine learning approach in order to build the thermal compensation model. The results show that the GM(1, N) effectively reduces the number of temperature transducers attached to the machine structure and improves prediction performance. Li et al. [15] used the theory of partial correlation analysis to identify sensitive temperature points and successfully reduced the number of temperature points from 12 to 2. The Gene Expression Programming (GEP) algorithm was also proposed for tuning the penalty parameters and kernel function of Weighted Least Squares Support Vector Machine (WLS-SVM). The weighting value parameter was also optimized with the Improved Normal Distribution Weighting Rule (INDWR). The study results show that this GEP-WLSSVM method delivers better performance than Particles Swarm Optimization Support Vector Machine (PSO-LSSVM) and Genetic Algorithm-Least Square Support Vector Machine (GA-LSSVM). Zhang et al. [16] presented a new thermal error modeling method. To enhance the robustness and experimental accuracy, this literature combines the merits of both Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and grey model. In terms of experimental performance, the results show that the proposed model’s performance is better than the traditional Grey Model and ANN. Wu et al. [17] proposed a spindle thermal error prediction method based on thermal infrared images. The method used Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) to simulate the thermal errors that were generated along and perpendicularly to the spindle axis. The thermal images and thermocouple data were combined in order to reflect the temperature field of the spindle. The preprocessing and data enhancement were applied to the thermal images in order to build a CNN based multi-classification model. The results show that this model outperforms Back Propagation Neural Network (BPNN) model with a prediction accuracy of nearly 90%–93%. Kang et al. [18] integrated Feed-forward Neural Network (FNN) with Hybrid Filters to enhance the thermal deformation prediction accuracy. The hybrid filters were composed of Linear Regression (LR), Moving Average (MA) and Auto Regression (AR). Their output is fed to the FNN as input. The results showed that this method outperforms the Finite Element model in terms of prediction results. This method needs only 8 h for training, much lower than the 48 h that the traditional FMM model takes. The prediction accuracy was also improved. Wu et al. [19] proposed a method that combines genetic algorithm with back propagation neural network (GA-BPNN). Five key temperature points were obtained by using the thermal error model analysis. Then the thermal error model was built with the GA-BPNN. The experiment demonstrates that the machining precision was improved by using the GA-BPNN method. Additionally, the diameter error of the workpiece drops from 27 to 10 μm after the compensation was implemented. Liu et al. [20] proposed a thermal-induced error compensation model based on Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM). This model applies the Variational Mode Decomposition (VMD) technique to decompose the error data into multiple Inherent Modal Function (IMF) components so that the coupling effect. In addition, the robustness and generalization capability of the error model was improved as well. Also, the self-defined hyperparameters of the LSTM model were adjusted by Grey Wolf (GW) algorithm to reduce the sensitivity of the prediction results. Lastly, a comparison was made on the error models of the VMD-GW-LSTM, VMD-LSTM and Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN). The results show that the VMD-GW-LSTM network model delivers much better performance than the VMD-LSTM and RNN models in terms of prediction and compensation performance. Liang et al. [21] proposed a thermal error prediction method for machine tools. It combines the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network with data preprocessing feature and the fog-cloud architecture. In this method, the thermal distribution of the machine was analyzed with FEA. To collect the data for training, the LSTM model for dynamic thermal error prediction, temperature and displacement sensors were attached to the machine. The fog-cloud architecture was chosen for data transfer volume optimization. The results show that the data transfer volume was reduced by 52.63% and an improvement of the machining accuracy of 46.53% was achieved.

Many past studies focus on the spindle thermal compensation of machine tools. However, the axial displacement error of the spindle was another factor that affected machining precision. In addition to the thermal compensation at the tooltip, the spindle axial displacement error considers the thermal compensation at the lead screw as well. The issue of axial displacement error was not discussed much in past studies. Further research was therefore needed. Shi et al. [22] proposed a Bayesian neural network based thermal error modeling method. The method applies FCM analysis to select temperature sensitive points. The least Square Linear Fitting was applied to the positioning error data in order to explore the temperature rise and positioning error of the drive system. The results show that using the proposed network reduced the thermally induced error of a machine tool by 70%. Li et al. [23] proposed a thermal error model for use with the feed shaft of machine tools. It was a Generalized Regression Neural Network (GRNN) based model. The temperature and axial thermal error are used as the input and output, respectively, of the neural network. PSO was also used to optimize and build the model. It was shown that the model produces high accuracy for predicting the axial thermal error of a machine tool.

Earlier research works have shown that thermal error has nonlinear and time-variant characteristics [19]. A robust model was needed for accurate prediction of the thermal error of the spindle. For this reason, the Ensemble Model type of prediction model was used as the Spindle thermal displacement prediction model. In this regard, the Ensemble Model was fabricated by combining different types of basic models for carrying out the result prediction. The purpose of using such method was to minimize the errors that would occur during the prediction. As long as the basic model was designed with excellent prediction efficacy, the predicted errors by the integration method will be reduced. Therefore, this study proposed an LSTM-SVM [24,25] neural network hybrid model [26] to perform temperature prediction and displacement compensation. Past research reveals that a temperature difference between the tooltip and the actual measurement point exists due to thermal conduction, which made the correct instant displacement compensation by the neural network impossible. Therefore, this study used LSTM-SVM neural network model instead to predict spindle displacement compensation.

This study uses the Brother S500X1 milling machine in the experiment, as shown in Fig. 1. As for spindle temperature measurement, NI temperature input modules shown in Fig. 2 and PT1000 thick film platinum Resistance Temperature Detector (RTD) are used. The resistance of PT1000 is 1000

To measure the spindle displacement, EX-V02P Eddy Current Displacement Sensor and EX-110V displacement sensor (shown in Fig. 1) of KEYENCE are used in this study. The specifications of EX-110V are shown in Table 2.

Fig. 3 shows how the eddy current displacement sensor is installed.

This study measures the spindle temperature and spindle displacement for different spindle speeds, i.e., 1000, 2000, 2500, 3000, 5000, 6000, 7500, and 9000, respectively. Data visualization is performed to facilitate the observation, as shown in Fig. 4.

The figure above shows that the machine tool temperature rises and spindle displacement changes as the operating time of the spindle increases. Aiming to find the relationships between three variables, i.e., spindle temperature, displacement and time, this study uses LSTM neural network for modeling. A type of Recurrent Neural Network (RNN), LSTM is ideal for use on time-series data. It is used to model the relationships between the spindle temperature change and spindle displacement over a long period of time.

The model training architecture of this experiment is shown in Fig. 5. The goal is to establish the relationships between temperature rise and spindle displacement by using LSTM-SVM, which takes the temperature changes at multiple locations on the spindle and time sequence as input and then performs spindle thermal deformation prediction.

Other algorithms are considered as well, including Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) [27], one dimension Convolution Neural Network (CNN) [28], Support Vector Machine (SVM) [29], Decision Tree (DT) [30], Random Forest (RF) [31–33], Adaptive Boosting (AdaBoost) [34,35].

A type of Recurrent Neural Network (RNN), LSTM adopts a unique design that makes it ideal for processing and predicting time sequence related problems. It has been widely used in the studies of time sequence related problems. Fig. 6 shows the basic architecture of LSTM.

LSTM is composed of four units, i.e., an Input Gate, an Output Gate, a Memory Cell and a Forget Gate.

where

The training effect will be affected when executing the model training under conditions where the data value scope is not evenly distributed. Before starting the model training, the data is normalized through the unification process so that the model can be trained under a more uniformly distributed data scope in order to achieve better prediction accuracy. The training data under different spindle speeds are combined, as shown in Fig. 7. Instead, if we want to know the 500th-second spindle displacement, we need the 496th to 500th-second spindle temperature. Every five sets of data under the same speed are combined into one set of input data for LSTM for training purposes.

Convolution Neural Networks [36] (CNN) can be used for time sequence prediction problems. Traditionally developed for two-dimensional data, CNN can be used for modeling for single-variable time sequence problems as well, as shown in Fig. 8.

Support Vector Regression [37] (SVR) is a supervised machine learning algorithm for regression analysis. SVR model represents data as points in space. Such mapping divides the data in different categories as widely as possible by boundaries. Then the new data are mapped into the same space, and the prediction is performed based on which side of the boundary they are located, as shown in Fig. 9.

Decision Tree is composed of a decision diagram and possible outcomes. It is used to plan the route to reach the goal. Decision Tree is a tree structured decision-making tool, as shown in Fig. 10.

Random Forest consists of multiple decision trees. It works mainly based on a principle called the Bootstrap Aggregating algorithm, also known as Bagging. This algorithm uses sampling with replacements to create different data subsets, which are used to build the decision trees of the Ransom Forest, as shown in Fig. 11.

Adaptive Boosting (AdaBoost) is a type of machine learning method. In the AdaBoost method, the samples misclassified by a classifier are used as training data for the next classifier. However, this method is quite sensitive to sound data and noisy data. Compared to other machine learning algorithms, AdaBoost is less prone to overfitting. AdaBoost may be a weak learner when used individually. If each learner performs better than a random guess, the final model will still converge and becomes a powerful learner, as shown in Fig. 12.

In this study, the LSTM-SVM model is trained with data of different speeds, i.e., 1000, 2500, 5000, 7500 and 9000 rpm. The model is then tested and verified with the data of 2000, 3000 and 6000 rpm. The prediction outcomes are shown in Fig. 13. Data visualization is applied to present the test data and actual data at various speeds.

This study uses an LSTM-SVM model for spindle thermal displacement compensation prediction. The prediction results are compared with those made with LSTM, 1D CNN, SVR, DT, RF and AdaBoost models. Three evaluation methods, i.e., Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Mean Square Error (MSE), Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) and Coefficient of Determination (

4.1 Mean Absolute Error Method

MAE is a type of loss function used in the regression model and is defined as the sum of the absolute values of the difference between target and predicted values. MAE measures the mean of prediction errors without considering the signs. MAE prevents the problem of positive and negative errors from being canceled out and, therefore, correctly reflects the degree of prediction errors. In Eq. (6),

MSE is the most commonly used loss function for regression. It is calculated as the square of the distance between the predicted and actual values, as shown in Eq. (7).

RMSE is often used to describe the variance between values. RMSE often represents the error of model predictions or observed estimated values. Root Mean Square Deviation represents the standard deviation of prediction from the ground truth. The deviation is named residual when the difference is calculated between data samples. Root Mean Square Deviation is an appropriate measure of errors. According to the definition, RMSE is the square root of the mean of the square of the differences between actual values

4.4 Coefficient of Determination

In statistics,

A type of Recurrent Neural Network (RNN), LSTM model is well-suited to process time sequence data and is thus appropriate for use in time sequence related prediction problems. However, LSTM has the problem of overfitting the training data. Applying dropout in LSTM is helpful in preventing overfitting and improving prediction performance. In the LSTM model of this study, the activation function is composed of three layers of the sigmoid function, each with 20 cells. The dropout is set to 0.2. Adaptive Moment Estimation (Adam) is used as the optimizer for model training. The results show that this LSTM has achieved performance in terms of MAEs of 2.66, 2.42, and 2.16, RMSEs of 3.31, 3.75 and 2.78 and

The 1D CNN has a convolution hidden layer that operates over a 1D sequence. A convolutional layer has 32 filters. The kernel size is set to 3. Then a pooling layer of pool size 2 is applied after the convolutional layer. The goal is to down sample the data from the convolution layer by extracting important features from the data. A Flatten function is used to flatten the data. A two-layer dropout is applied with dropout = 0.1. The activation function is Rectified Linear Unit (Relu) [38]. Adam [39] is used as the optimizer for model training. Fig. 15 shows the prediction performance delivered by the CNN, i.e., MAEs of 3.27, 6.13 and 2.58, RMSEs of 3.77, 6.54 and 3.08, and

The above results show that the LSTM and the SVM [40–42]-based ensemble models achieve the best prediction error performance. From the above, we see that the rest of the other points are poorly distributed, except for LSTM, SVM, DT and CNN, so they will not be precluded. By comparing the

The RMSEs obtained from different models are tabulated for ease of comparison. Table 3 shows that the LSTM-SVM model used in this study is superior to the others in terms of prediction performance. The variance of errors across predictions is constant. The model is robust and the distribution of RSMEs is even under all speeds.

The above experiment results show that LSTM and SVM models achieve better results in spindle thermal displacement prediction. The experiment results show that when the SVM prediction model is used alone, the RSMEs of the predicted values under 3000 rpm of spindle speed are higher than those under 2000 and 6000 rpm. Also, when the LSTM prediction model is used alone, the RSMEs under different speeds are quite close. In addition, the LSTM outperforms SVM in prediction in only a few cases. The two models are therefore combined into one hybrid LSTM-SVM model. The weighted mean of the two predicted values is then calculated through the assignment of weights. The experiment demonstrates that this hybrid LSTM-SVM model has successfully lowered the RMSEs of prediction error to 2.13, 3.91 and 2.04. The overall mean RMSEs is 2.69, which is better than LSTM and SVM models, i.e., 3.28 and 2.97, respectively. The LSTM-SVM Spindle, thermal displacement prediction model, selected for this research not only elevates the machining accuracy of the machine tools but also saves the consumption of time and energy required for heating up the machine tools. To acquire more accurate verification results, it also allows us to collect other types of revolutions as well as accurate temperature and thermal displacement data in order to develop a more effective model. As a result, higher universality can be achieved in the long run.

Funding Statement: This work was supported by the Ministry of Science and Technology, Taiwan, under Grant MOST 110-2218-E-194-010. This work was financially partially supported by the Advanced Institute of Manufacturing with High-Tech Innovations (AIM-HI) from the Featured Areas Research Center Program within the Framework of the Higher Education Sprout Project by the Ministry of Education (MOE) in Taiwan.

Conflicts of Interest: The authors declare that they have no conflicts of interest to report regarding the present study.

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## Cite This Article

Kuo, P., Chen, S., Lee, C., Luan, P., Yau, H. (2023). Ensemble Model for Spindle Thermal Displacement Prediction of Machine Tools.*CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, 137(1)*, 319–343.