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  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Flow Direction Level Traffic Flow Prediction Based on a GCN-LSTM Combined Model

    Fulu Wei1, Xin Li1, Yongqing Guo1,*, Zhenyu Wang2, Qingyin Li1, Xueshi Ma3

    Intelligent Automation & Soft Computing, Vol.37, No.2, pp. 2001-2018, 2023, DOI:10.32604/iasc.2023.035799

    Abstract Traffic flow prediction plays an important role in intelligent transportation systems and is of great significance in the applications of traffic control and urban planning. Due to the complexity of road traffic flow data, traffic flow prediction has been one of the challenging tasks to fully exploit the spatiotemporal characteristics of roads to improve prediction accuracy. In this study, a combined flow direction level traffic flow prediction graph convolutional network (GCN) and long short-term memory (LSTM) model based on spatiotemporal characteristics is proposed. First, a GCN model is employed to capture the topological structure of the data graph and extract… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Statistical Time Series Forecasting Models for Pandemic Prediction

    Ahmed ElShafee1, Walid El-Shafai2,3, Abeer D. Algarni4,*, Naglaa F. Soliman4, Moustafa H. Aly5

    Computer Systems Science and Engineering, Vol.47, No.1, pp. 349-374, 2023, DOI:10.32604/csse.2023.037408

    Abstract COVID-19 has significantly impacted the growth prediction of a pandemic, and it is critical in determining how to battle and track the disease progression. In this case, COVID-19 data is a time-series dataset that can be projected using different methodologies. Thus, this work aims to gauge the spread of the outbreak severity over time. Furthermore, data analytics and Machine Learning (ML) techniques are employed to gain a broader understanding of virus infections. We have simulated, adjusted, and fitted several statistical time-series forecasting models, linear ML models, and nonlinear ML models. Examples of these models are Logistic Regression, Lasso, Ridge, ElasticNet,… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    CBOE Volatility Index Forecasting under COVID-19: An Integrated BiLSTM-ARIMA-GARCH Model

    Min Hyung Park1, Dongyan Nan2,3, Yerin Kim1, Jang Hyun Kim1,2,3,*

    Computer Systems Science and Engineering, Vol.47, No.1, pp. 121-134, 2023, DOI:10.32604/csse.2023.033247

    Abstract After the outbreak of COVID-19, the global economy entered a deep freeze. This observation is supported by the Volatility Index (VIX), which reflects the market risk expected by investors. In the current study, we predicted the VIX using variables obtained from the sentiment analysis of data on Twitter posts related to the keyword “COVID-19,” using a model integrating the bidirectional long-term memory (BiLSTM), autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) algorithm, and generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model. The Linguistic Inquiry and Word Count (LIWC) program and Valence Aware Dictionary for Sentiment Reasoning (VADER) model were utilized as sentiment analysis methods. The… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Short-Term Prediction of Photovoltaic Power Generation Based on LMD Permutation Entropy and Singular Spectrum Analysis

    Wenchao Ma*

    Energy Engineering, Vol.120, No.7, pp. 1685-1699, 2023, DOI:10.32604/ee.2023.025404

    Abstract The power output state of photovoltaic power generation is affected by the earth's rotation and solar radiation intensity. On the one hand, its output sequence has daily periodicity; on the other hand, it has discrete randomness. With the development of new energy economy, the proportion of photovoltaic energy increased accordingly. In order to solve the problem of improving the energy conversion efficiency in the grid-connected optical network and ensure the stability of photovoltaic power generation, this paper proposes the short-term prediction of photovoltaic power generation based on the improved multi-scale permutation entropy, local mean decomposition and singular spectrum analysis algorithm.… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Forecasting the Municipal Solid Waste Using GSO-XGBoost Model

    Vaishnavi Jayaraman1, Arun Raj Lakshminarayanan1,*, Saravanan Parthasarathy1, A. Suganthy2

    Intelligent Automation & Soft Computing, Vol.37, No.1, pp. 301-320, 2023, DOI:10.32604/iasc.2023.037823

    Abstract Waste production rises in tandem with population growth and increased utilization. The indecorous disposal of waste paves the way for huge disaster named as climate change. The National Environment Agency (NEA) of Singapore oversees the sustainable management of waste across the country. The three main contributors to the solid waste of Singapore are paper and cardboard (P&C), plastic, and food scraps. Besides, they have a negligible rate of recycling. In this study, Machine Learning techniques were utilized to forecast the amount of garbage also known as waste audits. The waste audit would aid the authorities to plan their waste infrastructure.… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Deep Learning Based Energy Consumption Prediction on Internet of Things Environment

    S. Balaji*, S. Karthik

    Intelligent Automation & Soft Computing, Vol.37, No.1, pp. 727-743, 2023, DOI:10.32604/iasc.2023.037409

    Abstract The creation of national energy strategy cannot proceed without accurate projections of future electricity consumption; this is because EC is intimately tied to other forms of energy, such as oil and natural gas. For the purpose of determining and bettering overall energy consumption, there is an urgent requirement for accurate monitoring and calculation of EC at the building level using cutting-edge technology such as data analytics and the internet of things (IoT). Soft computing is a subset of AI that tries to design procedures that are more accurate and reliable, and it has proven to be an effective tool for… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    An Improved Granulated Convolutional Neural Network Data Analysis Model for COVID-19 Prediction

    Meilin Wu1,2, Lianggui Tang1,2,*, Qingda Zhang1,2, Ke Yan1,2

    Intelligent Automation & Soft Computing, Vol.37, No.1, pp. 179-198, 2023, DOI:10.32604/iasc.2023.036684

    Abstract As COVID-19 poses a major threat to people’s health and economy, there is an urgent need for forecasting methodologies that can anticipate its trajectory efficiently. In non-stationary time series forecasting jobs, there is frequently a hysteresis in the anticipated values relative to the real values. The multilayer deep-time convolutional network and a feature fusion network are combined in this paper’s proposal of an enhanced Multilayer Deep Time Convolutional Neural Network (MDTCNet) for COVID-19 prediction to address this problem. In particular, it is possible to record the deep features and temporal dependencies in uncertain time series, and the features may then… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Long-Term Energy Forecasting System Based on LSTM and Deep Extreme Machine Learning

    Cherifa Nakkach*, Amira Zrelli, Tahar Ezzedine

    Intelligent Automation & Soft Computing, Vol.37, No.1, pp. 545-560, 2023, DOI:10.32604/iasc.2023.036385

    Abstract Due to the development of diversified and flexible building energy resources, the balancing energy supply and demand especially in smart buildings caused an increasing problem. Energy forecasting is necessary to address building energy issues and comfort challenges that drive urbanization and consequent increases in energy consumption. Recently, their management has a great significance as resources become scarcer and their emissions increase. In this article, we propose an intelligent energy forecasting method based on hybrid deep learning, in which the data collected by the smart home through meters is put into the pre-evaluation step. Next, the refined data is the input… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Bi-LSTM-Based Deep Stacked Sequence-to-Sequence Autoencoder for Forecasting Solar Irradiation and Wind Speed

    Neelam Mughees1,2, Mujtaba Hussain Jaffery1, Abdullah Mughees3, Anam Mughees4, Krzysztof Ejsmont5,*

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.75, No.3, pp. 6375-6393, 2023, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2023.038564

    Abstract Wind and solar energy are two popular forms of renewable energy used in microgrids and facilitating the transition towards net-zero carbon emissions by 2050. However, they are exceedingly unpredictable since they rely highly on weather and atmospheric conditions. In microgrids, smart energy management systems, such as integrated demand response programs, are permanently established on a step-ahead basis, which means that accurate forecasting of wind speed and solar irradiance intervals is becoming increasingly crucial to the optimal operation and planning of microgrids. With this in mind, a novel “bidirectional long short-term memory network” (Bi-LSTM)-based, deep stacked, sequence-to-sequence autoencoder (S2SAE) forecasting model… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Graph Construction Method for GNN-Based Multivariate Time-Series Forecasting

    Wonyong Chung, Jaeuk Moon, Dongjun Kim, Eenjun Hwang*

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.75, No.3, pp. 5817-5836, 2023, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2023.036830

    Abstract Multivariate time-series forecasting (MTSF) plays an important role in diverse real-world applications. To achieve better accuracy in MTSF, time-series patterns in each variable and interrelationship patterns between variables should be considered together. Recently, graph neural networks (GNNs) has gained much attention as they can learn both patterns using a graph. For accurate forecasting through GNN, a well-defined graph is required. However, existing GNNs have limitations in reflecting the spectral similarity and time delay between nodes, and consider all nodes with the same weight when constructing graph. In this paper, we propose a novel graph construction method that solves aforementioned limitations.… More >

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