Longqiao Hu1, Yunjin Wang1,*, Jia Liu1, Jiacheng Yin1, Siyu Zhang2, Mengyu Li1, Qi Wu1, Jiawei Li1, Fujian Zhou3
Energy Engineering, Vol.123, No.10, 2026, DOI:10.32604/ee.2026.079317
- 30 August 2026
Abstract The flow mechanisms of shale oil are inherently complex, characterized by diverse occurrence states. Establishing a robust production forecasting model is essential for thoroughly evaluating well deliverability and the efficacy of reservoir stimulation. While conventional analytical techniques, numerical reservoir simulation, and production decline analysis constitute standard practice, they often struggle to balance computational efficiency with predictive fidelity. Intelligent algorithms offer superior precision in short-term forecasting following extensive data training; however, they frequently exhibit poor generalization and underfitting during long-term performance projections. Consequently, integrating domain-specific production decline theory as physical constraints represents a strategic pathway to… More >