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  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Al-Biruni Based Optimization of Rainfall Forecasting in Ethiopia

    El-Sayed M. El-kenawy1, Abdelaziz A. Abdelhamid2,3, Fadwa Alrowais4,*, Mostafa Abotaleb5, Abdelhameed Ibrahim6, Doaa Sami Khafaga4

    Computer Systems Science and Engineering, Vol.45, No.3, pp. 2885-2899, 2023, DOI:10.32604/csse.2023.034206

    Abstract Rainfall plays a significant role in managing the water level in the reservoir. The unpredictable amount of rainfall due to the climate change can cause either overflow or dry in the reservoir. Many individuals, especially those in the agricultural sector, rely on rain forecasts. Forecasting rainfall is challenging because of the changing nature of the weather. The area of Jimma in southwest Oromia, Ethiopia is the subject of this research, which aims to develop a rainfall forecasting model. To estimate Jimma’s daily rainfall, we propose a novel approach based on optimizing the parameters of long short-term memory (LSTM) using Al-Biruni… More >

  • Open Access

    REVIEW

    A Survey of the Researches on Grid-Connected Solar Power Generation Systems and Power Forecasting Methods Based on Ground-Based Cloud Atlas

    Xing Deng1,2, Feipeng Da1,*, Haijian Shao2, Xia Wang3

    Energy Engineering, Vol.120, No.2, pp. 385-408, 2023, DOI:10.32604/ee.2023.023480

    Abstract Photovoltaic power generating is one of the primary methods of utilizing solar energy resources, with large-scale photovoltaic grid-connected power generation being the most efficient way to fully utilize solar energy. In order to provide reference strategies for pertinent researchers as well as potential implementation, this paper tries to provide a survey investigation and technical analysis of machine learning-related approaches, statistical approaches and optimization techniques for solar power generation and forecasting. Deep learning-related methods, in particular, can theoretically handle arbitrary nonlinear transformations through proper model structural design, such as hidden layer topology optimization and objective function analysis to save information that… More > Graphic Abstract

    A Survey of the Researches on Grid-Connected Solar Power Generation Systems and Power Forecasting Methods Based on Ground-Based Cloud Atlas

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Time Series Forecasting Fusion Network Model Based on Prophet and Improved LSTM

    Weifeng Liu1,2, Xin Yu1,*, Qinyang Zhao3, Guang Cheng2, Xiaobing Hou1, Shengqi He4

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.74, No.2, pp. 3199-3219, 2023, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2023.032595

    Abstract Time series forecasting and analysis are widely used in many fields and application scenarios. Time series historical data reflects the change pattern and trend, which can serve the application and decision in each application scenario to a certain extent. In this paper, we select the time series prediction problem in the atmospheric environment scenario to start the application research. In terms of data support, we obtain the data of nearly 3500 vehicles in some cities in China from Runwoda Research Institute, focusing on the major pollutant emission data of non-road mobile machinery and high emission vehicles in Beijing and Bozhou,… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Forecasting Future Trajectories with an Improved Transformer Network

    Wei Wu1, Weigong Zhang1,*, Dong Wang1, Lydia Zhu2, Xiang Song3

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.74, No.2, pp. 3811-3828, 2023, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2023.029787

    Abstract An increase in car ownership brings convenience to people’s life. However, it also leads to frequent traffic accidents. Precisely forecasting surrounding agents’ future trajectories could effectively decrease vehicle-vehicle and vehicle-pedestrian collisions. Long-short-term memory (LSTM) network is often used for vehicle trajectory prediction, but it has some shortages such as gradient explosion and low efficiency. A trajectory prediction method based on an improved Transformer network is proposed to forecast agents’ future trajectories in a complex traffic environment. It realizes the transformation from sequential step processing of LSTM to parallel processing of Transformer based on attention mechanism. To perform trajectory prediction more… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    A Detailed Mathematical Analysis of the Vaccination Model for COVID-19

    Abeer S. Alnahdi1,*, Mdi B. Jeelani1, Hanan A. Wahash2, Mansour A. Abdulwasaa3,4

    CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.135, No.2, pp. 1315-1343, 2023, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2022.023694

    Abstract This study aims to structure and evaluate a new COVID-19 model which predicts vaccination effect in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA) under Atangana-Baleanu-Caputo (ABC) fractional derivatives. On the statistical aspect, we analyze the collected statistical data of fully vaccinated people from June 01, 2021, to February 15, 2022. Then we apply the Eviews program to find the best model for predicting the vaccination against this pandemic, based on daily series data from February 16, 2022, to April 15, 2022. The results of data analysis show that the appropriate model is autoregressive integrated moving average ARIMA (1, 1, 2), and… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Optimal Energy Forecasting Using Hybrid Recurrent Neural Networks

    Elumalaivasan Poongavanam1,*, Padmanathan Kasinathan2, Kulothungan Kanagasabai3

    Intelligent Automation & Soft Computing, Vol.36, No.1, pp. 249-265, 2023, DOI:10.32604/iasc.2023.030101

    Abstract The nation deserves to learn what India’s future energy demand will be in order to plan and implement an energy policy. This energy demand will have to be fulfilled by an adequate mix of existing energy sources, considering the constraints imposed by future economic and social changes in the direction of a more sustainable world. Forecasting energy demand, on the other hand, is a tricky task because it is influenced by numerous micro-variables. As a result, an macro model with only a few factors that may be predicted globally, rather than a detailed analysis for each of these variables, is… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Empirical Analysis of Software Success Rate Forecasting During Requirement Engineering Processes

    Muhammad Hasnain1, Imran Ghani2, Seung Ryul Jeong3,*, Muhammad Fermi Pasha4, Sardar Usman5, Anjum Abbas6

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.74, No.1, pp. 783-799, 2023, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2023.030162

    Abstract Forecasting on success or failure of software has become an interesting and, in fact, an essential task in the software development industry. In order to explore the latest data on successes and failures, this research focused on certain questions such as is early phase of the software development life cycle better than later phases in predicting software success and avoiding high rework? What human factors contribute to success or failure of a software? What software practices are used by the industry practitioners to achieve high quality of software in their day-to-day work? In order to conduct this empirical analysis a… More >

  • Open Access

    EDITORIAL

    Introduction to the Special Issue on Hybrid Intelligent Methods for Forecasting in Resources and Energy Field

    Wei-Chiang Hong1,*, Yi Liang2

    CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.134, No.2, pp. 763-766, 2023, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2022.023022

    Abstract This article has no abstract. More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Deep Learning for Wind Speed Forecasting Using Bi-LSTM with Selected Features

    Siva Sankari Subbiah1, Senthil Kumar Paramasivan2,*, Karmel Arockiasamy3, Saminathan Senthivel4, Muthamilselvan Thangavel2

    Intelligent Automation & Soft Computing, Vol.35, No.3, pp. 3829-3844, 2023, DOI:10.32604/iasc.2023.030480

    Abstract Wind speed forecasting is important for wind energy forecasting. In the modern era, the increase in energy demand can be managed effectively by forecasting the wind speed accurately. The main objective of this research is to improve the performance of wind speed forecasting by handling uncertainty, the curse of dimensionality, overfitting and non-linearity issues. The curse of dimensionality and overfitting issues are handled by using Boruta feature selection. The uncertainty and the non-linearity issues are addressed by using the deep learning based Bi-directional Long Short Term Memory (Bi-LSTM). In this paper, Bi-LSTM with Boruta feature selection named BFS-Bi-LSTM is proposed… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Forecasting Stock Volatility Using Wavelet-based Exponential Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity Methods

    Tariq T. Alshammari1, Mohd Tahir Ismail1, Nawaf N. Hamadneh3,*, S. Al Wadi2, Jamil J. Jaber2, Nawa Alshammari3, Mohammad H. Saleh2

    Intelligent Automation & Soft Computing, Vol.35, No.3, pp. 2589-2601, 2023, DOI:10.32604/iasc.2023.024001

    Abstract In this study, we proposed a new model to improve the accuracy of forecasting the stock market volatility pattern. The hypothesized model was validated empirically using a data set collected from the Saudi Arabia stock Exchange (Tadawul). The data is the daily closed price index data from August 2011 to December 2019 with 2027 observations. The proposed forecasting model combines the best maximum overlapping discrete wavelet transform (MODWT) function (Bl14) and exponential generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (EGARCH) model. The results show the model's ability to analyze stock market data, highlight important events that contain the most volatile data, and improve… More >

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