Anoir Souissi1,*, Imen Guidara1, Maher Chaabene1, Giuseppe Marco Tina2, Moez Bouchouicha3
FDMP-Fluid Dynamics & Materials Processing, Vol.18, No.6, pp. 1683-1698, 2022, DOI:10.32604/fdmp.2022.022051
Abstract The accurate forecast of the photovoltaic generation (PVG) process is essential to develop optimum installation sizing and pragmatic energy planning and management. This paper proposes a PVG forecast model for a PVG/Battery installation. The forecasting strategy is built on a Medium-Term Energy Forecasting (MTEF) approach refined dynamically every hour (Dynamic Medium-Term Energy Forecasting (DMTEF)) and adjusted by means of a Short-Term Energy Forecasting (STEF) strategy. The MTEF predicts the generated energy for a day ahead based on the PVG of the last 15 days. As for STEF, it is a combination between PVG Short-Term (ST) forecasting and DMTEF methods obtained… More >
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