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    ARTICLE

    Statistical Time Series Forecasting Models for Pandemic Prediction

    Ahmed ElShafee1, Walid El-Shafai2,3, Abeer D. Algarni4,*, Naglaa F. Soliman4, Moustafa H. Aly5

    Computer Systems Science and Engineering, Vol.47, No.1, pp. 349-374, 2023, DOI:10.32604/csse.2023.037408

    Abstract COVID-19 has significantly impacted the growth prediction of a pandemic, and it is critical in determining how to battle and track the disease progression. In this case, COVID-19 data is a time-series dataset that can be projected using different methodologies. Thus, this work aims to gauge the spread of the outbreak severity over time. Furthermore, data analytics and Machine Learning (ML) techniques are employed to gain a broader understanding of virus infections. We have simulated, adjusted, and fitted several statistical time-series forecasting models, linear ML models, and nonlinear ML models. Examples of these models are Logistic Regression, Lasso, Ridge, ElasticNet,… More >

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