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  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Epidemiological Analysis of the Coronavirus Disease Outbreak with Random Effects

    Muhammad Farman1, Aqeel Ahmad1, Ali Akgül2,*, Muhammad Umer Saleem3, Muhammad Naeem4, Dumitru Baleanu5,6,7

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.67, No.3, pp. 3215-3227, 2021, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2021.014006

    Abstract Today, coronavirus appears as a serious challenge to the whole world. Epidemiological data of coronavirus is collected through media and web sources for the purpose of analysis. New data on COVID-19 are available daily, yet information about the biological aspects of SARS-CoV-2 and epidemiological characteristics of COVID-19 remains limited, and uncertainty remains around nearly all its parameters’ values. This research provides the scientific and public health communities better resources, knowledge, and tools to improve their ability to control the infectious diseases. Using the publicly available data on the ongoing pandemic, the present study investigates the incubation period and other time… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Using Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Recovered Model to Forecast Coronavirus Outbreak

    Debabrata Dansana1, Raghvendra Kumar1, Arupa Parida1, Rohit Sharma2, Janmejoy Das Adhikari1, Hiep Van Le3,*, Binh Thai Pham4, Krishna Kant Singh5, Biswajeet Pradhan6,7,8,9

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.67, No.2, pp. 1595-1612, 2021, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2021.012646

    Abstract The Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak was first discovered in Wuhan, China, and it has since spread to more than 200 countries. The World Health Organization proclaimed COVID-19 a public health emergency of international concern on January 30, 2020. Normally, a quickly spreading infection that could jeopardize the well-being of countless individuals requires prompt action to forestall the malady in a timely manner. COVID-19 is a major threat worldwide due to its ability to rapidly spread. No vaccines are yet available for COVID-19. The objective of this paper is to examine the worldwide COVID-19 pandemic, specifically studying Hubei Province, China;… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    AI-Enabled COVID-19 Outbreak Analysis and Prediction: Indian States vs. Union Territories

    Meenu Gupta1, Rachna Jain2, Simrann Arora2, Akash Gupta2, Mazhar Javed Awan3, Gopal Chaudhary2,*, Haitham Nobanee4,5,6

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.67, No.1, pp. 933-950, 2021, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2021.014221

    Abstract The COVID-19 disease has already spread to more than 213 countries and territories with infected (confirmed) cases of more than 27 million people throughout the world so far, while the numbers keep increasing. In India, this deadly disease was first detected on January 30, 2020, in a student of Kerala who returned from Wuhan. Because of India’s high population density, different cultures, and diversity, it is a good idea to have a separate analysis of each state. Hence, this paper focuses on the comprehensive analysis of the effect of COVID-19 on Indian states and Union Territories and the development of… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    E-Learning during COVID-19 Outbreak: Cloud Computing Adoption in Indian Public Universities

    Amit Kumar Bhardwaj1, Lalit Garg2,*, Arunesh Garg1, Yuvraj Gajpal3

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.66, No.3, pp. 2471-2492, 2021, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2021.014099

    Abstract In the COVID-19 pandemic situation, the need to adopt cloud computing (CC) applications by education institutions, in general, and higher education (HE) institutions, in particular, has especially increased to engage students in an online mode and remotely carrying out research. The adoption of CC across various sectors, including HE, has been picking momentum in the developing countries in the last few years. In the Indian context, the CC adaptation in the HE sector (HES) remains a less thoroughly explored sector, and no comprehensive study is reported in the literature. Therefore, the aim of the present study is to overcome this… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Modelling and Simulation of COVID-19 Outbreak Prediction Using Supervised Machine Learning

    Rachid Zagrouba1, Muhammad Adnan Khan2,*, Atta-ur-Rahman1, Muhammad Aamer Saleem3, Muhammad Faheem Mushtaq4, Abdur Rehman5, Muhammad Farhan Khan6

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.66, No.3, pp. 2397-2407, 2021, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2021.014042

    Abstract Novel Coronavirus-19 (COVID-19) is a newer type of coronavirus that has not been formally detected in humans. It is established that this disease often affects people of different age groups, particularly those with body disorders, blood pressure, diabetes, heart problems, or weakened immune systems. The epidemic of this infection has recently had a huge impact on people around the globe with rising mortality rates. Rising levels of mortality are attributed to their transmitting behavior through physical contact between humans. It is extremely necessary to monitor the transmission of the infection and also to anticipate the early stages of the disease… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Modelling the Effect of Self-Immunity and the Impacts of Asymptomatic and Symptomatic Individuals on COVID-19 Outbreak

    M. H. A. Biswas1,*, M. A. Islam1, S. Akter2, S. Mandal2, M. S. Khatun1, S. A. Samad1, A. K. Paul1, M. R. Khatun1

    CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.125, No.3, pp. 1033-1060, 2020, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2020.012792

    Abstract COVID-19 is one of the most highly infectious diseases ever emerged and caused by newly discovered severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). It has already led the entire world to health and economic crisis. It has invaded the whole universe all most every way. The present study demonstrates with a nine mutually exclusive compartmental model on transmission dynamics of this pandemic disease (COVID-19), with special focus on the transmissibility of symptomatic and asymptomatic infection from susceptible individuals. Herein, the compartmental model has been investigated with mathematical analysis and computer simulations in order to understand the dynamics of COVID-19 transmission.… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Is Social Distancing, and Quarantine Effective in Restricting COVID-19 Outbreak? Statistical Evidences from Wuhan, China

    Salman A. Cheema1, Tanveer Kifayat2, Abdu R. Rahman2, Umair Khan3, A. Zaib4, Ilyas Khan5,*, Kottakkaran Sooppy Nisar6

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.66, No.2, pp. 1977-1985, 2021, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2020.012096

    Abstract The flow of novel coronavirus (COVID-19) has affected almost every aspect of human life around the globe. Being the emerging ground and early sufferer of the virus, Wuhan city-data remains a case of multifold significance. Further, it is of notable importance to explore the impact of unique and unprecedented public health response of Chinese authorities—the extreme lockdown of the city. In this research, we investigate the statistical nature of the viral transmission concerning social distancing, extreme quarantine, and robust lockdown interventions. We observed highly convincing and statistically significant evidences in favor of quarantine and social distancing approaches. These findings might… More >

  • Open Access

    BRIEF COMMUNICATION

    Cogitation on the Mental Health Service System during the COVID-19 Outbreak in China

    Jie Zhong1,*, Fumin Fan2, Yixing Liu1

    International Journal of Mental Health Promotion, Vol.22, No.3, pp. 199-202, 2020, DOI:10.32604/IJMHP.2020.011559

    Abstract The spread of the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) in China from December 2019 to April 2020 caused serious social panic and other psychological problems among the Chinese public. Thus, reducing the public panic of and the long-term adverse psychological effects on individuals and society resulting from the epidemic became the priority task for mental health professionals in China. Based on the experiences in providing mental health services during SARS outbreak, the perspectives and strategies for targeted mental health services are reported. Furthermore, the cogitation on the problems with mental health services in China during the outbreak of COVID-19 are discussed. More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Intelligent Forecasting Model of COVID-19 Novel Coronavirus Outbreak Empowered with Deep Extreme Learning Machine

    Muhammad Adnan Khan1, *, Sagheer Abbas2, Khalid Masood Khan1, Mohammad A. Al Ghamdi3, Abdur Rehman2

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.64, No.3, pp. 1329-1342, 2020, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2020.011155

    Abstract An epidemic is a quick and widespread disease that threatens many lives and damages the economy. The epidemic lifetime should be accurate so that timely and remedial steps are determined. These include the closing of borders schools, suspension of community and commuting services. The forecast of an outbreak effectively is a very necessary but difficult task. A predictive model that provides the best possible forecast is a great challenge for machine learning with only a few samples of training available. This work proposes and examines a prediction model based on a deep extreme learning machine (DELM). This methodology is used… More >

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