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  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Metaheuristic Optimization of Time Series Models for Predicting Networks Traffic

    Reem Alkanhel1, El-Sayed M. El-kenawy2,3, D. L. Elsheweikh4, Abdelaziz A. Abdelhamid5,6, Abdelhameed Ibrahim7, Doaa Sami Khafaga8,*

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.75, No.1, pp. 427-442, 2023, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2023.032885

    Abstract Traffic prediction of wireless networks attracted many researchers and practitioners during the past decades. However, wireless traffic frequently exhibits strong nonlinearities and complicated patterns, which makes it challenging to be predicted accurately. Many of the existing approaches for predicting wireless network traffic are unable to produce accurate predictions because they lack the ability to describe the dynamic spatial-temporal correlations of wireless network traffic data. In this paper, we proposed a novel meta-heuristic optimization approach based on fitness grey wolf and dipper throated optimization algorithms for boosting the prediction accuracy of traffic volume. The proposed algorithm is employed to optimize the… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Wavelet Based Detection of Outliers in Volatility Time Series Models

    Khudhayr A. Rashedi1,2,*, Mohd Tahir Ismail1, Abdeslam Serroukh3, S. Al wadi4

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.72, No.2, pp. 3835-3847, 2022, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2022.026476

    Abstract We introduce a new wavelet based procedure for detecting outliers in financial discrete time series. The procedure focuses on the analysis of residuals obtained from a model fit, and applied to the Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) like model, but not limited to these models. We apply the Maximal-Overlap Discrete Wavelet Transform (MODWT) to the residuals and compare their wavelet coefficients against quantile thresholds to detect outliers. Our methodology has several advantages over existing methods that make use of the standard Discrete Wavelet Transform (DWT). The series sample size does not need to be a power of 2 and the… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Wavelet Decomposition Impacts on Traditional Forecasting Time Series Models

    W. A. Shaikh1,2,*, S. F. Shah2, S. M. Pandhiani3, M. A. Solangi2

    CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.130, No.3, pp. 1517-1532, 2022, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2022.017822

    Abstract This investigative study is focused on the impact of wavelet on traditional forecasting time-series models, which significantly shows the usage of wavelet algorithms. Wavelet Decomposition (WD) algorithm has been combined with various traditional forecasting time-series models, such as Least Square Support Vector Machine (LSSVM), Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines (MARS) and their effects are examined in terms of the statistical estimations. The WD has been used as a mathematical application in traditional forecast modelling to collect periodically measured parameters, which has yielded tremendous constructive outcomes. Further, it is observed that the wavelet combined models are classy… More >

  • Open Access

    A Hybrid Neural Network and Box-Jenkins Models for Time Series Forecasting

    Mohammad Hadwan1,2,3,*, Basheer M. Al-Maqaleh4 , Fuad N. Al-Badani5 , Rehan Ullah Khan1,3, Mohammed A. Al-Hagery6

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.70, No.3, pp. 4829-4845, 2022, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2022.017824

    Abstract

    Time series forecasting plays a significant role in numerous applications, including but not limited to, industrial planning, water consumption, medical domains, exchange rates and consumer price index. The main problem is insufficient forecasting accuracy. The present study proposes a hybrid forecasting methods to address this need. The proposed method includes three models. The first model is based on the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) statistical model; the second model is a back propagation neural network (BPNN) with adaptive slope and momentum parameters; and the third model is a hybridization between ARIMA and BPNN (ARIMA/BPNN) and artificial neural networks and ARIMA… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Attention-Based and Time Series Models for Short-Term Forecasting of COVID-19 Spread

    Jurgita Markevičiūtė1,*, Jolita Bernatavičienė2, Rūta Levulienė1, Viktor Medvedev2, Povilas Treigys2, Julius Venskus2

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.70, No.1, pp. 695-714, 2022, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2022.018735

    Abstract The growing number of COVID-19 cases puts pressure on healthcare services and public institutions worldwide. The pandemic has brought much uncertainty to the global economy and the situation in general. Forecasting methods and modeling techniques are important tools for governments to manage critical situations caused by pandemics, which have negative impact on public health. The main purpose of this study is to obtain short-term forecasts of disease epidemiology that could be useful for policymakers and public institutions to make necessary short-term decisions. To evaluate the effectiveness of the proposed attention-based method combining certain data mining algorithms and the classical ARIMA… More >

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