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  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Stochastic Analysis for the Dynamics of a Poliovirus Epidemic Model

    Ali Raza1, Dumitru Baleanu2,3,4, Zafar Ullah Khan5, Muhammad Mohsin6,*, Nauman Ahmed7, Muhammad Rafiq8, Pervez Anwar9

    CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.136, No.1, pp. 257-275, 2023, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2023.023231 - 05 January 2023

    Abstract Most developing countries such as Afghanistan, Pakistan, India, Bangladesh, and many more are still fighting against poliovirus. According to the World Health Organization, approximately eighteen million people have been infected with poliovirus in the last two decades. In Asia, still, some countries are suffering from the virus. The stochastic behavior of the poliovirus through the transition probabilities and non-parametric perturbation with fundamental properties are studied. Some basic properties of the deterministic model are studied, equilibria, local stability around the stead states, and reproduction number. Euler Maruyama, stochastic Euler, and stochastic Runge-Kutta study the behavior of More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    New Trends in Fuzzy Modeling Through Numerical Techniques

    M. M. Alqarni1, Muhammad Rafiq2, Fazal Dayan3,*, Jan Awrejcewicz4, Nauman Ahmed5, Ali Raza6, Muhammad Ozair Ahmad5, Witold Pawłowski7, Emad E. Mahmoud8

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.74, No.3, pp. 6371-6388, 2023, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2023.033553 - 28 December 2022

    Abstract Amoebiasis is a parasitic intestinal infection caused by the highly pathogenic amoeba Entamoeba histolytica. It is spread through person-to-person contact or by eating or drinking food or water contaminated with feces. Its transmission rate depends on the number of cysts present in the environment. The traditional models assumed a homogeneous and contradictory transmission with reality. The heterogeneity of its transmission rate is a significant factor when modeling disease dynamics. The heterogeneity of disease transmission can be described mathematically by introducing fuzzy theory. In this context, a fuzzy SEIR Amoebiasis disease model is considered in this More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    A Neural Study of the Fractional Heroin Epidemic Model

    Wajaree Weera1, Thongchai Botmart1,*, Samina Zuhra2, Zulqurnain Sabir3, Muhammad Asif Zahoor Raja4, Salem Ben Said5

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.74, No.2, pp. 4453-4467, 2023, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2023.033232 - 31 October 2022

    Abstract This works intends to provide numerical solutions based on the nonlinear fractional order derivatives of the classical White and Comiskey model (NFD-WCM). The fractional order derivatives have provided authentic and accurate solutions for the NDF-WCM. The solutions of the fractional NFD-WCM are provided using the stochastic computing supervised algorithm named Levenberg-Marquard Backpropagation (LMB) based on neural networks (NNs). This regression approach combines gradient descent and Gauss-Newton iterative methods, which means finding a solution through the sequences of different calculations. WCM is used to demonstrate the heroin epidemics. Heroin has been on-growth world wide, mainly in… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Bayesian Convolution for Stochastic Epidemic Model

    Mukhsar1,*, Ansari Saleh Ahmar2, M. A. El Safty3, Hamed El-Khawaga4,5, M. El Sayed6

    Intelligent Automation & Soft Computing, Vol.34, No.2, pp. 1175-1186, 2022, DOI:10.32604/iasc.2022.025214 - 03 May 2022

    Abstract Dengue Hemorrhagic Fever (DHF) is a tropical disease that always attacks densely populated urban communities. Some factors, such as environment, climate and mobility, have contributed to the spread of the disease. The Aedes aegypti mosquito is an agent of dengue virus in humans, and by inhibiting its life cycle it can reduce the spread of the dengue disease. Therefore, it is necessary to involve the dynamics of mosquito's life cycle in a model in order to obtain a reliable risk map for intervention. The aim of this study is to develop a stochastic convolution susceptible, infective,… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Mathematical Modelling of Rotavirus Disease Through Efficient Methods

    Ali Raza*

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.72, No.3, pp. 4727-4740, 2022, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2022.027044 - 21 April 2022

    Abstract The design of evolutionary approaches has a vital role in the recent development of scientific literature. To tackle highly nonlinear complex problems, nonlinear ordinary differential equations, partial differential equations, stochastic differential equations, and many more may called computational algorithms. The rotavirus causes may include severe diarrhea, vomiting, and fever leading to rapid dehydration. By the report of the World Health Organization (WHO), approximately 600,000 children die worldwide each year, 80 percent of whom live in developing countries. Two million children are hospitalized each year. In Asia, up to 45 percent of the children hospitalized for More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Bio-Inspired Computational Methods for the Polio Virus Epidemic Model

    Fatimah Abdulrahman Alrawajeh1, F. M. Allehiany2, Ali Raza3,*, Shaimaa A. M. Abdelmohsen4, Tahir Nawaz Cheema5, Muhammad Rafiq6, Muhammad Mohsin7

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.72, No.2, pp. 2357-2374, 2022, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2022.024604 - 29 March 2022

    Abstract In 2021, most of the developing countries are fighting polio, and parents are concerned with the disabling of their children. Poliovirus transmits from person to person, which can infect the spinal cord, and paralyzes the parts of the body within a matter of hours. According to the World Health Organization (WHO), 18 million currently healthy people could have been paralyzed by the virus during 1988–2020. Almost all countries but Pakistan, Afghanistan, and a few more have been declared polio-free. The mathematical modeling of poliovirus is studied in the population by categorizing it as susceptible individuals… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Computational Approximations for Real-World Application of Epidemic Model

    Shami A. M. Alsallami1, Ali Raza2,*, Mona Elmahi3, Muhammad Rafiq4, Shamas Bilal5, Nauman Ahmed6, Emad E. Mahmoud7

    Intelligent Automation & Soft Computing, Vol.33, No.3, pp. 1923-1939, 2022, DOI:10.32604/iasc.2022.024993 - 24 March 2022

    Abstract The real-world applications and analysis have a significant role in the scientific literature. For instance, mathematical modeling, computer graphics, camera, operating system, Java, disk encryption, web, streaming, and many more are the applications of real-world problems. In this case, we consider disease modeling and its computational treatment. Computational approximations have a significant role in different sciences such as behavioral, social, physical, and biological sciences. But the well-known techniques that are widely used in the literature have many problems. These methods are not consistent with the physical nature and even violate the actual behavior of the… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Stochastic Epidemic Model of Covid-19 via the Reservoir-People Transmission Network

    Kazem Nouri1,*, Milad Fahimi1, Leila Torkzadeh1, Dumitru Baleanu2,3

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.72, No.1, pp. 1495-1514, 2022, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2022.024406 - 24 February 2022

    Abstract The novel Coronavirus COVID-19 emerged in Wuhan, China in December 2019. COVID-19 has rapidly spread among human populations and other mammals. The outbreak of COVID-19 has become a global challenge. Mathematical models of epidemiological systems enable studying and predicting the potential spread of disease. Modeling and predicting the evolution of COVID-19 epidemics in near real-time is a scientific challenge, this requires a deep understanding of the dynamics of pandemics and the possibility that the diffusion process can be completely random. In this paper, we develop and analyze a model to simulate the Coronavirus transmission dynamics… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Examination of Pine Wilt Epidemic Model through Efficient Algorithm

    Ali Raza1,*, Emad E. Mahmoud2, A. M. Al-Bugami2, Dumitru Baleanu3,4, Muhammad Rafiq5, Muhammad Mohsin6, Muneerah Al Nuwairan7

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.71, No.3, pp. 5293-5310, 2022, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2022.024535 - 14 January 2022

    Abstract Pine wilt is a dramatic disease that kills infected trees within a few weeks to a few months. The cause is the pathogen Pinewood Nematode. Most plant-parasitic nematodes are attached to plant roots, but pinewood nematodes are found in the tops of trees. Nematodes kill the tree by feeding the cells around the resin ducts. The modeling of a pine wilt disease is based on six compartments, including three for plants (susceptible trees, exposed trees, and infected trees) and the other for the beetles (susceptible beetles, exposed beetles, and infected beetles). The deterministic modeling, along More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Assess Medical Screening and Isolation Measures Based on Numerical Method for COVID-19 Epidemic Model in Japan

    Zhongxiang Chen1, Huijuan Zha1, Zhiquan Shu2, Juyi Ye3, Jiaji Pan1,4,*

    CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.130, No.2, pp. 841-854, 2022, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2022.017574 - 13 December 2021

    Abstract This study aims to improve control schemes for COVID-19 by a numerical model with estimation of parameters. We established a multi-level and multi-objective nonlinear SEIDR model to simulate the virus transmission. The early spread in Japan was adopted as a case study. The first 96 days since the infection were divided into five stages with parameters estimated. Then, we analyzed the trend of the parameter value, age structure ratio, and the defined PCR test index (standardization of the scale of PCR tests). It was discovered that the self-healing rate and confirmed rate were linear with… More >

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