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  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Hybrid Deep Learning Enabled Load Prediction for Energy Storage Systems

    Firas Abedi1, Hayder M. A. Ghanimi2, Mohammed A. M. Sadeeq3, Ahmed Alkhayyat4,*, Zahraa H. Kareem5, Sarmad Nozad Mahmood6, Ali Hashim Abbas7, Ali S. Abosinnee8, Waleed Khaild Al-Azzawi9, Mustafa Musa Jaber10,11, Mohammed Dauwed12

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.75, No.2, pp. 3359-3374, 2023, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2023.034221 - 31 March 2023

    Abstract Recent economic growth and development have considerably raised energy consumption over the globe. Electric load prediction approaches become essential for effective planning, decision-making, and contract evaluation of the power systems. In order to achieve effective forecasting outcomes with minimum computation time, this study develops an improved whale optimization with deep learning enabled load prediction (IWO-DLELP) scheme for energy storage systems (ESS) in smart grid platform. The major intention of the IWO-DLELP technique is to effectually forecast the electric load in SG environment for designing proficient ESS. The proposed IWO-DLELP model initially undergoes pre-processing in two More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    An Endogenous Feedback and Entropy Analysis in Machine Learning Model for Stock’s Return Forecast

    Edson Vinicius Pontes Bastos1,*, Jorge Junio Moreira Antunes2, Lino Guimarães Marujo1, Peter Fernandes Wanke2, Roberto Ivo da Rocha Lima Filho1

    Intelligent Automation & Soft Computing, Vol.36, No.3, pp. 3175-3190, 2023, DOI:10.32604/iasc.2023.034582 - 15 March 2023

    Abstract Stock markets exhibit Brownian movement with random, non-linear, uncertain, evolutionary, non-parametric, nebulous, chaotic characteristics and dynamism with a high degree of complexity. Developing an algorithm to predict returns for decision-making is a challenging goal. In addition, the choice of variables that will serve as input to the model represents a non-triviality, since it is possible to observe endogeneity problems between the predictor and the predicted variables. Thus, the goal is to analyze the endogenous origin of the stock return prediction model based on technical indicators. For this, we structure a feed-forward neural network. We evaluate More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    PoQ-Consensus Based Private Electricity Consumption Forecasting via Federated Learning

    Yiqun Zhu1, Shuxian Sun1, Chunyu Liu1, Xinyi Tian1, Jingyi He2, Shuai Xiao2,*

    CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.136, No.3, pp. 3285-3297, 2023, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2023.026691 - 09 March 2023

    Abstract With the rapid development of artificial intelligence and computer technology, grid corporations have also begun to move towards comprehensive intelligence and informatization. However, data-based informatization can bring about the risk of privacy exposure of fine-grained information such as electricity consumption data. The modeling of electricity consumption data can help grid corporations to have a more thorough understanding of users’ needs and their habits, providing better services for users. Nevertheless, users’ electricity consumption data is sensitive and private. In order to achieve highly efficient analysis of massive private electricity consumption data without direct access, a blockchain-based… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Research on Short-Term Load Forecasting of Distribution Stations Based on the Clustering Improvement Fuzzy Time Series Algorithm

    Jipeng Gu1, Weijie Zhang1, Youbing Zhang1,*, Binjie Wang1, Wei Lou2, Mingkang Ye3, Linhai Wang3, Tao Liu4

    CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.136, No.3, pp. 2221-2236, 2023, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2023.025396 - 09 March 2023

    Abstract An improved fuzzy time series algorithm based on clustering is designed in this paper. The algorithm is successfully applied to short-term load forecasting in the distribution stations. Firstly, the K-means clustering method is used to cluster the data, and the midpoint of two adjacent clustering centers is taken as the dividing point of domain division. On this basis, the data is fuzzed to form a fuzzy time series. Secondly, a high-order fuzzy relation with multiple antecedents is established according to the main measurement indexes of power load, which is used to predict the short-term trend More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Novel Hybrid XGBoost Model to Forecast Soil Shear Strength Based on Some Soil Index Tests

    Ehsan Momeni1, Biao He2, Yasin Abdi3,*, Danial Jahed Armaghani4

    CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.136, No.3, pp. 2527-2550, 2023, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2023.026531 - 09 March 2023

    Abstract When building geotechnical constructions like retaining walls and dams is of interest, one of the most important factors to consider is the soil’s shear strength parameters. This study makes an effort to propose a novel predictive model of shear strength. The study implements an extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) technique coupled with a powerful optimization algorithm, the salp swarm algorithm (SSA), to predict the shear strength of various soils. To do this, a database consisting of 152 sets of data is prepared where the shear strength (τ) of the soil is considered as the model output… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    A Novel Ultra Short-Term Load Forecasting Method for Regional Electric Vehicle Charging Load Using Charging Pile Usage Degree

    Jinrui Tang*, Ganheng Ge, Jianchao Liu, Honghui Yang

    Energy Engineering, Vol.120, No.5, pp. 1107-1132, 2023, DOI:10.32604/ee.2023.025666 - 20 February 2023

    Abstract Electric vehicle (EV) charging load is greatly affected by many traffic factors, such as road congestion. Accurate ultra short-term load forecasting (STLF) results for regional EV charging load are important to the scheduling plan of regional charging load, which can be derived to realize the optimal vehicle to grid benefit. In this paper, a regional-level EV ultra STLF method is proposed and discussed. The usage degree of all charging piles is firstly defined by us based on the usage frequency of charging piles, and then constructed by our collected EV charging transaction data in the… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Dynamic Behavior-Based Churn Forecasts in the Insurance Sector

    Nagaraju Jajam, Nagendra Panini Challa*

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.75, No.1, pp. 977-997, 2023, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2023.036098 - 06 February 2023

    Abstract In the insurance sector, a massive volume of data is being generated on a daily basis due to a vast client base. Decision makers and business analysts emphasized that attaining new customers is costlier than retaining existing ones. The success of retention initiatives is determined not only by the accuracy of forecasting churners but also by the timing of the forecast. Previous works on churn forecast presented models for anticipating churn quarterly or monthly with an emphasis on customers’ static behavior. This paper’s objective is to calculate daily churn based on dynamic variations in client… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    A Levenberg–Marquardt Based Neural Network for Short-Term Load Forecasting

    Saqib Ali1,2, Shazia Riaz2,3, Safoora2, Xiangyong Liu1, Guojun Wang1,*

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.75, No.1, pp. 1783-1800, 2023, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2023.035736 - 06 February 2023

    Abstract Short-term load forecasting (STLF) is part and parcel of the efficient working of power grid stations. Accurate forecasts help to detect the fault and enhance grid reliability for organizing sufficient energy transactions. STLF ranges from an hour ahead prediction to a day ahead prediction. Various electric load forecasting methods have been used in literature for electricity generation planning to meet future load demand. A perfect balance regarding generation and utilization is still lacking to avoid extra generation and misusage of electric load. Therefore, this paper utilizes Levenberg–Marquardt (LM) based Artificial Neural Network (ANN) technique to… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    A Novel Smart Beta Optimization Based on Probabilistic Forecast

    Cheng Zhao1, Shuyi Yang2, Chu Qin3, Jie Zhou4, Longxiang Chen5,*

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.75, No.1, pp. 477-491, 2023, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2023.034933 - 06 February 2023

    Abstract Rule-based portfolio construction strategies are rising as investment demand grows, and smart beta strategies are becoming a trend among institutional investors. Smart beta strategies have high transparency, low management costs, and better long-term performance, but are at the risk of severe short-term declines due to a lack of Risk Control tools. Although there are some methods to use historical volatility for Risk Control, it is still difficult to adapt to the rapid switch of market styles. How to strengthen the Risk Control management of the portfolio while maintaining the original advantages of smart beta has… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    A Deep Learning Ensemble Method for Forecasting Daily Crude Oil Price Based on Snapshot Ensemble of Transformer Model

    Ahmed Fathalla1, Zakaria Alameer2, Mohamed Abbas3, Ahmed Ali4,5,*

    Computer Systems Science and Engineering, Vol.46, No.1, pp. 929-950, 2023, DOI:10.32604/csse.2023.035255 - 20 January 2023

    Abstract The oil industries are an important part of a country’s economy. The crude oil’s price is influenced by a wide range of variables. Therefore, how accurately can countries predict its behavior and what predictors to employ are two main questions. In this view, we propose utilizing deep learning and ensemble learning techniques to boost crude oil’s price forecasting performance. The suggested method is based on a deep learning snapshot ensemble method of the Transformer model. To examine the superiority of the proposed model, this paper compares the proposed deep learning ensemble model against different machine More >

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