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  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Prediction and Comparative Analysis of Rooftop PV Solar Energy Efficiency Considering Indoor and Outdoor Parameters under Real Climate Conditions Factors with Machine Learning Model

    Gökhan Şahin1,*, Ihsan Levent2, Gültekin Işık2, Wilfried van Sark1, Sabir Rustemli3

    CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.143, No.1, pp. 1215-1248, 2025, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2025.063193 - 11 April 2025

    Abstract This research investigates the influence of indoor and outdoor factors on photovoltaic (PV) power generation at Utrecht University to accurately predict PV system performance by identifying critical impact factors and improving renewable energy efficiency. To predict plant efficiency, nineteen variables are analyzed, consisting of nine indoor photovoltaic panel characteristics (Open Circuit Voltage (Voc), Short Circuit Current (Isc), Maximum Power (Pmpp), Maximum Voltage (Umpp), Maximum Current (Impp), Filling Factor (FF), Parallel Resistance (Rp), Series Resistance (Rs), Module Temperature) and ten environmental factors (Air Temperature, Air Humidity, Dew Point, Air Pressure, Irradiation, Irradiation Propagation, Wind Speed, Wind… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Predictive Analytics for Diabetic Patient Care: Leveraging AI to Forecast Readmission and Hospital Stays

    Saleh Albahli*

    CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.143, No.1, pp. 1095-1128, 2025, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2025.058821 - 11 April 2025

    Abstract Predicting hospital readmission and length of stay (LOS) for diabetic patients is critical for improving healthcare quality, optimizing resource utilization, and reducing costs. This study leverages machine learning algorithms to predict 30-day readmission rates and LOS using a robust dataset comprising over 100,000 patient encounters from 130 hospitals collected over a decade. A comprehensive preprocessing pipeline, including feature selection, data transformation, and class balancing, was implemented to ensure data quality and enhance model performance. Exploratory analysis revealed key patterns, such as the influence of age and the number of diagnoses on readmission rates, guiding the More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    FractalNet-LSTM Model for Time Series Forecasting

    Nataliya Shakhovska, Volodymyr Shymanskyi*, Maksym Prymachenko

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.82, No.3, pp. 4469-4484, 2025, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2025.062675 - 06 March 2025

    Abstract Time series forecasting is important in the fields of finance, energy, and meteorology, but traditional methods often fail to cope with the complex nonlinear and nonstationary processes of real data. In this paper, we propose the FractalNet-LSTM model, which combines fractal convolutional units with recurrent long short-term memory (LSTM) layers to model time series efficiently. To test the effectiveness of the model, data with complex structures and patterns, in particular, with seasonal and cyclical effects, were used. To better demonstrate the obtained results and the formed conclusions, the model performance was shown on the datasets More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Heuristic Feature Engineering for Enhancing Neural Network Performance in Spatiotemporal Traffic Prediction

    Bin Sun1, Yinuo Wang1, Tao Shen1,*, Lu Zhang1, Renkang Geng2

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.82, No.3, pp. 4219-4236, 2025, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2025.060567 - 06 March 2025

    Abstract Traffic datasets exhibit complex spatiotemporal characteristics, including significant fluctuations in traffic volume and intricate periodical patterns, which pose substantial challenges for the accurate forecasting and effective management of traffic conditions. Traditional forecasting models often struggle to adequately capture these complexities, leading to suboptimal predictive performance. While neural networks excel at modeling intricate and nonlinear data structures, they are also highly susceptible to overfitting, resulting in inefficient use of computational resources and decreased model generalization. This paper introduces a novel heuristic feature extraction method that synergistically combines the strengths of non-neural network algorithms with neural networks… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    SGP-GCN: A Spatial-Geological Perception Graph Convolutional Neural Network for Long-Term Petroleum Production Forecasting

    Xin Liu1,*, Meng Sun1, Bo Lin2, Shibo Gu1

    Energy Engineering, Vol.122, No.3, pp. 1053-1072, 2025, DOI:10.32604/ee.2025.060489 - 07 March 2025

    Abstract Long-term petroleum production forecasting is essential for the effective development and management of oilfields. Due to its ability to extract complex patterns, deep learning has gained popularity for production forecasting. However, existing deep learning models frequently overlook the selective utilization of information from other production wells, resulting in suboptimal performance in long-term production forecasting across multiple wells. To achieve accurate long-term petroleum production forecast, we propose a spatial-geological perception graph convolutional neural network (SGP-GCN) that accounts for the temporal, spatial, and geological dependencies inherent in petroleum production. Utilizing the attention mechanism, the SGP-GCN effectively captures… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    MACLSTM: A Weather Attributes Enabled Recurrent Approach to Appliance-Level Energy Consumption Forecasting

    Ruoxin Li1,*, Shaoxiong Wu1, Fengping Deng1, Zhongli Tian1, Hua Cai1, Xiang Li1, Xu Xu1, Qi Liu2,3

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.82, No.2, pp. 2969-2984, 2025, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2025.060230 - 17 February 2025

    Abstract Studies to enhance the management of electrical energy have gained considerable momentum in recent years. The question of how much energy will be needed in households is a pressing issue as it allows the management plan of the available resources at the power grids and consumer levels. A non-intrusive inference process can be adopted to predict the amount of energy required by appliances. In this study, an inference process of appliance consumption based on temporal and environmental factors used as a soft sensor is proposed. First, a study of the correlation between the electrical and… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    A Hybrid Transfer Learning Framework for Enhanced Oil Production Time Series Forecasting

    Dalal AL-Alimi1, Mohammed A. A. Al-qaness2,3,*, Robertas Damaševičius4,*

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.82, No.2, pp. 3539-3561, 2025, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2025.059869 - 17 February 2025

    Abstract Accurate forecasting of oil production is essential for optimizing resource management and minimizing operational risks in the energy sector. Traditional time-series forecasting techniques, despite their widespread application, often encounter difficulties in handling the complexities of oil production data, which is characterized by non-linear patterns, skewed distributions, and the presence of outliers. To overcome these limitations, deep learning methods have emerged as more robust alternatives. However, while deep neural networks offer improved accuracy, they demand substantial amounts of data for effective training. Conversely, shallow networks with fewer layers lack the capacity to model complex data distributions… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Short-Term Wind Power Forecast Based on STL-IAOA-iTransformer Algorithm: A Case Study in Northwest China

    Zhaowei Yang1, Bo Yang2,*, Wenqi Liu1, Miwei Li2, Jiarong Wang2, Lin Jiang3, Yiyan Sang4, Zhenning Pan5

    Energy Engineering, Vol.122, No.2, pp. 405-430, 2025, DOI:10.32604/ee.2025.059515 - 31 January 2025

    Abstract Accurate short-term wind power forecast technique plays a crucial role in maintaining the safety and economic efficiency of smart grids. Although numerous studies have employed various methods to forecast wind power, there remains a research gap in leveraging swarm intelligence algorithms to optimize the hyperparameters of the Transformer model for wind power prediction. To improve the accuracy of short-term wind power forecast, this paper proposes a hybrid short-term wind power forecast approach named STL-IAOA-iTransformer, which is based on seasonal and trend decomposition using LOESS (STL) and iTransformer model optimized by improved arithmetic optimization algorithm (IAOA).… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    DecMamba: Mamba Utilizing Series Decomposition for Multivariate Time Series Forecasting

    Jianxin Feng*, Jianhao Zhang, Ge Cao, Zhiguo Liu, Yuanming Ding

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.82, No.1, pp. 1049-1068, 2025, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2024.058374 - 03 January 2025

    Abstract Multivariate time series forecasting is widely used in traffic planning, weather forecasting, and energy consumption. Series decomposition algorithms can help models better understand the underlying patterns of the original series to improve the forecasting accuracy of multivariate time series. However, the decomposition kernel of previous decomposition-based models is fixed, and these models have not considered the differences in frequency fluctuations between components. These problems make it difficult to analyze the intricate temporal variations of real-world time series. In this paper, we propose a series decomposition-based Mamba model, DecMamba, to obtain the intricate temporal dependencies and… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    IoT Empowered Early Warning of Transmission Line Galloping Based on Integrated Optical Fiber Sensing and Weather Forecast Time Series Data

    Zhe Li, Yun Liang, Jinyu Wang, Yang Gao*

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.82, No.1, pp. 1171-1192, 2025, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2024.057225 - 03 January 2025

    Abstract Iced transmission line galloping poses a significant threat to the safety and reliability of power systems, leading directly to line tripping, disconnections, and power outages. Existing early warning methods of iced transmission line galloping suffer from issues such as reliance on a single data source, neglect of irregular time series, and lack of attention-based closed-loop feedback, resulting in high rates of missed and false alarms. To address these challenges, we propose an Internet of Things (IoT) empowered early warning method of transmission line galloping that integrates time series data from optical fiber sensing and weather… More >

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