Qian Wang¹, Xiaolong Yang^2,*, Di Pu³, Yingying Fan⁴

CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.130, No.1, pp. 269-286, 2022, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2022.016437

Abstract This paper proposes a new power grid investment prediction model based on the deep restricted Boltzmann machine (DRBM) optimized by the Lion algorithm (LA). Firstly, two factors including transmission and distribution price reform (TDPR) and 5G station construction were comprehensively incorporated into the consideration of influencing factors, and the fuzzy threshold method was used to screen out critical influencing factors. Then, the LA was used to optimize the parameters of the DRBM model to improve the model's prediction accuracy, and the model was trained with the selected influencing factors and investment. Finally, the LA-DRBM model was used to predict the… More >

Ming Zhang, Hongbo Li, Xing Deng^*

Energy Engineering, Vol.119, No.1, pp. 237-252, 2022, DOI:10.32604/EE.2022.017916

Abstract The inherent randomness, intermittence and volatility of wind power generation compromise the quality of the wind power system, resulting in uncertainty in the system's optimal scheduling. As a result, it's critical to improve power quality and assure real-time power grid scheduling and grid-connected wind farm operation. Inferred statistics are utilized in this research to infer general features based on the selected information, confirming that there are differences between two forecasting categories: Forecast Category 1 (0–11 h ahead) and Forecast Category 2 (12–23 h ahead). In z-tests, the null hypothesis provides the corresponding quantitative findings. To verify the final performance of… More >

N. Ashwini^1,*, V. Nagaveni², Manoj Kumar Singh³

Intelligent Automation & Soft Computing, Vol.32, No.2, pp. 893-908, 2022, DOI:10.32604/iasc.2022.022231

Abstract Forecasting for a time series signal carrying single pattern characteristics can be done properly using function mapping-based principle by a well-designed artificial neural network model. But the performances degraded very much when time series carried the mixture of different patterns characteristics. The level of difficulty increases further when there is a need to predict far time samples. Among several possible mixtures of patterns, the trend-cycle time series is having its importance because of its occurrence in many real-life applications like in electric power generation, fuel consumption and automobile sales. Over the mixed characteristics of patterns, a neural model, suffered heavily… More >

Jabeen Sultana^1,*, Anjani Kumar Singha², Shams Tabrez Siddiqui³, Guthikonda Nagalaxmi⁴, Anil Kumar Sriram⁵, Nitish Pathak⁶

Intelligent Automation & Soft Computing, Vol.32, No.2, pp. 1007-1024, 2022, DOI:10.32604/iasc.2022.021507

Abstract COVID-19 is a novel virus that spreads in multiple chains from one person to the next. When a person is infected with this virus, they experience respiratory problems as well as rise in body temperature. Heavy breathlessness is the most severe sign of this COVID-19, which can lead to serious illness in some people. However, not everyone who has been infected with this virus will experience the same symptoms. Some people develop cold and cough, while others suffer from severe headaches and fatigue. This virus freezes the entire world as each country is fighting against COVID-19 and endures vaccination doses.… More >

Zhiqiu Yu^1,*, Shuo-Yan Chou¹, Phan Nguyen Ky Phuc², Tiffany Hui-Kuang Yu³

Computer Systems Science and Engineering, Vol.41, No.3, pp. 1191-1205, 2022, DOI:10.32604/csse.2022.021239

Abstract This research aims to study the sustainability of Taiwan power supply chain based on system dynamics forecasting. The paper tries to investigate electricity shortage effects not only on the industrial side, but also from the standpoint of society. In our model, different forecasting methods such as linear regression, time series analysis, and gray forecasting are also considered to predict the parameters. Further tests such as the structure, dimension, historical fit, and sensitivity of the model are also conducted in this paper. Through analysis forecasting result, we believe that the demand for electricity in Taiwan will continue to increase to a… More >

Pudi Sekhar¹, T. J. Benedict Jose², Velmurugan Subbiah Parvathy³, E. Laxmi Lydia⁴, Seifedine Kadry⁵, Kuntha Pin⁶, Yunyoung Nam^7,*

CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.71, No.1, pp. 1473-1487, 2022, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2022.022110

Abstract With the incorporation of distributed energy systems in the electric grid, transactive energy market (TEM) has become popular in balancing the demand as well as supply adaptively over the grid. The classical grid can be updated to the smart grid by the integration of Information and Communication Technology (ICT) over the grids. The TEM allows the Peer-to-Peer (P2P) energy trading in the grid that effectually connects the consumer and prosumer to trade energy among them. At the same time, there is a need to predict the load for effectual P2P energy trading and can be accomplished by the use of… More >

Mohd Anul Haq^*

CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.71, No.1, pp. 1403-1425, 2022, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2022.021968

Abstract Rapid industrialization and urbanization are rapidly deteriorating ambient air quality, especially in the developing nations. Air pollutants impose a high risk on human health and degrade the environment as well. Earlier studies have used machine learning (ML) and statistical modeling to classify and forecast air pollution. However, these methods suffer from the complexity of air pollution dataset resulting in a lack of efficient classification and forecasting of air pollution. ML-based models suffer from improper data pre-processing, class imbalance issues, data splitting, and hyperparameter tuning. There is a gap in the existing ML-based studies on air pollution due to improper data… More >

Savita Khurana¹, Gaurav Sharma², Neha Miglani³, Aman Singh⁴, Abdullah Alharbi⁵, Wael Alosaimi⁵, Hashem Alyami⁶, Nitin Goyal^7,*

CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.71, No.1, pp. 629-649, 2022, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2022.021884

Abstract COVID-19, being the virus of fear and anxiety, is one of the most recent and emergent of various respiratory disorders. It is similar to the MERS-COV and SARS-COV, the viruses that affected a large population of different countries in the year 2012 and 2002, respectively. Various standard models have been used for COVID-19 epidemic prediction but they suffered from low accuracy due to lesser data availability and a high level of uncertainty. The proposed approach used a machine learning-based time-series Facebook NeuralProphet model for prediction of the number of death as well as confirmed cases and compared it with Poisson… More >

Meshrif Alruily¹, Mohamed Ezz^1,2, Ayman Mohamed Mostafa^1,3, Nacim Yanes^1,4, Mostafa Abbas⁵, Yasser El-Manzalawy^5,*

CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.71, No.1, pp. 1751-1768, 2022, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2022.020714

Abstract Accurate forecasting of emerging infectious diseases can guide public health officials in making appropriate decisions related to the allocation of public health resources. Due to the exponential spread of the COVID-19 infection worldwide, several computational models for forecasting the transmission and mortality rates of COVID-19 have been proposed in the literature. To accelerate scientific and public health insights into the spread and impact of COVID-19, Google released the Google COVID-19 search trends symptoms open-access dataset. Our objective is to develop 7 and 14-day-ahead forecasting models of COVID-19 transmission and mortality in the US using the Google search trends for COVID-19… More >

Qunhui Zhang¹, Mengzhe Lu^3,4, Liang Dai^2,*

Computer Systems Science and Engineering, Vol.41, No.2, pp. 795-809, 2022, DOI:10.32604/csse.2022.019987

Abstract Stock market trading is an activity in which investors need fast and accurate information to make effective decisions. But the fact is that forecasting stock prices by using various models has been suffering from low accuracy, slow convergence, and complex parameters. This study aims to employ a mixed model to improve the accuracy of stock price prediction. We present how to use a random walk based on jump-diffusion, to obtain stock predictions with a good-fitting degree by adjusting different parameters. Aimed at getting better parameters and then using the time series model to predict the data, we employed the time… More >