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  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Financial Trading Model with Stock Bar Chart Image Time Series with Deep Convolutional Neural Networks

    Omer Berat Sezer*, Ahmet Murat Ozbayoglu

    Intelligent Automation & Soft Computing, Vol.26, No.2, pp. 323-334, 2020, DOI:10.31209/2018.100000065

    Abstract Even though computational intelligence techniques have been extensively utilized in financial trading systems, almost all developed models use the time series data for price prediction or identifying buy-sell points. However, in this study we decided to use 2-D stock bar chart images directly without introducing any additional time series associated with the underlying stock. We propose a novel algorithmic trading model CNN-BI (Convolutional Neural Network with Bar Images) using a 2-D Convolutional Neural Network. We generated 2-D images of sliding windows of 30-day bar charts for Dow 30 stocks and trained a deep Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) model for our… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Modeling of a Fuzzy Expert System for Choosing an Appropriate Supply Chain Collaboration Strategy

    Kazim Sari

    Intelligent Automation & Soft Computing, Vol.24, No.2, pp. 405-412, 2018, DOI:10.1080/10798587.2017.1352258

    Abstract Nowadays, there has been a great interest for business enterprises to work together or collaborate in the supply chain. It is thus possible for them to gain a competitive advantage in the marketplace. However, determining the right collaboration strategy is not an easy task. Namely, there are several factors that need to be considered at the same time. In this regard, an expert system based on fuzzy rules is proposed to choose an appropriate collaboration strategy for a given supply chain. To this end, firstly, the factors that are significant for supply chain collaboration are extracted via an extensive review… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Short-term Forecasting of Air Passengers Based on the Hybrid Rough Set and the Double Exponential Smoothing Model

    Haresh Kumar Sharma, Kriti Kumari, Samarjit Kar

    Intelligent Automation & Soft Computing, Vol.25, No.1, pp. 1-14, 2019, DOI:10.31209/2018.100000036

    Abstract This article focuses on the use of the rough set theory in modeling of time series forecasting. In this paper, we have used the double exponential smoothing (DES) model for forecasting. The classical DES model has been improved by using the rough set technique. The improved double exponential smoothing (IDES) method can be used for the time series data without any statistical assumptions. The proposed method is applied on tourism demand of the air transportation passenger data set in Australia and the results are compared with the classical DES model. It has been observed that the forecasting accuracy of the… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Machine Learning and Classical Forecasting Methods Based Decision Support Systems for COVID-19

    Ramazan Ünlü1, Ersin Namlı2, *

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.64, No.3, pp. 1383-1399, 2020, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2020.011335

    Abstract From late 2019 to the present day, the coronavirus outbreak tragically affected the whole world and killed tens of thousands of people. Many countries have taken very stringent measures to alleviate the effects of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) and are still being implemented. In this study, various machine learning techniques are implemented to predict possible confirmed cases and mortality numbers for the future. According to these models, we have tried to shed light on the future in terms of possible measures to be taken or updating the current measures. Support Vector Machines (SVM), Holt-Winters, Prophet, and Long-Short Term Memory… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Intelligent Forecasting Model of COVID-19 Novel Coronavirus Outbreak Empowered with Deep Extreme Learning Machine

    Muhammad Adnan Khan1, *, Sagheer Abbas2, Khalid Masood Khan1, Mohammad A. Al Ghamdi3, Abdur Rehman2

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.64, No.3, pp. 1329-1342, 2020, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2020.011155

    Abstract An epidemic is a quick and widespread disease that threatens many lives and damages the economy. The epidemic lifetime should be accurate so that timely and remedial steps are determined. These include the closing of borders schools, suspension of community and commuting services. The forecast of an outbreak effectively is a very necessary but difficult task. A predictive model that provides the best possible forecast is a great challenge for machine learning with only a few samples of training available. This work proposes and examines a prediction model based on a deep extreme learning machine (DELM). This methodology is used… More >

  • Open Access

    REVIEW

    Wind Power Forecasting Methods Based on Deep Learning: A Survey

    Xing Deng1, 2, Haijian Shao1, *, Chunlong Hu1, Dengbiao Jiang1, Yingtao Jiang3

    CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.122, No.1, pp. 273-301, 2020, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2020.08768

    Abstract Accurate wind power forecasting in wind farm can effectively reduce the enormous impact on grid operation safety when high permeability intermittent power supply is connected to the power grid. Aiming to provide reference strategies for relevant researchers as well as practical applications, this paper attempts to provide the literature investigation and methods analysis of deep learning, enforcement learning and transfer learning in wind speed and wind power forecasting modeling. Usually, wind speed and wind power forecasting around a wind farm requires the calculation of the next moment of the definite state, which is usually achieved based on the state of… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Forecasting Damage Mechanics By Deep Learning

    Duyen Le Hien Nguyen1, Dieu Thi Thanh Do2, Jaehong Lee2, Timon Rabczuk3, Hung Nguyen-Xuan1,4,*

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.61, No.3, pp. 951-977, 2019, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2019.08001

    Abstract We in this paper exploit time series algorithm based deep learning in forecasting damage mechanics problems. The methodologies that are able to work accurately for less computational and resolving attempts are a significant demand nowadays. Relied on learning an amount of information from given data, the long short-term memory (LSTM) method and multi-layer neural networks (MNN) method are applied to predict solutions. Numerical examples are implemented for predicting fracture growth rates of L-shape concrete specimen under load ratio, single-edge-notched beam forced by 4-point shear and hydraulic fracturing in permeable porous media problems such as storage-toughness fracture regime and fracture-height growth… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Assessing the Forecasting of Comprehensive Loss Incurred by Typhoons: A Combined PCA and BP Neural Network Model

    Shuai Yuan1, Guizhi Wang1,*, Jibo Chen1, Wei Guo2

    Journal on Artificial Intelligence, Vol.1, No.2, pp. 69-88, 2019, DOI:10.32604/jai.2019.06535

    Abstract This paper develops a joint model utilizing the principal component analysis (PCA) and the back propagation (BP) neural network model optimized by the Levenberg Marquardt (LM) algorithm, and as an application of the joint model to investigate the damages caused by typhoons for a coastal province, Fujian Province, China in 2005-2015 (latest). First, the PCA is applied to analyze comprehensively the relationship between hazard factors, hazard bearing factors and disaster factors. Then five integrated indices, overall disaster level, typhoon intensity, damaged condition of houses, medical rescue and self-rescue capability, are extracted through the PCA; Finally, the BP neural network model,… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Systematically Monitoring, Relational Database and Technology Roadmapping for Trends and Innovation Opportunities in Biopolymers

    Selma B. Jaconis1,*, Augusto T. Morita2, Paulo L. A. Coutinho3, Suzana Borschiver1

    Journal of Renewable Materials, Vol.7, No.11, pp. 1221-1230, 2019, DOI:10.32604/jrm.2019.00025

    Abstract In recent years environmental and sustainability concerns have impacted the global chemical industry and instituted a rush to produce products from renewable raw materials. This dynamic, complex and turbulent organizational scenario, around themes touching on the issue of sustainable development model, was created involving a large number of different actors: chemical/petrochemical industries, agroindustry companies, oil/gas companies, brand owners and end users, biotechnology startups, governments, universities and society. This paper proposed the application of a structured and dynamic method of technological prediction for biopolymers in three levels: systematic monitoring process, relational database and the “alive” Technology Roadmapping visualization tool. The main… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    AdaBoosting Neural Network for Short-Term Wind Speed Forecasting Based on Seasonal Characteristics Analysis and Lag Space Estimation

    Haijian Shao1, 2, Xing Deng1, 2, *

    CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.114, No.3, pp. 277-293, 2018, DOI:10.3970/cmes.2018.114.277

    Abstract High accurary in wind speed forcasting remains hard to achieve due to wind’s random distribution nature and its seasonal characteristics. Randomness, intermittent and nonstationary usually cause the portion problem of the wind speed forecasting. Seasonal characteristics of wind speed means that its feature distribution is inconsistent. This typically results that the persistence of excitation for modeling can not be guaranteed, and may severely reduce the possibilities of high precise forecasting model. In this paper, we proposed two effective solutions to solve the problems caused by the randomness and seasonal characteristics of the wind speed. (1) Wavelet analysis is used to… More >

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