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  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Effect of Weather on the Spread of COVID-19 Using Eigenspace Decomposition

    Manar A. Alqudah1, Thabet Abdeljawad2,3,4,*, Anwar Zeb5, Izaz Ullah Khan5, Fatma Bozkurt6

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.69, No.3, pp. 3047-3063, 2021, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2021.017752

    Abstract Since the end of 2019, the world has suffered from a pandemic of the disease called COVID-19. WHO reports show approximately 113 M confirmed cases of infection and 2.5 M deaths. All nations are affected by this nightmare that continues to spread. Widespread fear of this pandemic arose not only from the speed of its transmission: a rapidly changing “normal life” became a fear for everyone. Studies have mainly focused on the spread of the virus, which showed a relative decrease in high temperature, low humidity, and other environmental conditions. Therefore, this study targets the effect of weather in considering… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Numerical Analysis of Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCov) Pandemic Model with Advection

    Shumaila Azam1, Nauman Ahmed1,6, Ali Raza2, Muhammad Sajid Iqbal1, Muhammad Rafiq3, Ilyas Khan4,*, Kottakkaran Sooppy Nisar5, Muhammad Ozair Ahmad1, Zafar Iqbal1,6

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.67, No.3, pp. 2933-2953, 2021, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2021.012396

    Abstract Recently, the world is facing the terror of the novel corona-virus, termed as COVID-19. Various health institutes and researchers are continuously striving to control this pandemic. In this article, the SEIAR (susceptible, exposed, infected, symptomatically infected, asymptomatically infected and recovered) infection model of COVID-19 with a constant rate of advection is studied for the disease propagation. A simple model of the disease is extended to an advection model by accommodating the advection process and some appropriate parameters in the system. The continuous model is transposed into a discrete numerical model by discretizing the domains, finitely. To analyze the disease dynamics,… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Qualitative Analysis of a Fractional Pandemic Spread Model of the Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19)

    Ali Yousef1,*, Fatma Bozkurt1,2, Thabet Abdeljawad3,4,5

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.66, No.1, pp. 843-869, 2021, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2020.012060

    Abstract In this study, we classify the genera of COVID-19 and provide brief information about the root of the spread and the transmission from animal (natural host) to humans. We establish a model of fractional-order differential equations to discuss the spread of the infection from the natural host to the intermediate one, and from the intermediate one to the human host. At the same time, we focus on the potential spillover of bat-borne coronaviruses. We consider the local stability of the co-existing critical point of the model by using the Routh–Hurwitz Criteria. Moreover, we analyze the existence and uniqueness of the… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Mathematical Analysis of Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCov) Delay Pandemic Model

    Muhammad Naveed1, Muhammad Rafiq2, Ali Raza3, Nauman Ahmed4, Ilyas Khan5, *, Kottakkaran Sooppy Nisar6, Atif Hassan Soori1

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.64, No.3, pp. 1401-1414, 2020, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2020.011314

    Abstract In this manuscript, the mathematical analysis of corona virus model with time delay effect is studied. Mathematical modelling of infectious diseases has substantial role in the different disciplines such as biological, engineering, physical, social, behavioural problems and many more. Most of infectious diseases are dreadful such as HIV/AIDS, Hepatitis and 2019-nCov. Unfortunately, due to the non-availability of vaccine for 2019- nCov around the world, the delay factors like, social distancing, quarantine, travel restrictions, holidays extension, hospitalization and isolation are used as key tools to control the pandemic of 2019-nCov. We have analysed the reproduction number RnCov of delayed model. Two… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Intelligent Forecasting Model of COVID-19 Novel Coronavirus Outbreak Empowered with Deep Extreme Learning Machine

    Muhammad Adnan Khan1, *, Sagheer Abbas2, Khalid Masood Khan1, Mohammad A. Al Ghamdi3, Abdur Rehman2

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.64, No.3, pp. 1329-1342, 2020, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2020.011155

    Abstract An epidemic is a quick and widespread disease that threatens many lives and damages the economy. The epidemic lifetime should be accurate so that timely and remedial steps are determined. These include the closing of borders schools, suspension of community and commuting services. The forecast of an outbreak effectively is a very necessary but difficult task. A predictive model that provides the best possible forecast is a great challenge for machine learning with only a few samples of training available. This work proposes and examines a prediction model based on a deep extreme learning machine (DELM). This methodology is used… More >

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