Alex Segura^*, Joaquim Meléndez

CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.145, No.1, pp. 649-672, 2025, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2025.070954 - 30 October 2025

Abstract The increasing use of renewable energy sources, combined with the increase in electricity demand, has highlighted the importance of energy flexibility management in electrical grids. Energy flexibility is the capacity that generators and consumers have to change production and/or consumption to support grid operation, ensuring the stability and efficiency of the grid. Thus, Local Flexibility Markets (LFMs) are market-oriented mechanisms operated at different time horizons that support flexibility provision and trading at the distribution level, where the Distribution System Operators (DSOs) are the flexibility-demanding actors, and prosumers are the flexibility providers. This paper investigates the… More >

Qingliang Wang¹, Chengkai Liu¹, Zhaohui Zhou¹, Ye Han¹, Luebin Fang², Moxuan Zhao³, Xiao Cao^3,*

Energy Engineering, Vol.122, No.11, pp. 4715-4732, 2025, DOI:10.32604/ee.2025.068105 - 27 October 2025

Abstract Grid-supplied load is the traditional load minus new energy generation, so grid-supplied load forecasting is challenged by uncertainties associated with the total energy demand and the energy generated off-grid. In addition, with the expansion of the power system and the increase in the frequency of extreme weather events, the difficulty of grid-supplied load forecasting is further exacerbated. Traditional statistical methods struggle to capture the dynamic characteristics of grid-supplied load, especially under extreme weather conditions. This paper proposes a novel grid-supplied load prediction model based on Convolutional Neural Network-Bidirectional LSTM-Attention mechanism (CNN-BiLSTM-Attention). The model utilizes transfer… More >

Mingliang Deng¹, Zhao Zhang^1,*, Hongyan Zhou², Xuebo Chen²

CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.84, No.1, pp. 1189-1202, 2025, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2025.064509 - 09 June 2025

Abstract To fully explore the potential features contained in power load data, an innovative short-term power load forecasting method that integrates data mining and deep learning techniques is proposed. Firstly, a density peak fast search algorithm optimized by time series weighting factors is used to cluster and analyze load data, accurately dividing subsets of data into different categories. Secondly, introducing convolutional block attention mechanism into the bidirectional gated recurrent unit (BiGRU) structure significantly enhances its ability to extract key features. On this basis, in order to make the model more accurately adapt to the dynamic changes… More >

Huanan Yu, Chunhe Ye, Shiqiang Li^*, He Wang, Jing Bian, Jinling Li

Energy Engineering, Vol.122, No.6, pp. 2417-2448, 2025, DOI:10.32604/ee.2025.061214 - 29 May 2025

Abstract With the increasing integration of large-scale distributed energy resources into the grid, traditional distribution network optimization and dispatch methods struggle to address the challenges posed by both generation and load. Accounting for these issues, this paper proposes a multi-timescale coordinated optimization dispatch method for distribution networks. First, the probability box theory was employed to determine the uncertainty intervals of generation and load forecasts, based on which, the requirements for flexibility dispatch and capacity constraints of the grid were calculated and analyzed. Subsequently, a multi-timescale optimization framework was constructed, incorporating the generation and load forecast uncertainties. More >

Cong Zhang^1,2, Chutong Zhang², Lei Shen¹, Renwei Guo², Wan Chen¹, Hui Huang², Jie Ji^2,*

Energy Engineering, Vol.122, No.5, pp. 2077-2097, 2025, DOI:10.32604/ee.2025.064175 - 25 April 2025

Abstract This paper presents a solution for energy storage system capacity configuration and renewable energy integration in smart grids using a multi-disciplinary optimization method. The solution involves a hybrid prediction framework based on an improved grey regression neural network (IGRNN), which combines grey prediction, an improved BP neural network, and multiple linear regression with a dynamic weight allocation mechanism to enhance prediction accuracy. Additionally, an improved cuckoo search (ICS) algorithm is designed to empower the neural network model, incorporating a gamma distribution disturbance factor and adaptive inertia weight to balance global exploration and local exploitation, achieving… More >

Ruoxin Li^1,*, Shaoxiong Wu¹, Fengping Deng¹, Zhongli Tian¹, Hua Cai¹, Xiang Li¹, Xu Xu¹, Qi Liu^2,3

CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.82, No.2, pp. 2969-2984, 2025, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2025.060230 - 17 February 2025

Abstract Studies to enhance the management of electrical energy have gained considerable momentum in recent years. The question of how much energy will be needed in households is a pressing issue as it allows the management plan of the available resources at the power grids and consumer levels. A non-intrusive inference process can be adopted to predict the amount of energy required by appliances. In this study, an inference process of appliance consumption based on temporal and environmental factors used as a soft sensor is proposed. First, a study of the correlation between the electrical and… More >

Jiachang Liu^1,*, Zhengwei Huang², Junfeng Xiang¹, Lu Liu¹, Manlin Hu¹

Energy Engineering, Vol.121, No.11, pp. 3461-3486, 2024, DOI:10.32604/ee.2024.054514 - 21 October 2024

Abstract To enhance the refinement of load decomposition in power systems and fully leverage seasonal change information to further improve prediction performance, this paper proposes a seasonal short-term load combination prediction model based on modal decomposition and a feature-fusion multi-algorithm hybrid neural network model. Specifically, the characteristics of load components are analyzed for different seasons, and the corresponding models are established. First, the improved complete ensemble empirical modal decomposition with adaptive noise (ICEEMDAN) method is employed to decompose the system load for all four seasons, and the new sequence is obtained through reconstruction based on the… More >

Benxin Li^*, Xuanming Chang

Energy Engineering, Vol.121, No.10, pp. 3001-3018, 2024, DOI:10.32604/ee.2024.051332 - 11 September 2024

Abstract The increasingly large number of electric vehicles (EVs) has resulted in a growing concern for EV charging station load prediction for the purpose of comprehensively evaluating the influence of the charging load on distribution networks. To address this issue, an EV charging station load prediction method is proposed in coupled urban transportation and distribution networks. Firstly, a finer dynamic urban transportation network model is formulated considering both nodal and path resistance. Then, a finer EV power consumption model is proposed by considering the influence of traffic congestion and ambient temperature. Thirdly, the Monte Carlo method… More > Graphic Abstract

Lin Ma¹, Liyong Wang¹, Shuang Zeng¹, Yutong Zhao¹, Chang Liu¹, Heng Zhang¹, Qiong Wu^2,*, Hongbo Ren²

Energy Engineering, Vol.121, No.6, pp. 1473-1493, 2024, DOI:10.32604/ee.2024.047332 - 21 May 2024

Abstract Accurate load forecasting forms a crucial foundation for implementing household demand response plans and optimizing load scheduling. When dealing with short-term load data characterized by substantial fluctuations, a single prediction model is hard to capture temporal features effectively, resulting in diminished prediction accuracy. In this study, a hybrid deep learning framework that integrates attention mechanism, convolution neural network (CNN), improved chaotic particle swarm optimization (ICPSO), and long short-term memory (LSTM), is proposed for short-term household load forecasting. Firstly, the CNN model is employed to extract features from the original data, enhancing the quality of data… More >

Jialin Yu^1,*, Xiaodi Zhang², Qi Zhong¹, Jian Feng¹

Energy Engineering, Vol.121, No.3, pp. 789-806, 2024, DOI:10.32604/ee.2023.043299 - 27 February 2024

Abstract With a further increase in energy flexibility for customers, short-term load forecasting is essential to provide benchmarks for economic dispatch and real-time alerts in power grids. The electrical load series exhibit periodic patterns and share high associations with metrological data. However, current studies have merely focused on point-wise models and failed to sufficiently investigate the periodic patterns of load series, which hinders the further improvement of short-term load forecasting accuracy. Therefore, this paper improved Autoformer to extract the periodic patterns of load series and learn a representative feature from deep decomposition and reconstruction. In addition, More >