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  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Seasonal Characteristics Analysis and Uncertainty Measurement for Wind Speed Time Series

    Xing Deng1,2, Haijian Shao1,2,*, Xia Wang3,4

    Energy Engineering, Vol.117, No.5, pp. 289-299, 2020, DOI:10.32604/EE.2020.011126

    Abstract Wind speed’s distribution nature such as uncertainty and randomness imposes a challenge in high accuracy forecasting. Based on the energy distribution about the extracted amplitude and associated frequency, the uncertainty measurement is processed through Rényi entropy analysis method with time-frequency nature. Nonparametric statistical method is used to test the randomness of wind speed, more precisely, whether or not the wind speed time series is independent and identically distribution (i.i.d) based on the output probability. Seasonal characteristics of wind speed are analyzed based on self-similarity in periodogram under scales range generated by wavelet transformation to reasonably More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Classifications of Stations in Urban Rail Transit based on the Two-step Cluster

    Wei Li1, 2, 3, Min Zhou1, *, Hairong Dong1

    Intelligent Automation & Soft Computing, Vol.26, No.3, pp. 531-538, 2020, DOI:10.32604/iasc.2020.013930

    Abstract Different types of stations have different functional roles in the urban rail transit network. Firstly, based on the characteristics of the urban rail transit network structure, the time series features and passenger flow features of the station smart card data are extracted. Secondly, we use the principal component analysis method to select the suitable clustering variables. Finally, we propose a station classification model based on the two-step cluster method. The effectiveness of the proposed method is verified in the Beijing subway. The results show that the proposed model can successfully identify the types of urban More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Financial Trading Model with Stock Bar Chart Image Time Series with Deep Convolutional Neural Networks

    Omer Berat Sezer*, Ahmet Murat Ozbayoglu

    Intelligent Automation & Soft Computing, Vol.26, No.2, pp. 323-334, 2020, DOI:10.31209/2018.100000065

    Abstract Even though computational intelligence techniques have been extensively utilized in financial trading systems, almost all developed models use the time series data for price prediction or identifying buy-sell points. However, in this study we decided to use 2-D stock bar chart images directly without introducing any additional time series associated with the underlying stock. We propose a novel algorithmic trading model CNN-BI (Convolutional Neural Network with Bar Images) using a 2-D Convolutional Neural Network. We generated 2-D images of sliding windows of 30-day bar charts for Dow 30 stocks and trained a deep Convolutional Neural More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Short-term Forecasting of Air Passengers Based on the Hybrid Rough Set and the Double Exponential Smoothing Model

    Haresh Kumar Sharma, Kriti Kumari, Samarjit Kar

    Intelligent Automation & Soft Computing, Vol.25, No.1, pp. 1-14, 2019, DOI:10.31209/2018.100000036

    Abstract This article focuses on the use of the rough set theory in modeling of time series forecasting. In this paper, we have used the double exponential smoothing (DES) model for forecasting. The classical DES model has been improved by using the rough set technique. The improved double exponential smoothing (IDES) method can be used for the time series data without any statistical assumptions. The proposed method is applied on tourism demand of the air transportation passenger data set in Australia and the results are compared with the classical DES model. It has been observed that More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Accurate Multi-Scale Feature Fusion CNN for Time Series Classification in Smart Factory

    Xiaorui Shao1, Chang Soo Kim1, *, Dae Geun Kim2

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.65, No.1, pp. 543-561, 2020, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2020.011108

    Abstract Time series classification (TSC) has attracted various attention in the community of machine learning and data mining and has many successful applications such as fault detection and product identification in the process of building a smart factory. However, it is still challenging for the efficiency and accuracy of classification due to complexity, multi-dimension of time series. This paper presents a new approach for time series classification based on convolutional neural networks (CNN). The proposed method contains three parts: short-time gap feature extraction, multi-scale local feature learning, and global feature learning. In the process of short-time… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    COVID-19 Public Opinion and Emotion Monitoring System Based on Time Series Thermal New Word Mining

    Yixian Zhang1, Jieren Cheng2, *, Yifan Yang2, Haocheng Li2, Xinyi Zheng2, Xi Chen2, Boyi Liu3, Tenglong Ren4, Naixue Xiong5

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.64, No.3, pp. 1415-1434, 2020, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2020.011316

    Abstract With the spread and development of new epidemics, it is of great reference value to identify the changing trends of epidemics in public emotions. We designed and implemented the COVID-19 public opinion monitoring system based on time series thermal new word mining. A new word structure discovery scheme based on the timing explosion of network topics and a Chinese sentiment analysis method for the COVID-19 public opinion environment are proposed. Establish a “Scrapy-Redis-Bloomfilter” distributed crawler framework to collect data. The system can judge the positive and negative emotions of the reviewer based on the comments, More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Machine Learning and Classical Forecasting Methods Based Decision Support Systems for COVID-19

    Ramazan Ünlü1, Ersin Namlı2, *

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.64, No.3, pp. 1383-1399, 2020, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2020.011335

    Abstract From late 2019 to the present day, the coronavirus outbreak tragically affected the whole world and killed tens of thousands of people. Many countries have taken very stringent measures to alleviate the effects of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) and are still being implemented. In this study, various machine learning techniques are implemented to predict possible confirmed cases and mortality numbers for the future. According to these models, we have tried to shed light on the future in terms of possible measures to be taken or updating the current measures. Support Vector Machines (SVM), Holt-Winters, More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Anomaly IoT Node Detection Based on Local Outlier Factor and Time Series

    Fang Wang1, *, Zhe Wei1, Xu Zuo2

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.64, No.2, pp. 1063-1073, 2020, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2020.09774

    Abstract The heterogeneous nodes in the Internet of Things (IoT) are relatively weak in the computing power and storage capacity. Therefore, traditional algorithms of network security are not suitable for the IoT. Once these nodes alternate between normal behavior and anomaly behavior, it is difficult to identify and isolate them by the network system in a short time, thus the data transmission accuracy and the integrity of the network function will be affected negatively. Based on the characteristics of IoT, a lightweight local outlier factor detection method is used for node detection. In order to further More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Functional Causality between Oil Prices and GDP Based on Big Data

    Ibrahim Mufrah Almanjahie1, 2, Zouaoui Chikr Elmezouar1, 2, 3, *, Ali Laksaci1, 2

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.63, No.2, pp. 593-604, 2020, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2020.08901

    Abstract This paper examines the causal relationship between oil prices and the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. The study is carried out by a data set collected quarterly, by Saudi Arabian Monetary Authority, over a period from 1974 to 2016. We seek how a change in real crude oil price affects the GDP of KSA. Based on a new technique, we treat this data in its continuous path. Precisely, we analyze the causality between these two variables, i.e., oil prices and GDP, by using their yearly curves observed in the four More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Forecasting Damage Mechanics By Deep Learning

    Duyen Le Hien Nguyen1, Dieu Thi Thanh Do2, Jaehong Lee2, Timon Rabczuk3, Hung Nguyen-Xuan1,4,*

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.61, No.3, pp. 951-977, 2019, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2019.08001

    Abstract We in this paper exploit time series algorithm based deep learning in forecasting damage mechanics problems. The methodologies that are able to work accurately for less computational and resolving attempts are a significant demand nowadays. Relied on learning an amount of information from given data, the long short-term memory (LSTM) method and multi-layer neural networks (MNN) method are applied to predict solutions. Numerical examples are implemented for predicting fracture growth rates of L-shape concrete specimen under load ratio, single-edge-notched beam forced by 4-point shear and hydraulic fracturing in permeable porous media problems such as storage-toughness More >

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