Ramazan Ünlü¹, Ersin Namlı^{2, *}

CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.64, No.3, pp. 1383-1399, 2020, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2020.011335

Abstract From late 2019 to the present day, the coronavirus outbreak tragically affected the whole world and killed tens of thousands of people. Many countries have taken very stringent measures to alleviate the effects of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) and are still being implemented. In this study, various machine learning techniques are implemented to predict possible confirmed cases and mortality numbers for the future. According to these models, we have tried to shed light on the future in terms of possible measures to be taken or updating the current measures. Support Vector Machines (SVM), Holt-Winters, More >

Muhammad Adnan Khan^{1, *}, Sagheer Abbas², Khalid Masood Khan¹, Mohammad A. Al Ghamdi³, Abdur Rehman²

CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.64, No.3, pp. 1329-1342, 2020, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2020.011155

Abstract An epidemic is a quick and widespread disease that threatens many lives and damages the economy. The epidemic lifetime should be accurate so that timely and remedial steps are determined. These include the closing of borders schools, suspension of community and commuting services. The forecast of an outbreak effectively is a very necessary but difficult task. A predictive model that provides the best possible forecast is a great challenge for machine learning with only a few samples of training available. This work proposes and examines a prediction model based on a deep extreme learning machine… More >

Xing Deng^{1, 2}, Haijian Shao^{1, *}, Chunlong Hu¹, Dengbiao Jiang¹, Yingtao Jiang³

CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.122, No.1, pp. 273-301, 2020, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2020.08768

Abstract Accurate wind power forecasting in wind farm can effectively reduce the enormous impact on grid operation safety when high permeability intermittent power supply is connected to the power grid. Aiming to provide reference strategies for relevant researchers as well as practical applications, this paper attempts to provide the literature investigation and methods analysis of deep learning, enforcement learning and transfer learning in wind speed and wind power forecasting modeling. Usually, wind speed and wind power forecasting around a wind farm requires the calculation of the next moment of the definite state, which is usually achieved… More >

Haresh Kumar Sharma, Kriti Kumari, Samarjit Kar

Intelligent Automation & Soft Computing, Vol.25, No.1, pp. 1-14, 2019, DOI:10.31209/2018.100000036

Abstract This article focuses on the use of the rough set theory in modeling of time series forecasting. In this paper, we have used the double exponential smoothing (DES) model for forecasting. The classical DES model has been improved by using the rough set technique. The improved double exponential smoothing (IDES) method can be used for the time series data without any statistical assumptions. The proposed method is applied on tourism demand of the air transportation passenger data set in Australia and the results are compared with the classical DES model. It has been observed that More >

Duyen Le Hien Nguyen¹, Dieu Thi Thanh Do², Jaehong Lee², Timon Rabczuk³, Hung Nguyen-Xuan^1,4,*

CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.61, No.3, pp. 951-977, 2019, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2019.08001

Abstract We in this paper exploit time series algorithm based deep learning in forecasting damage mechanics problems. The methodologies that are able to work accurately for less computational and resolving attempts are a significant demand nowadays. Relied on learning an amount of information from given data, the long short-term memory (LSTM) method and multi-layer neural networks (MNN) method are applied to predict solutions. Numerical examples are implemented for predicting fracture growth rates of L-shape concrete specimen under load ratio, single-edge-notched beam forced by 4-point shear and hydraulic fracturing in permeable porous media problems such as storage-toughness More >

Shuai Yuan¹, Guizhi Wang^1,*, Jibo Chen¹, Wei Guo²

Journal on Artificial Intelligence, Vol.1, No.2, pp. 69-88, 2019, DOI:10.32604/jai.2019.06535

Abstract This paper develops a joint model utilizing the principal component analysis (PCA) and the back propagation (BP) neural network model optimized by the Levenberg Marquardt (LM) algorithm, and as an application of the joint model to investigate the damages caused by typhoons for a coastal province, Fujian Province, China in 2005-2015 (latest). First, the PCA is applied to analyze comprehensively the relationship between hazard factors, hazard bearing factors and disaster factors. Then five integrated indices, overall disaster level, typhoon intensity, damaged condition of houses, medical rescue and self-rescue capability, are extracted through the PCA; Finally,… More >

Selma B. Jaconis^1,*, Augusto T. Morita², Paulo L. A. Coutinho³, Suzana Borschiver¹

Journal of Renewable Materials, Vol.7, No.11, pp. 1221-1230, 2019, DOI:10.32604/jrm.2019.00025

Abstract In recent years environmental and sustainability concerns have impacted the global chemical industry and instituted a rush to produce products from renewable raw materials. This dynamic, complex and turbulent organizational scenario, around themes touching on the issue of sustainable development model, was created involving a large number of different actors: chemical/petrochemical industries, agroindustry companies, oil/gas companies, brand owners and end users, biotechnology startups, governments, universities and society. This paper proposed the application of a structured and dynamic method of technological prediction for biopolymers in three levels: systematic monitoring process, relational database and the “alive” Technology More >

Qiang Liu^1,*, Yanyun Zou^2,3, Xiaodong Liu⁴

CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.119, No.3, pp. 617-637, 2019, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2019.06272

Abstract Haze-fog, which is an atmospheric aerosol caused by natural or man-made factors, seriously affects the physical and mental health of human beings. PM_2.5 (a particulate matter whose diameter is smaller than or equal to 2.5 microns) is the chief culprit causing aerosol. To forecast the condition of PM_2.5, this paper adopts the related the meteorological data and air pollutes data to predict the concentration of PM_2.5. Since the meteorological data and air pollutes data are typical time series data, it is reasonable to adopt a machine learning method called Single Hidden-Layer Long Short-Term Memory Neural Network (SSHL-LSTMNN)… More >

Yan Zou^1,2,3,*, Shaoliang Zhang¹, Yanhai Min¹

CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.119, No.2, pp. 295-310, 2019, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2019.03873

Abstract The high precision population forecasting and spatial distribution modeling are very important for the theory and application of population sociology, city planning and Geo-Informatics. However, the two problems need to be solved for providing the high precision population information. One is how to improve the population forecasting precision of small area (e.g., street scale); another is how to improve the spatial resolution of urban population distribution model. To solve the two problems, some new methods are proposed in this contribution. (1) To improve the precision of small area population forecasting, a new method is developed… More >

Xiangyan Tang^1,2, Liang Wang³, Jieren Cheng^1,2,4,*, Jing Chen², Victor S. Sheng⁵

CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.58, No.2, pp. 463-491, 2019, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2019.03816

Abstract The accuracy of predicting the Producer Price Index (PPI) plays an indispensable role in government economic work. However, it is difficult to forecast the PPI. In our research, we first propose an unprecedented hybrid model based on fuzzy information granulation that integrates the GA-SVR and ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Model) models. The fuzzy-information-granulation-based GA-SVR-ARIMA hybrid model is intended to deal with the problem of imprecision in PPI estimation. The proposed model adopts the fuzzy information-granulation algorithm to pre-classification-process monthly training samples of the PPI, and produced three different sequences of fuzzy information granules, whose… More >