Guang Sun¹, Jingjing Lin^1,*, Chen Yang¹, Xiangyang Yin¹, Ziyu Li¹, Peng Guo^1,2, Junqi Sun³, Xiaoping Fan¹, Bin Pan¹

Computer Systems Science and Engineering, Vol.36, No.3, pp. 509-520, 2021, DOI:10.32604/csse.2021.014189 - 18 January 2021

Abstract Forecasting stock prices using deep learning models suffers from problems such as low accuracy, slow convergence, and complex network structures. This study developed an echo state network (ESN) model to mitigate such problems. We compared our ESN with a long short-term memory (LSTM) network by forecasting the stock data of Kweichow Moutai, a leading enterprise in China’s liquor industry. By analyzing data for 120, 240, and 300 days, we generated forecast data for the next 40, 80, and 100 days, respectively, using both ESN and LSTM. In terms of accuracy, ESN had the unique advantage… More >

Ayesha Jabeen¹, Sitara Afzal¹, Muazzam Maqsood¹, Irfan Mehmood², Sadaf Yasmin¹, Muhammad Tabish Niaz³, Yunyoung Nam^4,*

CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.67, No.1, pp. 1191-1206, 2021, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2021.014598 - 12 January 2021

Abstract Stock market forecasting is an important research area, especially for better business decision making. Efficient stock predictions continue to be significant for business intelligence. Traditional short-term stock market forecasting is usually based on historical market data analysis such as stock prices, moving averages, or daily returns. However, major events’ news also contains significant information regarding market drivers. An effective stock market forecasting system helps investors and analysts to use supportive information regarding the future direction of the stock market. This research proposes an efficient model for stock market prediction. The current proposed study explores the More >

Quanjia Zuo¹, Fanyi Meng^1,*, Yang Bai²

Energy Engineering, Vol.118, No.2, pp. 303-322, 2021, DOI:10.32604/EE.2021.013239 - 23 December 2020

Abstract As one of the most important commodity futures, the price forecasting of natural gas futures is of great significance for hedging and risk aversion. This paper mainly focuses on natural gas futures pricing which considers seasonality fluctuations. In order to study this issue, we propose a modified approach called six-factor model, in which the influence of seasonal fluctuations are eliminated in every random factor. Using Monte Carlo method, we first assess and comparative analyze the fitting ability of three-factor model and six-factor model for the out of sample data. It is found that six-factor model More >

Raisa Nazir Ahmed Kazi^1,*, Manjur Kolhar², Faiza Rizwan²

CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.66, No.2, pp. 1237-1250, 2021, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2020.012707 - 26 November 2020

Abstract The widespread use of smartwatches has increased their specific and complementary activities in the health sector for patient’s prognosis. In this study, we propose a framework referred to as smart forecasting CardioWatch (SCW) to measure the heart-rate variation (HRV) for patients with myocardial infarction (MI) who live alone or are outside their homes. In this study, HRV is used as a vital alarming sign for patients with MI. The performance of the proposed framework is measured using machine learning and deep learning techniques, namely, support vector machine, logistic regression, and decision-tree classification techniques. The results More >

Sunil Kumar Sharma¹, Shivam Bhardwaj^2,*, Rashmi Bhardwaj³, Majed Alowaidi¹

CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.66, No.1, pp. 805-825, 2021, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2020.011937 - 30 October 2020

Abstract This article discusses short–term forecasting of the novel Corona Virus (COVID-19) data for infected and recovered cases using the ARIMA method for Saudi Arabia. The COVID-19 data was obtained from the Worldometer and MOH (Ministry of Health, Saudi Arabia). The data was analyzed for the period from March 2, 2020 (the first case reported) to June 15, 2020. Using ARIMA (2, 1, 0), we obtained the short forecast up to July 02, 2020. Several statistical parameters were tested for the goodness of fit to evaluate the forecasting methods. The results show that ARIMA (2, 1, More >

Muhammad Adnan Khan^1,*, Wajhe Ul Husnain Abidi^1,2, Mohammed A. Al Ghamdi³, Sultan H. Almotiri³, Shazia Saqib¹, Tahir Alyas¹, Khalid Masood Khan¹, Nasir Mahmood⁴

CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.66, No.1, pp. 331-340, 2021, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2020.012148 - 30 October 2020

Abstract Forecasting future outbreaks can help in minimizing their spread. Influenza is a disease primarily found in animals but transferred to humans through pigs. In 1918, influenza became a pandemic and spread rapidly all over the world becoming the cause behind killing one-third of the human population and killing one-fourth of the pig population. Afterwards, that influenza became a pandemic several times on a local and global levels. In 2009, influenza ‘A’ subtype H1N1 again took many human lives. The disease spread like in a pandemic quickly. This paper proposes a forecasting modeling system for the… More >

Min Zhu^1,2,3,#, Huiyu Jin^1,#, Ruxue Chen¹, Quanyi Huang^2,3, Shaobo Zhong⁴, Guang Tian^1,*

Intelligent Automation & Soft Computing, Vol.26, No.5, pp. 1097-1109, 2020, DOI:10.32604/iasc.2020.010140

Abstract In a disaster, mass casualties lead to a surge in demand for medical services. Some relief actions have been criticized for being ill-adapted to dominating medical needs. This research established a disaster medical relief planning model in 3 steps. 1. Establishing the two-level conceptual model. 2. Using the ontology method to describe the hierarchy and relating rules of the terms and concepts associated with the model. 3. Using an ontology-support casebased reasoning approach to build the case similarity matching process, which can provide a more efficient system for decision support. A case study validated the More >

Weiwen Kong¹, Baowei Wang^1,2,3,*

CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.125, No.2, pp. 849-863, 2020, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2020.012818 - 12 October 2020

Abstract Internet of Things (IoT) is a network that connects things in a special union. It embeds a physical entity through an intelligent perception system to obtain information about the component at any time. It connects various objects. IoT has the ability of information transmission, information perception,andinformationprocessing.Theairqualityforecastinghasalways been an urgent problem, which affects people’s quality of life seriously. So far, many air quality prediction algorithms have been proposed, which can be mainly classifed into two categories. One is regression-based prediction, the other is deep learning-based prediction. Regression-based prediction is aimed to make use of the classical… More >

Xianghui Lu¹, Junliang Fan², Lifeng Wu^1,*, Jianhua Dong³

CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.125, No.2, pp. 699-723, 2020, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2020.011004 - 12 October 2020

Abstract It is important for regional water resources management to know the agricultural water consumption information several months in advance. Forecasting reference evapotranspiration (ET₀) in the next few months is important for irrigation and reservoir management. Studies on forecasting of multiple-month ahead ET₀ using machine learning models have not been reported yet. Besides, machine learning models such as the XGBoost model has multiple parameters that need to be tuned, and traditional methods can get stuck in a regional optimal solution and fail to obtain a global optimal solution. This study investigated the performance of the hybrid extreme… More >

Rui Li¹, Guang Sun^1,*, Jingyi He¹, Ying Jiang¹, Rui Sun¹, Haixia Li¹, Peng Guo^1,2, Jianjun Zhang³

Journal on Internet of Things, Vol.2, No.2, pp. 65-73, 2020, DOI:10.32604/jiot.2020.09868 - 14 September 2020

Abstract User portrait has been a booming concept in big data industry in recent years which is a direct way to restore users’ information. When it talks about user portrait, it will be connected with precise marketing and operating. However, there are more ways which can reflect the good use of user portrait. Commercial use is the most acceptable use but it also can be used in different industries widely. The goal of this paper is forecasting gender by user portrait and making it useful in transportation safety. It can extract the information from people who More >