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  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Forecasting Model Based on Information-Granulated GA-SVR and ARIMA for Producer Price Index

    Xiangyan Tang1,2, Liang Wang3, Jieren Cheng1,2,4,*, Jing Chen2, Victor S. Sheng5

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.58, No.2, pp. 463-491, 2019, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2019.03816

    Abstract The accuracy of predicting the Producer Price Index (PPI) plays an indispensable role in government economic work. However, it is difficult to forecast the PPI. In our research, we first propose an unprecedented hybrid model based on fuzzy information granulation that integrates the GA-SVR and ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Model) models. The fuzzy-information-granulation-based GA-SVR-ARIMA hybrid model is intended to deal with the problem of imprecision in PPI estimation. The proposed model adopts the fuzzy information-granulation algorithm to pre-classification-process monthly training samples of the PPI, and produced three different sequences of fuzzy information granules, whose… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Modeling of a Fuzzy Expert System for Choosing an Appropriate Supply Chain Collaboration Strategy

    Kazim Sari

    Intelligent Automation & Soft Computing, Vol.24, No.2, pp. 405-412, 2018, DOI:10.1080/10798587.2017.1352258

    Abstract Nowadays, there has been a great interest for business enterprises to work together or collaborate in the supply chain. It is thus possible for them to gain a competitive advantage in the marketplace. However, determining the right collaboration strategy is not an easy task. Namely, there are several factors that need to be considered at the same time. In this regard, an expert system based on fuzzy rules is proposed to choose an appropriate collaboration strategy for a given supply chain. To this end, firstly, the factors that are significant for supply chain collaboration are More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    AdaBoosting Neural Network for Short-Term Wind Speed Forecasting Based on Seasonal Characteristics Analysis and Lag Space Estimation

    Haijian Shao1, 2, Xing Deng1, 2, *

    CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.114, No.3, pp. 277-293, 2018, DOI:10.3970/cmes.2018.114.277

    Abstract High accurary in wind speed forcasting remains hard to achieve due to wind’s random distribution nature and its seasonal characteristics. Randomness, intermittent and nonstationary usually cause the portion problem of the wind speed forecasting. Seasonal characteristics of wind speed means that its feature distribution is inconsistent. This typically results that the persistence of excitation for modeling can not be guaranteed, and may severely reduce the possibilities of high precise forecasting model. In this paper, we proposed two effective solutions to solve the problems caused by the randomness and seasonal characteristics of the wind speed. (1)… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Research on Hybrid Model of Garlic Short-term Price Forecasting based on Big Data

    Baojia Wang1, Pingzeng Liu1,*, Zhang Chao1, Wang Junmei1, Weijie Chen1, Ning Cao2, Gregory M.P. O’Hare3, Fujiang Wen1

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.57, No.2, pp. 283-296, 2018, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2018.03791

    Abstract Garlic prices fluctuate dramatically in recent years and it is very difficult to predict garlic prices. The autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model is currently the most important method for predicting garlic prices. However, the ARIMA model can only predict the linear part of the garlic prices, and cannot predict its nonlinear part. Therefore, it is urgent to adopt a method to analyze the nonlinear characteristics of garlic prices. After comparing the advantages and disadvantages of several major prediction models which used to forecast nonlinear time series, using support vector machine (SVM) model to predict… More >

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