Qunhui Zhang¹, Mengzhe Lu^3,4, Liang Dai^2,*

Computer Systems Science and Engineering, Vol.41, No.2, pp. 795-809, 2022, DOI:10.32604/csse.2022.019987 - 25 October 2021

Abstract Stock market trading is an activity in which investors need fast and accurate information to make effective decisions. But the fact is that forecasting stock prices by using various models has been suffering from low accuracy, slow convergence, and complex parameters. This study aims to employ a mixed model to improve the accuracy of stock price prediction. We present how to use a random walk based on jump-diffusion, to obtain stock predictions with a good-fitting degree by adjusting different parameters. Aimed at getting better parameters and then using the time series model to predict the… More >

Shobhit Verma¹ , Nonita Sharma¹ , Aman Singh² , Abdullah Alharbi³ , Wael Alosaimi³ , Hashem Alyami⁴, Deepali Gupta⁵, Nitin Goyal^{5 ,*}

CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.70, No.3, pp. 6041-6055, 2022, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2022.021747 - 11 October 2021

Abstract This research work proposes a new stack-based generalization ensemble model to forecast the number of incidences of conjunctivitis disease. In addition to forecasting the occurrences of conjunctivitis incidences, the proposed model also improves performance by using the ensemble model. Weekly rate of acute Conjunctivitis per 1000 for Hong Kong is collected for the duration of the first week of January 2010 to the last week of December 2019. Pre-processing techniques such as imputation of missing values and logarithmic transformation are applied to pre-process the data sets. A stacked generalization ensemble model based on Auto-ARIMA (Autoregressive… More >

Ansari Saleh Ahmar^1,2,*, Eva Boj del Val³, M. A. El Safty⁴, Samirah AlZahrani⁴, Hamed El-Khawaga^5,6

CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.70, No.3, pp. 6007-6022, 2022, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2022.021382 - 11 October 2021

Abstract This study focuses on the novel forecasting method (SutteARIMA) and its application in predicting Infant Mortality Rate data in Indonesia. It undertakes a comparison of the most popular and widely used four forecasting methods: ARIMA, Neural Networks Time Series (NNAR), Holt-Winters, and SutteARIMA. The data used were obtained from the website of the World Bank. The data consisted of the annual infant mortality rate (per 1000 live births) from 1991 to 2019. To determine a suitable and best method for predicting Infant Mortality rate, the forecasting results of these four methods were compared based on More >

Abdullah Ali Salamai^1,*, Ather Abdulrahman Ageeli¹, El-Sayed M. El-kenawy²

CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.70, No.3, pp. 5091-5106, 2022, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2022.021268 - 11 October 2021

Abstract E-commerce refers to a system that allows individuals to purchase and sell things online. The primary goal of e-commerce is to offer customers the convenience of not going to a physical store to make a purchase. They will purchase the item online and have it delivered to their home within a few days. The goal of this research was to develop machine learning algorithms that might predict e-commerce platform sales. A case study has been designed in this paper based on a proposed continuous Stochastic Fractal Search (SFS) based on a Guided Whale Optimization Algorithm… More >

Xiaorui Shao, Chang Soo Kim^*

CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.70, No.3, pp. 5143-5160, 2022, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2022.020689 - 11 October 2021

Abstract

Accurate multi-step PM_2.5 (particulate matter with diameters ≤2.5um) concentration prediction is critical for humankinds’ health and air population management because it could provide strong evidence for decision-making. However, it is very challenging due to its randomness and variability. This paper proposed a novel method based on convolutional neural network (CNN) and long-short-term memory (LSTM) with a space-shared mechanism, named space-shared CNN-LSTM (SCNN-LSTM) for multi-site daily-ahead multi-step PM_2.5 forecasting with self-historical series. The proposed SCNN-LSTM contains multi-channel inputs, each channel corresponding to one-site historical PM_2.5 concentration series. In which, CNN and LSTM are used to

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Mohd Anul Haq^1,*, Abdul Khadar Jilani¹, P. Prabu²

CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.70, No.3, pp. 4599-4617, 2022, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2022.020495 - 11 October 2021

Abstract The understanding of water resource changes and a proper projection of their future availability are necessary elements of sustainable water planning. Monitoring GWS change and future water resource availability are crucial, especially under changing climatic conditions. Traditional methods for in situ groundwater well measurement are a significant challenge due to data unavailability. The present investigation utilized the Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) networks to monitor and forecast Terrestrial Water Storage Change (TWSC) and Ground Water Storage Change (GWSC) based on Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) datasets from 2003–2025 for five basins of Saudi Arabia. An… More >

Mohammad Hadwan^1,2,3,*, Basheer M. Al-Maqaleh⁴ , Fuad N. Al-Badani⁵ , Rehan Ullah Khan^1,3, Mohammed A. Al-Hagery⁶

CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.70, No.3, pp. 4829-4845, 2022, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2022.017824 - 11 October 2021

Abstract

Time series forecasting plays a significant role in numerous applications, including but not limited to, industrial planning, water consumption, medical domains, exchange rates and consumer price index. The main problem is insufficient forecasting accuracy. The present study proposes a hybrid forecasting methods to address this need. The proposed method includes three models. The first model is based on the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) statistical model; the second model is a back propagation neural network (BPNN) with adaptive slope and momentum parameters; and the third model is a hybridization between ARIMA and BPNN (ARIMA/BPNN) and artificial

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Shidrokh Goudarzi^1,2,*, Seyed Ahmad Soleymani^2,3, Mohammad Hossein Anisi⁴, Domenico Ciuonzo⁵, Nazri Kama⁶, Salwani Abdullah¹, Mohammad Abdollahi Azgomi², Zenon Chaczko⁷, Azri Azmi⁶

CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.70, No.1, pp. 715-738, 2022, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2022.019550 - 07 September 2021

Abstract The Wireless Sensor Network (WSN) is a promising technology that could be used to monitor rivers’ water levels for early warning flood detection in the 5G context. However, during a flood, sensor nodes may be washed up or become faulty, which seriously affects network connectivity. To address this issue, Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) could be integrated with WSN as routers or data mules to provide reliable data collection and flood prediction. In light of this, we propose a fault-tolerant multi-level framework comprised of a WSN and a UAV to monitor river levels. The framework is… More >

Lijo Jacob Varghese¹, K. Dhayalini², Suma Sira Jacob³, Ihsan Ali^4,*, Abdelzahir Abdelmaboud⁵, Taiseer Abdalla Elfadil Eisa⁶

CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.70, No.1, pp. 1053-1067, 2022, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2022.019435 - 07 September 2021

Abstract Peer-to-Peer (P2P) electricity trading is a significant research area that offers maximum fulfilment for both prosumer and consumer. It also decreases the quantity of line loss incurred in Smart Grid (SG). But, uncertainities in demand and supply of the electricity might lead to instability in P2P market for both prosumer and consumer. In recent times, numerous Machine Learning (ML)-enabled load predictive techniques have been developed, while most of the existing studies did not consider its implicit features, optimal parameter selection, and prediction stability. In order to overcome fulfill this research gap, the current research paper… More >

Hyun Ahn¹, Kyunghee Sun², Kwanghoon Pio Kim^3,*

CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.70, No.1, pp. 767-779, 2022, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2022.019369 - 07 September 2021

Abstract Time series forecasting has become an important aspect of data analysis and has many real-world applications. However, undesirable missing values are often encountered, which may adversely affect many forecasting tasks. In this study, we evaluate and compare the effects of imputation methods for estimating missing values in a time series. Our approach does not include a simulation to generate pseudo-missing data, but instead perform imputation on actual missing data and measure the performance of the forecasting model created therefrom. In an experiment, therefore, several time series forecasting models are trained using different training datasets prepared More >