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  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    SEIHCRD Model for COVID-19 Spread Scenarios, Disease Predictions and Estimates the Basic Reproduction Number, Case Fatality Rate, Hospital, and ICU Beds Requirement

    Avaneesh Singh*, Manish Kumar Bajpai

    CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.125, No.3, pp. 991-1031, 2020, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2020.012503

    Abstract We have proposed a new mathematical method, the SEIHCRD model, which has an excellent potential to predict the incidence of COVID-19 diseases. Our proposed SEIHCRD model is an extension of the SEIR model. Three-compartments have added death, hospitalized, and critical, which improves the basic understanding of disease spread and results. We have studied COVID-19 cases of six countries, where the impact of this disease in the highest are Brazil, India, Italy, Spain, the United Kingdom, and the United States. After estimating model parameters based on available clinical data, the model will propagate and forecast dynamic evolution. The model calculates the… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Study of Non-Pharmacological Interventions on COVID-19 Spread

    Avaneesh Singh*, Saroj Kumar Chandra, Manish Kumar Bajpai

    CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.125, No.3, pp. 967-990, 2020, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2020.011601

    Abstract COVID-19 disease has emerged as one of the life threatening threat to the society. A novel beta coronavirus causes it. It began as unidentified pneumonia of unknown etiology in Wuhan City, Hubei province in China emerged in December 2019. No vaccine has been produced till now. Mathematical models are used to study the impact of different measures used to decrease pandemic. Mathematical models have been designed to estimate the numbers of spreaders in different scenarios in the present manuscript. In the present manuscript, three different mathematical models have been proposed with different scenarios, such as screening, quarantine, and NPIs, to… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    IoT Technologies for Tackling COVID-19 in Malaysia and Worldwide: Challenges, Recommendations, and Proposed Framework

    Ali Saadon Al-Ogaili1,*, Ameer Alhasan2, Agileswari Ramasamy1, Marayati Binti Marsadek1, Tengku Juhana Tengku Hashim1, Ammar Al-Sharaa3, Mastura Binti Aadam3, Lukman Audah2

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.66, No.2, pp. 2141-2164, 2021, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2020.013440

    Abstract The Coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic is considered as a global public health challenge. To contain this pandemic, different measures are being taken globally. The Internet of Things (IoT) has been represented as one of the most important schemes that has been considered to fight the spread of COVID-19 in the world, practically Malaysia. In fact, there are many sectors in Malaysia would be transformed into smart services by using IoT technologies, particularly energy, transportation, healthcare sectors. This manuscript presents a comprehensive review of the IoT technologies that are being used currently in Malaysia to accelerate the measures against COVID-19. These IoT… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    An Effective Numerical Method for the Solution of a Stochastic Coronavirus (2019-nCovid) Pandemic Model

    Wasfi Shatanawi1,2,3, Ali Raza4,5,*, Muhammad Shoaib Arif4, Kamaledin Abodayeh1, Muhammad Rafiq6, Mairaj Bibi7

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.66, No.2, pp. 1121-1137, 2021, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2020.012070

    Abstract Nonlinear stochastic modeling plays a significant role in disciplines such as psychology, finance, physical sciences, engineering, econometrics, and biological sciences. Dynamical consistency, positivity, and boundedness are fundamental properties of stochastic modeling. A stochastic coronavirus model is studied with techniques of transition probabilities and parametric perturbation. Well-known explicit methods such as Euler Maruyama, stochastic Euler, and stochastic Runge–Kutta are investigated for the stochastic model. Regrettably, the above essential properties are not restored by existing methods. Hence, there is a need to construct essential properties preserving the computational method. The non-standard approach of finite difference is examined to maintain the above basic… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Qualitative Analysis of a Fractional Pandemic Spread Model of the Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19)

    Ali Yousef1,*, Fatma Bozkurt1,2, Thabet Abdeljawad3,4,5

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.66, No.1, pp. 843-869, 2021, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2020.012060

    Abstract In this study, we classify the genera of COVID-19 and provide brief information about the root of the spread and the transmission from animal (natural host) to humans. We establish a model of fractional-order differential equations to discuss the spread of the infection from the natural host to the intermediate one, and from the intermediate one to the human host. At the same time, we focus on the potential spillover of bat-borne coronaviruses. We consider the local stability of the co-existing critical point of the model by using the Routh–Hurwitz Criteria. Moreover, we analyze the existence and uniqueness of the… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Prediction of COVID-19 Confirmed Cases Using Gradient Boosting Regression Method

    Abdu Gumaei1,2,*, Mabrook Al-Rakhami1, Mohamad Mahmoud Al Rahhal3, Fahad Raddah H. Albogamy3, Eslam Al Maghayreh3, Hussain AlSalman1

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.66, No.1, pp. 315-329, 2021, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2020.012045

    Abstract The fast spread of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) caused by SARSCoV-2 has become a pandemic and a serious threat to the world. As of May 30, 2020, this disease had infected more than 6 million people globally, with hundreds of thousands of deaths. Therefore, there is an urgent need to predict confirmed cases so as to analyze the impact of COVID-19 and practice readiness in healthcare systems. This study uses gradient boosting regression (GBR) to build a trained model to predict the daily total confirmed cases of COVID-19. The GBR method can minimize the loss function of the training process and… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Validating the Correct Wearing of Protection Mask by Taking a Selfie: Design of a Mobile Application “CheckYourMask” to Limit the Spread of COVID-19

    Karim Hammoudi1,2,*, Adnane Cabani3, Halim Benhabiles4, Mahmoud Melkemi1,2

    CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.124, No.3, pp. 1049-1059, 2020, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2020.011663

    Abstract In a context of a virus that is transmissive by sputtering, wearing masks appear necessary to protect the wearer and to limit the propagation of the disease. Currently, we are facing the 2019–2020 coronavirus pandemic. Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is an infectious disease with first symptoms similar to the flu. The symptom of COVID-19 was reported first in China and very quickly spreads to the rest of the world. The COVID-19 contagiousness is known to be high by comparison with the flu. In this paper, we propose a design of a mobile application for permitting everyone having a smartphone and… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Case Study: Spark GPU-Enabled Framework to Control COVID-19 Spread Using Cell-Phone Spatio-Temporal Data

    Hussein Shahata Abdallah1, *, Mohamed H. Khafagy1, Fatma A. Omara2

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.65, No.2, pp. 1303-1320, 2020, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2020.011313

    Abstract Nowadays, the world is fighting a dangerous form of Coronavirus that represents an emerging pandemic. Since its early appearance in China Wuhan city, many countries undertook several strict regulations including lockdowns and social distancing measures. Unfortunately, these procedures have badly impacted the world economy. Detecting and isolating positive/probable virus infected cases using a tree tracking mechanism constitutes a backbone for containing and resisting such fast spreading disease. For helping this hard effort, this research presents an innovative case study based on big data processing techniques to build a complete tracking system able to identify the central areas of infected/suspected people,… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Establishment of Online Platform for Psychological Assistance during a Public Health Emergency

    Chunxiao Zhao1, Congrong Shi1, Lin Zhang1, Zhixin Zhai2, Zhihong Ren1,*, Xiubin Lin1, Guangrong Jiang1

    International Journal of Mental Health Promotion, Vol.22, No.3, pp. 123-132, 2020, DOI:10.32604/IJMHP.2020.011077

    Abstract The Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) is raging worldwide, seriously threatening the public’s mental health. Online platform for psychological assistance integrated various sources to promote the public’s mental health. This article, using the Mental Health Service Platform at Central China Normal University, Ministry of Education (MOE-CCNU-MHSP) as an example, aims to describe the experience of building an online platform for psychological assistance in a public health emergency and discuss the further development of the online mental health service platform so as to provide suggestions to enhance online psychological service delivery. More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Dynamical Behavior and Sensitivity Analysis of a Delayed Coronavirus Epidemic Model

    Muhammad Naveed1, *, Dumitru Baleanu2, 3, 4, Muhammad Rafiq5, Ali Raza6, Atif Hassan Soori1, Nauman Ahmed7

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.65, No.1, pp. 225-241, 2020, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2020.011534

    Abstract Mathematical delay modelling has a significant role in the different disciplines such as behavioural, social, physical, biological engineering, and bio-mathematical sciences. The present work describes mathematical formulation for the transmission mechanism of a novel coronavirus (COVID-19). Due to the unavailability of vaccines for the coronavirus worldwide, delay factors such as social distance, quarantine, travel restrictions, extended holidays, hospitalization, and isolation have contributed to controlling the coronavirus epidemic. We have analysed the reproduction number and its sensitivity to parameters. If, More >

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