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  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    A Hybrid SIR-Fuzzy Model for Epidemic Dynamics: A Numerical Study

    Muhammad Shoaib Arif1,2,*, Kamaleldin Abodayeh1, Yasir Nawaz2

    CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.139, No.3, pp. 3417-3434, 2024, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2024.046944

    Abstract This study focuses on the urgent requirement for improved accuracy in disease modeling by introducing a new computational framework called the Hybrid SIR-Fuzzy Model. By integrating the traditional Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered (SIR) model with fuzzy logic, our method effectively addresses the complex nature of epidemic dynamics by accurately accounting for uncertainties and imprecisions in both data and model parameters. The main aim of this research is to provide a model for disease transmission using fuzzy theory, which can successfully address uncertainty in mathematical modeling. Our main emphasis is on the imprecise transmission rate parameter, utilizing a three-part description of its membership level.… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Novel Investigation of Stochastic Fractional Differential Equations Measles Model via the White Noise and Global Derivative Operator Depending on Mittag-Leffler Kernel

    Saima Rashid1,2,*, Fahd Jarad3,4

    CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.139, No.3, pp. 2289-2327, 2024, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2023.028773

    Abstract Because of the features involved with their varied kernels, differential operators relying on convolution formulations have been acknowledged as effective mathematical resources for modeling real-world issues. In this paper, we constructed a stochastic fractional framework of measles spreading mechanisms with dual medication immunization considering the exponential decay and Mittag-Leffler kernels. In this approach, the overall population was separated into five cohorts. Furthermore, the descriptive behavior of the system was investigated, including prerequisites for the positivity of solutions, invariant domain of the solution, presence and stability of equilibrium points, and sensitivity analysis. We included a stochastic element in every cohort and… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Parental Educational Expectations, Academic Pressure, and Adolescent Mental Health: An Empirical Study Based on CEPS Survey Data

    Tao Xu1,*, Fangqiang Zuo1, Kai Zheng2,*

    International Journal of Mental Health Promotion, Vol.26, No.2, pp. 93-103, 2024, DOI:10.32604/ijmhp.2023.043226

    Abstract Background: This study aimed to investigate the relationship between parental educational expectations and adolescent mental health problems, with academic pressure as a moderating variable. Methods: This study was based on the baseline data of the China Education Panel Survey, which was collected within one school year during 2013–2014. It included 19,958 samples from seventh and ninth graders, who ranged from 11 to 18 years old. After removing missing values and conducting relevant data processing, the effective sample size for analysis was 16344. The OLS (Ordinary Least Squares) multiple linear regression analysis was used to examine the relationship between parental educational… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Sleep Quality and Emotional Adaptation among Freshmen in Elite Chinese Universities during Prolonged COVID-19 Lockdown: The Mediating Role of Anxiety Symptoms

    Xinqiao Liu*, Linxin Zhang, Xinran Zhang

    International Journal of Mental Health Promotion, Vol.26, No.2, pp. 105-116, 2024, DOI:10.32604/ijmhp.2023.042359

    Abstract Under the effects of COVID-19 and a number of ongoing lockdown tactics, anxiety symptoms and poor sleep quality have become common mental health issues among college freshmen and are intimately related to their emotional adaptation. To explore this connection, this study gathered data from a sample of 256 freshmen enrolled in an elite university in China in September 2022. The association between sleep quality, anxiety symptoms, and emotional adaptation was clarified using correlation analysis. Additionally, the mediating function of anxiety symptoms between sleep quality and emotional adaptation was investigated using a structural equation model. The results reveal that: (1) Chinese… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Towards Lessening Learners’ Aversive Emotions and Promoting Their Mental Health: Developing and Validating a Measurement of English Speaking Demotivation in the Chinese EFL Context

    Chili Li1, Xinxin Zhao2, Ziwen Pan3, Ting Yi4, Long Qian5,6,*

    International Journal of Mental Health Promotion, Vol.26, No.2, pp. 161-175, 2024, DOI:10.32604/ijmhp.2023.029896

    Abstract While a plethora of studies has been conducted to explore demotivation and its impact on mental health in second language (L2) education, scanty research focuses on demotivation in L2 speaking learning. Particularly, little research explores the measures to quantify L2 speaking demotivation. The present two-phase study attempts to develop and validate an English Speaking Demotivation Scale (ESDS). To this end, an independent sample of 207 Chinese tertiary learners of English as a Foreign Language (EFL) participated in the development phase, and another group of 188 Chinese EFL learners was recruited for the validation of the scale. Exploratory Factor Analysis (EFA)… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Multi-Time Scale Operation and Simulation Strategy of the Park Based on Model Predictive Control

    Jun Zhao*, Chaoying Yang, Ran Li, Jinge Song

    Energy Engineering, Vol.121, No.3, pp. 747-767, 2024, DOI:10.32604/ee.2023.042806

    Abstract Due to the impact of source-load prediction power errors and uncertainties, the actual operation of the park will have a wide range of fluctuations compared with the expected state, resulting in its inability to achieve the expected economy. This paper constructs an operating simulation model of the park power grid operation considering demand response and proposes a multi-time scale operating simulation method that combines day-ahead optimization and model predictive control (MPC). In the day-ahead stage, an operating simulation plan that comprehensively considers the user’s side comfort and operating costs is proposed with a long-term time scale of 15 min. In… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Peak Shaving Strategy of Concentrating Solar Power Generation Based on Multi-Time-Scale and Considering Demand Response

    Lei Fang*, Haiying Dong, Xiaofei Zhen, Shuaibing Li

    Energy Engineering, Vol.121, No.3, pp. 661-679, 2024, DOI:10.32604/ee.2023.029823

    Abstract According to the multi-time-scale characteristics of power generation and demand-side response (DR) resources, as well as the improvement of prediction accuracy along with the approaching operating point, a rolling peak shaving optimization model consisting of three different time scales has been proposed. The proposed peak shaving optimization model considers not only the generation resources of two different response speeds but also the two different DR resources and determines each unit combination, generation power, and demand response strategy on different time scales so as to participate in the peaking of the power system by taking full advantage of the fast response… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Do Public Health Events Promote the Prevalence of Adjustment Disorder in College Students? An Example from the COVID-19 Pandemic

    Rong Fu*, Luze Xie

    International Journal of Mental Health Promotion, Vol.26, No.1, pp. 21-30, 2024, DOI:10.32604/ijmhp.2023.041730

    Abstract COVID-19, as one of the most serious sudden public health problems in this century, is a serious threat to people’s mental health. College students, as a vulnerable group, are more likely to develop mental health problems. When the body is unable to adapt to new changes in the environment, the main mental health problem that arises is adjustment disorder. The aim of this study was to assess the prevalence and influencing factors of adjustment disorder among college students during the COVID-19 outbreak in China. Cross-sectional data collected by web-based questionnaires were obtained through convenience sampling and snowball sampling between March… More >

  • Open Access

    REVIEW

    Social Media-Based Surveillance Systems for Health Informatics Using Machine and Deep Learning Techniques: A Comprehensive Review and Open Challenges

    Samina Amin1, Muhammad Ali Zeb1, Hani Alshahrani2,*, Mohammed Hamdi2, Mohammad Alsulami2, Asadullah Shaikh3

    CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.139, No.2, pp. 1167-1202, 2024, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2023.043921

    Abstract Social media (SM) based surveillance systems, combined with machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) techniques, have shown potential for early detection of epidemic outbreaks. This review discusses the current state of SM-based surveillance methods for early epidemic outbreaks and the role of ML and DL in enhancing their performance. Since, every year, a large amount of data related to epidemic outbreaks, particularly Twitter data is generated by SM. This paper outlines the theme of SM analysis for tracking health-related issues and detecting epidemic outbreaks in SM, along with the ML and DL techniques that have been configured for the… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Flexible Load Participation in Peaking Shaving and Valley Filling Based on Dynamic Price Incentives

    Lifeng Wang1, Jing Yu2,*, Wenlu Ji1

    Energy Engineering, Vol.121, No.2, pp. 523-540, 2024, DOI:10.32604/ee.2023.041881

    Abstract Considering the widening of the peak-valley difference in the power grid and the difficulty of the existing fixed time-of-use electricity price mechanism in meeting the energy demand of heterogeneous users at various moments or motivating users, the design of a reasonable dynamic pricing mechanism to actively engage users in demand response becomes imperative for power grid companies. For this purpose, a power grid-flexible load bilevel model is constructed based on dynamic pricing, where the leader is the dispatching center and the lower-level flexible load acts as the follower. Initially, an upper-level day-ahead dispatching model for the power grid is established,… More >

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