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  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Comparison of Objective Forecasting Method Fit with Electrical Consumption Characteristics in Timor-Leste

    Ricardo Dominico Da Silva1,2, Jangkung Raharjo1,3,*, Sudarmono Sasmono1,3

    Energy Engineering, Vol.122, No.12, pp. 5073-5090, 2025, DOI:10.32604/ee.2025.071545 - 27 November 2025

    Abstract The rapid development of technology has led to an ever-increasing demand for electrical energy. In the context of Timor-Leste, which still relies on fossil energy sources with high operational costs and significant environmental impacts, electricity load forecasting is a strategic measure to support the energy transition towards the Net Zero Emission (NZE) target by 2050. This study aims to utilize historical electricity load data for the period 2013–2024, as well as data on external factors affecting electricity consumption, to forecast electricity load in Timor-Leste in the next 10 years (2025–2035). The forecasting results are expected… More >

  • Open Access

    PROCEEDINGS

    Internal Connection Between the Microstructures and the Mechanical Properties in Additive Manufacturing

    Yifei Wang, Zhao Zhang*

    The International Conference on Computational & Experimental Engineering and Sciences, Vol.33, No.3, pp. 1-1, 2025, DOI:10.32604/icces.2025.011121

    Abstract Additive manufacturing (AM) reveals high anisotropy in mechanical properties due to the thermal accumulation induced microstructures. How to reveal the internal connection between the microstructures and the mechanical properties in additive manufacturing is a challenge. There are many methods to predict the mechanical properties based on the microstructural evolutions in additive manufacturing [1–3]. Here we summarized the main methods for the prediction of the mechanical properties in additive manufacturing, including crystal plasticity finite element method (CPFEM), dislocation dynamics (DD), and molecular dynamics (MD). We systematically examine these primary approaches for mechanical property predictions in AM,… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Subdivision-Based Isogeometric BEM with Deep Neural Network Acceleration for Acoustic Uncertainty Quantification under Ground Reflection Effects

    Yingying Guo1, Ziyu Cui2, Jibing Shen1, Pei Li3,*

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.85, No.3, pp. 4519-4550, 2025, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2025.071504 - 23 October 2025

    Abstract Accurate simulation of acoustic wave propagation in complex structures is of great importance in engineering design, noise control, and related research areas. Although traditional numerical simulation methods can provide precise results, they often face high computational costs when applied to complex models or problems involving parameter uncertainties, particularly in the presence of multiple coupled parameters or intricate geometries. To address these challenges, this study proposes an efficient algorithm for simulating the acoustic field of structures with adhered sound-absorbing materials while accounting for ground reflection effects. The proposed method integrates Catmull-Clark subdivision surfaces with the boundary… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Probabilistic Rock Slope Stability Assessment of Heterogeneous Pyroclastic Slopes Considering Collapse Using Monte Carlo Methodology

    Miguel A. Millán1,*, Rubén A. Galindo2, Fausto Molina-Gómez1

    CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.144, No.3, pp. 2923-2941, 2025, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2025.069356 - 30 September 2025

    Abstract Volcanic terrains exhibit a complex structure of pyroclastic deposits interspersed with sedimentary processes, resulting in irregular lithological sequences that lack lateral continuity and distinct stratigraphic patterns. This complexity poses significant challenges for slope stability analysis, requiring the development of specialized techniques to address these issues. This research presents a numerical methodology that incorporates spatial variability, nonlinear material characterization, and probabilistic analysis using a Monte Carlo framework to address this issue. The heterogeneous structure is represented by randomly assigning different lithotypes across the slope, while maintaining predefined global proportions. This contrasts with the more common approach… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Cuckoo Search-Deep Neural Network Hybrid Model for Uncertainty Quantification and Optimization of Dielectric Energy Storage in Na1/2Bi1/2TiO3-Based Ceramic Capacitors

    Shige Wang1, Yalong Liang2, Lian Huang3, Pei Li4,*

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.85, No.2, pp. 2729-2748, 2025, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2025.068351 - 23 September 2025

    Abstract This study introduces a hybrid Cuckoo Search-Deep Neural Network (CS-DNN) model for uncertainty quantification and composition optimization of Na1/2Bi1/2TiO3 (NBT)-based dielectric energy storage ceramics. Addressing the limitations of traditional ferroelectric materials—such as hysteresis loss and low breakdown strength under high electric fields—we fabricate (1 − x)NBBT8-xBMT solid solutions via chemical modification and systematically investigate their temperature stability and composition-dependent energy storage performance through XRD, SEM, and electrical characterization. The key innovation lies in integrating the CS metaheuristic algorithm with a DNN, overcoming local minima in training and establishing a robust composition-property prediction framework. Our model accurately… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Probabilistic Calculation of Tidal Currents for Wind Powered Systems Using PSO Improved LHS

    Hongsheng Su, Shilin Song*, Xingsheng Wang

    Energy Engineering, Vol.121, No.11, pp. 3289-3303, 2024, DOI:10.32604/ee.2024.054643 - 21 October 2024

    Abstract This paper introduces the Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) algorithm to enhance the Latin Hypercube Sampling (LHS) process. The key objective is to mitigate the issues of lengthy computation times and low computational accuracy typically encountered when applying Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS) to LHS for probabilistic trend calculations. The PSO method optimizes sample distribution, enhances global search capabilities, and significantly boosts computational efficiency. To validate its effectiveness, the proposed method was applied to IEEE34 and IEEE-118 node systems containing wind power. The performance was then compared with Latin Hypercubic Important Sampling (LHIS), which integrates significant sampling More >

  • Open Access

    PROCEEDINGS

    The Simulation of Microstructures and Mechanical Properties in Wire Arc Additive Manufacturing

    Zhao Zhang1,*, Xiang Gao1, Yifei Wang1

    The International Conference on Computational & Experimental Engineering and Sciences, Vol.29, No.3, pp. 1-1, 2024, DOI:10.32604/icces.2024.012115

    Abstract Wire arc additive manufacturing (WAAM) reveals its high efficiency for the fabrications in comparison with laser additive manufacturing. To reveal the relationship between arc settings and the microstructural evolutions, phase field model and Monte Carlo model are established for the simulation of the microstructural evolutions and dislocation dynamics model is established for the simulation of the anisotropic properties in WAAM. Numerical results are compared with Experiments to validate the proposed models. The length/width ratio of the formed grains in solidification becomes smaller when the scanning speed is decreased or the input powder is increased. The… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Reliability Analysis of HEE Parameters via Progressive Type-II Censoring with Applications

    Heba S. Mohammed1, Mazen Nassar2,3, Refah Alotaibi1, Ahmed Elshahhat4,*

    CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.137, No.3, pp. 2761-2793, 2023, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2023.028826 - 03 August 2023

    Abstract A new extended exponential lifetime model called Harris extended-exponential (HEE) distribution for data modelling with increasing and decreasing hazard rate shapes has been considered. In the reliability context, researchers prefer to use censoring plans to collect data in order to achieve a compromise between total test time and/or test sample size. So, this study considers both maximum likelihood and Bayesian estimates of the Harris extended-exponential distribution parameters and some of its reliability indices using a progressive Type-II censoring strategy. Under the premise of independent gamma priors, the Bayesian estimation is created using the squared-error and… More >

  • Open Access

    REVIEW

    Research Progress of Reverse Monte Carlo and Its Application in Josephson Junction Barrier Layer

    Junling Qiu*, Huihui Sun, Shuya Wang

    CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.137, No.3, pp. 2077-2109, 2023, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2023.027353 - 03 August 2023

    Abstract As indispensable components of superconducting circuit-based quantum computers, Josephson junctions determine how well superconducting qubits perform. Reverse Monte Carlo (RMC) can be used to recreate Josephson junction’s atomic structure based on experimental data, and the impact of the structure on junctions’ properties can be investigated by combining different analysis techniques. In order to build a physical model of the atomic structure and then analyze the factors that affect its performance, this paper briefly reviews the development and evolution of the RMC algorithm. It also summarizes the modeling process and structural feature analysis of the Josephson More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Determination of Effectiveness of Energy Management System in Buildings

    Vivash Karki1, Roseline Mostafa2, Bhaskaran Gopalakrishnan2,*, Derek R. Johnson3

    Energy Engineering, Vol.120, No.2, pp. 561-586, 2023, DOI:10.32604/ee.2023.025218 - 29 November 2022

    Abstract Building Energy Management Systems (BEMS) are computer-based systems that aid in managing, controlling, and monitoring the building technical services and energy consumption by equipment used in the building. The effectiveness of BEMS is dependent upon numerous factors, among which the operational characteristics of the building and the BEMS control parameters also play an essential role. This research develops a user-driven simulation tool where users can input the building parameters and BEMS controls to determine the effectiveness of their BEMS. The simulation tool gives the user the flexibility to understand the potential energy savings by employing… More > Graphic Abstract

    Determination of Effectiveness of Energy Management System in Buildings

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