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  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Short-Term Prediction of Photovoltaic Power Generation Based on LMD Permutation Entropy and Singular Spectrum Analysis

    Wenchao Ma*

    Energy Engineering, Vol.120, No.7, pp. 1685-1699, 2023, DOI:10.32604/ee.2023.025404 - 04 May 2023

    Abstract The power output state of photovoltaic power generation is affected by the earth's rotation and solar radiation intensity. On the one hand, its output sequence has daily periodicity; on the other hand, it has discrete randomness. With the development of new energy economy, the proportion of photovoltaic energy increased accordingly. In order to solve the problem of improving the energy conversion efficiency in the grid-connected optical network and ensure the stability of photovoltaic power generation, this paper proposes the short-term prediction of photovoltaic power generation based on the improved multi-scale permutation entropy, local mean decomposition… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Forecasting the Municipal Solid Waste Using GSO-XGBoost Model

    Vaishnavi Jayaraman1, Arun Raj Lakshminarayanan1,*, Saravanan Parthasarathy1, A. Suganthy2

    Intelligent Automation & Soft Computing, Vol.37, No.1, pp. 301-320, 2023, DOI:10.32604/iasc.2023.037823 - 29 April 2023

    Abstract Waste production rises in tandem with population growth and increased utilization. The indecorous disposal of waste paves the way for huge disaster named as climate change. The National Environment Agency (NEA) of Singapore oversees the sustainable management of waste across the country. The three main contributors to the solid waste of Singapore are paper and cardboard (P&C), plastic, and food scraps. Besides, they have a negligible rate of recycling. In this study, Machine Learning techniques were utilized to forecast the amount of garbage also known as waste audits. The waste audit would aid the authorities… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Deep Learning Based Energy Consumption Prediction on Internet of Things Environment

    S. Balaji*, S. Karthik

    Intelligent Automation & Soft Computing, Vol.37, No.1, pp. 727-743, 2023, DOI:10.32604/iasc.2023.037409 - 29 April 2023

    Abstract The creation of national energy strategy cannot proceed without accurate projections of future electricity consumption; this is because EC is intimately tied to other forms of energy, such as oil and natural gas. For the purpose of determining and bettering overall energy consumption, there is an urgent requirement for accurate monitoring and calculation of EC at the building level using cutting-edge technology such as data analytics and the internet of things (IoT). Soft computing is a subset of AI that tries to design procedures that are more accurate and reliable, and it has proven to… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    An Improved Granulated Convolutional Neural Network Data Analysis Model for COVID-19 Prediction

    Meilin Wu1,2, Lianggui Tang1,2,*, Qingda Zhang1,2, Ke Yan1,2

    Intelligent Automation & Soft Computing, Vol.37, No.1, pp. 179-198, 2023, DOI:10.32604/iasc.2023.036684 - 29 April 2023

    Abstract As COVID-19 poses a major threat to people’s health and economy, there is an urgent need for forecasting methodologies that can anticipate its trajectory efficiently. In non-stationary time series forecasting jobs, there is frequently a hysteresis in the anticipated values relative to the real values. The multilayer deep-time convolutional network and a feature fusion network are combined in this paper’s proposal of an enhanced Multilayer Deep Time Convolutional Neural Network (MDTCNet) for COVID-19 prediction to address this problem. In particular, it is possible to record the deep features and temporal dependencies in uncertain time series, More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Long-Term Energy Forecasting System Based on LSTM and Deep Extreme Machine Learning

    Cherifa Nakkach*, Amira Zrelli, Tahar Ezzedine

    Intelligent Automation & Soft Computing, Vol.37, No.1, pp. 545-560, 2023, DOI:10.32604/iasc.2023.036385 - 29 April 2023

    Abstract Due to the development of diversified and flexible building energy resources, the balancing energy supply and demand especially in smart buildings caused an increasing problem. Energy forecasting is necessary to address building energy issues and comfort challenges that drive urbanization and consequent increases in energy consumption. Recently, their management has a great significance as resources become scarcer and their emissions increase. In this article, we propose an intelligent energy forecasting method based on hybrid deep learning, in which the data collected by the smart home through meters is put into the pre-evaluation step. Next, the More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Bi-LSTM-Based Deep Stacked Sequence-to-Sequence Autoencoder for Forecasting Solar Irradiation and Wind Speed

    Neelam Mughees1,2, Mujtaba Hussain Jaffery1, Abdullah Mughees3, Anam Mughees4, Krzysztof Ejsmont5,*

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.75, No.3, pp. 6375-6393, 2023, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2023.038564 - 29 April 2023

    Abstract Wind and solar energy are two popular forms of renewable energy used in microgrids and facilitating the transition towards net-zero carbon emissions by 2050. However, they are exceedingly unpredictable since they rely highly on weather and atmospheric conditions. In microgrids, smart energy management systems, such as integrated demand response programs, are permanently established on a step-ahead basis, which means that accurate forecasting of wind speed and solar irradiance intervals is becoming increasingly crucial to the optimal operation and planning of microgrids. With this in mind, a novel “bidirectional long short-term memory network” (Bi-LSTM)-based, deep stacked,… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Graph Construction Method for GNN-Based Multivariate Time-Series Forecasting

    Wonyong Chung, Jaeuk Moon, Dongjun Kim, Eenjun Hwang*

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.75, No.3, pp. 5817-5836, 2023, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2023.036830 - 29 April 2023

    Abstract Multivariate time-series forecasting (MTSF) plays an important role in diverse real-world applications. To achieve better accuracy in MTSF, time-series patterns in each variable and interrelationship patterns between variables should be considered together. Recently, graph neural networks (GNNs) has gained much attention as they can learn both patterns using a graph. For accurate forecasting through GNN, a well-defined graph is required. However, existing GNNs have limitations in reflecting the spectral similarity and time delay between nodes, and consider all nodes with the same weight when constructing graph. In this paper, we propose a novel graph construction More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Physics-Informed AI Surrogates for Day-Ahead Wind Power Probabilistic Forecasting with Incomplete Data for Smart Grid in Smart Cities

    Zeyu Wu1, Bo Sun1,2, Qiang Feng2,*, Zili Wang1, Junlin Pan1

    CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.137, No.1, pp. 527-554, 2023, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2023.027124 - 23 April 2023

    Abstract Due to the high inherent uncertainty of renewable energy, probabilistic day-ahead wind power forecasting is crucial for modeling and controlling the uncertainty of renewable energy smart grids in smart cities. However, the accuracy and reliability of high-resolution day-ahead wind power forecasting are constrained by unreliable local weather prediction and incomplete power generation data. This article proposes a physics-informed artificial intelligence (AI) surrogates method to augment the incomplete dataset and quantify its uncertainty to improve wind power forecasting performance. The incomplete dataset, built with numerical weather prediction data, historical wind power generation, and weather factors data,… More > Graphic Abstract

    Physics-Informed AI Surrogates for Day-Ahead Wind Power Probabilistic Forecasting with Incomplete Data for Smart Grid in Smart Cities

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Residential Energy Consumption Forecasting Based on Federated Reinforcement Learning with Data Privacy Protection

    You Lu1,2,#,*, Linqian Cui1,2,#,*, Yunzhe Wang1,2, Jiacheng Sun1,2, Lanhui Liu3

    CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.137, No.1, pp. 717-732, 2023, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2023.027032 - 23 April 2023

    Abstract Most studies have conducted experiments on predicting energy consumption by integrating data for model training. However, the process of centralizing data can cause problems of data leakage. Meanwhile, many laws and regulations on data security and privacy have been enacted, making it difficult to centralize data, which can lead to a data silo problem. Thus, to train the model while maintaining user privacy, we adopt a federated learning framework. However, in all classical federated learning frameworks secure aggregation, the Federated Averaging (FedAvg) method is used to directly weight the model parameters on average, which may… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Improvements in Weather Forecasting Technique Using Cognitive Internet of Things

    Kaushlendra Yadav*, Anuj Singh, Arvind Kumar Tiwari

    Computer Systems Science and Engineering, Vol.46, No.3, pp. 3767-3782, 2023, DOI:10.32604/csse.2023.033991 - 03 April 2023

    Abstract Forecasting the weather is a challenging task for human beings because of the unpredictable nature of the climate. However, effective forecasting is vital for the general growth of a country due to the significance of weather forecasting in science and technology. The primary motivation behind this work is to achieve a higher level of forecasting accuracy to avoid any damage. Currently, most weather forecasting work is based on initially observed numerical weather data that cannot fully cover the changing essence of the atmosphere. In this work, sensors are used to collect real-time data for a… More >

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