Namal Rathnayake1, Jeevani Jayasinghe2,3, Rashmi Semasinghe2, Upaka Rathnayake4,*
CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.143, No.2, pp. 2287-2305, 2025, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2025.064464
- 30 May 2025
Abstract In this study, a machine learning-based predictive model was developed for the Musa petti Wind Farm in Sri Lanka to address the need for localized forecasting solutions. Using data on wind speed, air temperature, nacelle position, and actual power, lagged features were generated to capture temporal dependencies. Among 24 evaluated models, the ensemble bagging approach achieved the best performance, with R2 values of 0.89 at 0 min and 0.75 at 60 min. Shapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) analysis revealed that while wind speed is the primary driver for short-term predictions, air temperature and nacelle position become more More >