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Accurate Global Horizontal Irradiance (GHI) forecasting has become vital for successfully integrating solar energy into the electrical grid because of the expanding demand for green power and the worldwide shift favouring green energy resources. Particularly considering the implications of the aggressive GHG emission targets, accurate GHI forecasting has become vital for developing, designing, and operational managing solar energy systems. This research presented the core concepts of modelling and performance analysis of the application of various forecasting models for assessing multi-seasonal forecasting of GHI. Used the India region data to evaluate the models’ performance and forecasting ability. Research using forecasting models for seasonal Global Horizontal Irradiance (GHI) forecasting in winter, spring, summer, monsoon, and autumn. Based on seasonal variations and computing constraints, the findings enable energy system operators to make helpful recommendations for choosing the most effective forecasting models.
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  • Open AccessOpen Access

    ARTICLE

    Performance Analysis of Various Forecasting Models for Multi-Seasonal Global Horizontal Irradiance Forecasting Using the India Region Dataset

    Manoharan Madhiarasan*
    Energy Engineering, Vol.122, No.8, pp. 2993-3011, 2025, DOI:10.32604/ee.2025.068358 - 24 July 2025
    (This article belongs to the Special Issue: Innovative Energy Engineering for Resilient and Green Systems)
    Abstract Accurate Global Horizontal Irradiance (GHI) forecasting has become vital for successfully integrating solar energy into the electrical grid because of the expanding demand for green power and the worldwide shift favouring green energy resources. Particularly considering the implications of the aggressive GHG emission targets, accurate GHI forecasting has become vital for developing, designing, and operational managing solar energy systems. This research presented the core concepts of modelling and performance analysis of the application of various forecasting models such as ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average), Elaman NN (Elman Neural Network), RBFN (Radial Basis Function Neural Network),… More >

  • Open AccessOpen Access

    ARTICLE

    Numerical Simulation of Hydraulic Fracture Propagation in Deep Elasto-Plastic Reservoirs

    Xin Wan1, Shuyi Li2,3, Tiankui Guo2,3,*, Ming Chen2,3, Xing Yang2,3, Guchang Zhang2,3, Zi’ang Wang2,3
    Energy Engineering, Vol.122, No.8, pp. 3013-3039, 2025, DOI:10.32604/ee.2025.066033 - 24 July 2025
    (This article belongs to the Special Issue: Integrated Geology-Engineering Simulation and Optimizationfor Unconventional Oil and Gas Reservoirs)
    Abstract Hydraulic fracturing is a key technology for the efficient development of deep oil and gas reservoirs. However, fracture propagation behavior is influenced by rock elastoplasticity and thermal stress, making it difficult for traditional linear elastic models to accurately describe its dynamic response. To address this, this study employs the Continuum-Discontinuum Element Method (CDEM), incorporating an elastoplastic constitutive model, thermo-hydro-mechanical (THM) coupling effects, and cohesive zone characteristics at the fracture tip to establish a numerical model for hydraulic fracture propagation in deep elastoplastic reservoirs. A systematic investigation was conducted into the effects of fluid viscosity, reservoir… More >

    Graphic Abstract

    Numerical Simulation of Hydraulic Fracture Propagation in Deep Elasto-Plastic Reservoirs

  • Open AccessOpen Access

    ARTICLE

    Impact of Dataset Size on Machine Learning Regression Accuracy in Solar Power Prediction

    S. M. Rezaul Karim1,2, Md. Shouquat Hossain1,3, Khadiza Akter1, Debasish Sarker4, Md. Moniul Kabir 2, Mamdouh Assad5,*
    Energy Engineering, Vol.122, No.8, pp. 3041-3054, 2025, DOI:10.32604/ee.2025.066867 - 24 July 2025
    (This article belongs to the Special Issue: Advances in Renewable Energy Systems: Integrating Machine Learning for Enhanced Efficiency and Optimization)
    Abstract Knowing the influence of the size of datasets for regression models can help in improving the accuracy of a solar power forecast and make the most out of renewable energy systems. This research explores the influence of dataset size on the accuracy and reliability of regression models for solar power prediction, contributing to better forecasting methods. The study analyzes data from two solar panels, aSiMicro03036 and aSiTandem72-46, over 7, 14, 17, 21, 28, and 38 days, with each dataset comprising five independent and one dependent parameter, and split 80–20 for training and testing. Results indicate… More >

    Graphic Abstract

    Impact of Dataset Size on Machine Learning Regression Accuracy in Solar Power Prediction

  • Open AccessOpen Access

    ARTICLE

    Hierarchical Optimal Scheduling Strategy for High Proportion New Energy Power Systems Considering Balanced Response to Grid Flexibility

    Cuiping Li1, Jiacheng Sun1, Qiang Li2, Qi Guo2, Junhui Li1,*, Shuo Yu2, Jingbo Wang2, Wenze Li2
    Energy Engineering, Vol.122, No.8, pp. 3055-3077, 2025, DOI:10.32604/ee.2025.064440 - 24 July 2025
    Abstract The penetration rate of new wind and photovoltaic energy in the power system has increased significantly, and the dramatic fluctuation of the net load of the grid has led to a severe lack of flexibility in the regional grid. This paper proposes a hierarchical optimal dispatch strategy for a high proportion of new energy power systems that considers the balanced response of grid flexibility. Firstly, various flexibility resource regulation capabilities on the source-load side are analyzed, and then flexibility demand and flexibility response are matched, and flexibility demand response assessment is proposed; then, a hierarchical… More >

  • Open AccessOpen Access

    ARTICLE

    Few-Short Photovoltaic Systems Predictions Algorithm in Cold-Wave Weather via WOA-CNN-LSTM Model

    Ruiheng Pan*, Shuyan Wang, Yihan Huang, Gang Ma
    Energy Engineering, Vol.122, No.8, pp. 3079-3098, 2025, DOI:10.32604/ee.2025.065124 - 24 July 2025
    Abstract Contemporary power network planning faces critical challenges from intensifying climate variability, including greenhouse effect amplification, extreme precipitation anomalies, and persistent thermal extremes. These meteorological disruptions compromise the reliability of renewable energy generation forecasts, particularly in photovoltaic (PV) systems. However, current predictive methodologies exhibit notable deficiencies in extreme weather monitoring, systematic transient phenomena analysis, and preemptive operational strategies, especially for cold-wave weather. In order to address these limitations, we propose a dual-phase data enhancement protocol that takes advantage of Time-series Generative Adversarial Networks (TimeGAN) for temporal pattern expansion and the K-medoids clustering algorithm for synthetic data… More >

  • Open AccessOpen Access

    ARTICLE

    Accelerating Hydrocarbon Maturation: The Role of Metals and Unconventional Resources in the Northeast Java Basin

    Bagus Sapto Mulyatno1,*, Muh Sarkowi1, Ordas Dewanto1, Asep Irawan1, Suharso2, Andy Setyo Wibowo3, Indra Mamad Gandidi4,*
    Energy Engineering, Vol.122, No.8, pp. 3099-3116, 2025, DOI:10.32604/ee.2025.064336 - 24 July 2025
    (This article belongs to the Special Issue: Integrated Geology-Engineering Simulation and Optimizationfor Unconventional Oil and Gas Reservoirs)
    Abstract Rising global energy needs have intensified the search for unconventional hydrocarbon sources, especially in under-selected areas like the Northeast Java Basin. This region harbors promising unconventional hydrocarbon reserves, where source rocks function as dual-phase systems for both hydrocarbon generation and storage. This research investigates how metal-based catalysts, particularly iron (Fe), can expedite hydrocarbon maturation in such reservoirs. Combining well logging, geochemical assessments, seismic data, and advanced lab techniques, including X-ray Diffraction (XRD), we pinpoint optimal zones for exploration. Results indicate that the Tuban, Kujung, and Ngimbang formations contain economically viable unconventional deposits, exhibiting tight reservoir… More >

    Graphic Abstract

    Accelerating Hydrocarbon Maturation: The Role of Metals and Unconventional Resources in the Northeast Java Basin

  • Open AccessOpen Access

    ARTICLE

    Random Forest and Order Parameters: A Combined Framework for Scenario Recognition for Power Systems with Renewable Penetration

    Xiaolong Xiao1, Xiaoxing Lu1,*, Ziran Guo1, Jian Liu1, Shenglong Wu2, Ye Cai2
    Energy Engineering, Vol.122, No.8, pp. 3117-3132, 2025, DOI:10.32604/ee.2025.065631 - 24 July 2025
    Abstract With the popularization of microgrid construction and the connection of renewable energy sources to the power system, the problem of source and load uncertainty faced by the coordinated operation of multi-microgrid is becoming increasingly prominent, and the accuracy of typical scenario predictions is low. In order to improve the accuracy of scenario prediction under source and load uncertainty, this paper proposes a typical scenario identification model based on random forests and order parameters. Firstly, a method for ordinal parameter identification and quantification is provided for the coordinated operating mode of multi-microgrids, taking into account source-load… More >

  • Open AccessOpen Access

    ARTICLE

    The Emergency Control Method for Multi-Scenario Sub-Synchronous Oscillation in Wind Power Grid Integration Systems Based on Transfer Learning

    Qing Zhu1, Denghui Guo1, Rui Ruan1, Zhidong Chai1, Chaoqun Wang2, Zhiwen Guan2,*
    Energy Engineering, Vol.122, No.8, pp. 3133-3154, 2025, DOI:10.32604/ee.2025.063165 - 24 July 2025
    Abstract This study presents an emergency control method for sub-synchronous oscillations in wind power grid-connected systems based on transfer learning, addressing the issue of insufficient generalization ability of traditional methods in complex real-world scenarios. By combining deep reinforcement learning with a transfer learning framework, cross-scenario knowledge transfer is achieved, significantly enhancing the adaptability of the control strategy. First, a sub-synchronous oscillation emergency control model for the wind power grid integration system is constructed under fixed scenarios based on deep reinforcement learning. A reward evaluation system based on the active power oscillation pattern of the system is… More >

  • Open AccessOpen Access

    ARTICLE

    Research on Optimal Scheduling of Integrated Energy Systems with Wind-Photovoltaic-Biogas-Storage Considering Carbon Capture Systems and Power-to-Gas Coordination

    Yunfei Xu1, Jianfeng Liu1,*, Tianxing Sun1, Heran Kang1, Xiaoqing Hao2
    Energy Engineering, Vol.122, No.8, pp. 3155-3176, 2025, DOI:10.32604/ee.2025.065753 - 24 July 2025
    Abstract In order to promote the utilization level of new energy resources for local and efficient consumption, this paper introduces the biogas (BG) fermentation technology into the integrated energy system (IES). This initiative is to study the collaborative and optimal scheduling of IES with wind power (WP), photovoltaic (PV), and BG, while integrating carbon capture system (CCS) and power-to-gas (P2G) system. Firstly, the framework of collaborative operation of IES for BG-CCS-P2G is constructed. Secondly, the flexible scheduling resources of the source and load sides are fully exploited, and the collaborative operation mode of CCS-P2G is proposed… More >

  • Open AccessOpen Access

    ARTICLE

    Solar Thermal Drying Kinetics of Faecal Sludge: Effect of Convection Air Stream Conditions and Type of Sludge

    Martin Nyanzi Mawejje, Jon Pocock, Santiago Septien*
    Energy Engineering, Vol.122, No.8, pp. 3177-3199, 2025, DOI:10.32604/ee.2025.063898 - 24 July 2025
    (This article belongs to the Special Issue: Recent Advance and Development in Solar Energy)
    Abstract Onsite sanitation offers a sustainable alternative to centralized wastewater treatment; however, effective faecal sludge management is crucial for safe disposal and resource recovery. Among emerging treatment solutions, solar thermal drying holds significant promise to reduce sludge moisture content and enhance handling. Despite this potential, its application remains limited, with important knowledge gaps, particularly concerning the drying kinetics under different environmental and operational conditions. This study aims to fill these gaps by investigating the solar thermal drying behaviour of faecal sludge from ventilated improved pit latrines (VIPs) and urine-diverting dry toilets (UDs), with a specific focus… More >

  • Open AccessOpen Access

    ARTICLE

    Optimization of Operating Parameters for Underground Gas Storage Based on Genetic Algorithm

    Yuming Luo1, Wei Zhang2, Anqi Zhao2, Ling Gou1, Li Chen1, Yaling Yang1, Xiaoping Wang1, Shichang Liu1, Huiqing Qi3, Shilai Hu2,*
    Energy Engineering, Vol.122, No.8, pp. 3201-3221, 2025, DOI:10.32604/ee.2025.066507 - 24 July 2025
    (This article belongs to the Special Issue: Integrated Geology-Engineering Simulation and Optimizationfor Unconventional Oil and Gas Reservoirs)
    Abstract This work proposes an optimization method for gas storage operation parameters under multi-factor coupled constraints to improve the peak-shaving capacity of gas storage reservoirs while ensuring operational safety. Previous research primarily focused on integrating reservoir, wellbore, and surface facility constraints, often resulting in broad constraint ranges and slow model convergence. To solve this problem, the present study introduces additional constraints on maximum withdrawal rates by combining binomial deliverability equations with material balance equations for closed gas reservoirs, while considering extreme peak-shaving demands. This approach effectively narrows the constraint range. Subsequently, a collaborative optimization model with… More >

  • Open AccessOpen Access

    ARTICLE

    Coordinated Charging Scheduling Strategy for Electric Vehicles Considering Vehicle Urgency

    Zhenhao Wang1, Hongwei Li1,*, Dan Pang2, Jinming Ge1
    Energy Engineering, Vol.122, No.8, pp. 3223-3242, 2025, DOI:10.32604/ee.2025.063615 - 24 July 2025
    Abstract Aiming at the problem of increasing the peak-to-valley difference of grid load and the rising cost of user charging caused by the disorderly charging of large-scale electric vehicles, this paper proposes a coordinated charging scheduling strategy for multiple types of electric vehicles based on the degree of urgency of vehicle use. First, considering the range loss characteristics, dynamic time-sharing tariff mechanism, and user incentive policy in the low-temperature environment of northern winter, a differentiated charging model is constructed for four types of vehicles: family cars, official cars, buses, and cabs. Then, we innovatively introduce the… More >

  • Open AccessOpen Access

    ARTICLE

    Research on Post Evaluation of Mechanized Construction in Power Transmission and Transformation Projects with Game Theory and Fuzzy Grey Projection

    Mingchen Gao*
    Energy Engineering, Vol.122, No.8, pp. 3243-3263, 2025, DOI:10.32604/ee.2025.065957 - 24 July 2025
    (This article belongs to the Special Issue: Advanced Analytics on Energy Systems)
    Abstract Currently, the international economic situation is becoming increasingly complex, and there is significant downward pressure on the global economy. In recent years, China’s infrastructure sector has experienced rapid growth, with the structure of its power engineering business gradually shifting from traditional infrastructure construction to more diversified areas such as production and operation, as well as emergency repairs. As a result, the transformation of mechanized construction in power transmission and transformation projects has become increasingly urgent. This article proposes a post-evaluation model based on game theory to improve comprehensive weighting and fuzzy grey relational projection sorting,… More >

    Graphic Abstract

    Research on Post Evaluation of Mechanized Construction in Power Transmission and Transformation Projects with Game Theory and Fuzzy Grey Projection

  • Open AccessOpen Access

    ARTICLE

    Greenhouse Gas Payback of a Solar Photovoltaic System in Northeast Brazil: Effects of the Application of a Solar Coating

    Luiz Felipe Souza Fonseca1, Heitor do Nascimento Andrade1, João Marcelo Fernandes Gualberto de Galiza2, Raphael Abrahão1, Hamid Boleydei3, Silvia Guillén-Lambea4, Monica Carvalho1,*
    Energy Engineering, Vol.122, No.8, pp. 3265-3283, 2025, DOI:10.32604/ee.2025.066218 - 24 July 2025
    (This article belongs to the Special Issue: Recent Advances in Sustainable Solar Thermal and PV Systems)
    Abstract The application of different coatings on solar photovoltaic (PV) panels can be an efficient solution to increase performance and further mitigate the emission of greenhouse gases. This study uses the Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) methodology and the environmental payback concept to analyze the effects of the application of a nano-silica coating on a solar PV system installed in the Brazilian Northeast. Firstly, an uncoated reference 16.4 MW PV system is designed, and the detailed inventory is presented (PV panels, supporting structure, inverters, junction boxes, cables, transportation, maintenance and operation—including the replacement of equipment). The results… More >

    Graphic Abstract

    Greenhouse Gas Payback of a Solar Photovoltaic System in Northeast Brazil: Effects of the Application of a Solar Coating

  • Open AccessOpen Access

    ARTICLE

    Two-Stage Optimal Dispatching of Electricity-Hydrogen-Waste Multi-Energy System with Phase Change Material Thermal Storage

    Linwei Yao1,*, Xiangning Lin1,2, Huashen He1, Jiahui Yang1
    Energy Engineering, Vol.122, No.8, pp. 3285-3308, 2025, DOI:10.32604/ee.2025.066628 - 24 July 2025
    (This article belongs to the Special Issue: Integration of Hybrid Renewable Energy Systems for Sustainable Development)
    Abstract In order to address the synergistic optimization of energy efficiency improvement in the waste incineration power plant (WIPP) and renewable energy accommodation, an electricity-hydrogen-waste multi-energy system integrated with phase change material (PCM) thermal storage is proposed. First, a thermal energy management framework is constructed, combining PCM thermal storage with the alkaline electrolyzer (AE) waste heat recovery and the heat pump (HP), while establishing a PCM-driven waste drying system to enhance the efficiency of waste incineration power generation. Next, a flue gas treatment method based on purification-separation-storage coordination is adopted, achieving spatiotemporal decoupling between waste incineration… More >

  • Open AccessOpen Access

    ARTICLE

    Comprehensive Index Evaluation of the Cooling System with the Level Loop Thermosyphon System in Different Computing Hub Nodes in China

    Li Ling*, Danhao Song, Qianlong Hu, Zihao Xiang, Zeyu Zhang
    Energy Engineering, Vol.122, No.8, pp. 3309-3328, 2025, DOI:10.32604/ee.2025.065824 - 24 July 2025
    (This article belongs to the Special Issue: Advanced Analytics on Energy Systems)
    Abstract Rack-level loop thermosyphons have been widely adopted as a solution to data centers’ growing energy demands. While numerous studies have highlighted the heat transfer performance and energy-saving benefits of this system, its economic feasibility, water usage effectiveness (WUE), and carbon usage effectiveness (CUE) remain underexplored. This study introduces a comprehensive evaluation index designed to assess the applicability of the rack-level loop thermosyphon system across various computing hub nodes. The air wet bulb temperature Ta,w was identified as the most significant factor influencing the variability in the combination of PUE, CUE, and WUE values. The results indicate… More >

  • Open AccessOpen Access

    ARTICLE

    Distributed Photovoltaic Power Prediction Technology Based on Spatio-Temporal Graph Neural Networks

    Dayan Sun1, Xiao Cao2,*, Zhifeng Liang1, Junrong Xia2, Yuqi Wang3
    Energy Engineering, Vol.122, No.8, pp. 3329-3346, 2025, DOI:10.32604/ee.2025.066341 - 24 July 2025
    (This article belongs to the Special Issue: AI-Driven Innovations in Sustainable Energy Systems: Advances in Optimization, Storage, and Conversion)
    Abstract Photovoltaic (PV) power generation is undergoing significant growth and serves as a key driver of the global energy transition. However, its intermittent nature, which fluctuates with weather conditions, has raised concerns about grid stability. Accurate PV power prediction has been demonstrated as crucial for power system operation and scheduling, enabling power slope control, fluctuation mitigation, grid stability enhancement, and reliable data support for secure grid operation. However, existing prediction models primarily target centralized PV plants, largely neglecting the spatiotemporal coupling dynamics and output uncertainties inherent to distributed PV systems. This study proposes a novel Spatio-Temporal… More >

  • Open AccessOpen Access

    ARTICLE

    Derivative Free and Dispatch Algorithm-Based Optimization and Power System Assessment of a Biomass-PV-Hydrogen Storage-Grid Hybrid Renewable Microgrid for Agricultural Applications

    Md. Fatin Ishraque1, Akhlaqur Rahman2, Kamil Ahmad1, Sk. A. Shezan3,*, Md. Meheraf Hossain1, Sheikh Rashel Al Ahmed1, Md. Iasir Arafat1, Noor E Nahid Bintu4
    Energy Engineering, Vol.122, No.8, pp. 3347-3375, 2025, DOI:10.32604/ee.2025.067492 - 24 July 2025
    (This article belongs to the Special Issue: Integration of Renewable Energies with the Grid: An Integrated Study of Solar, Wind, Storage, Electric Vehicles, PV and Wind Materials and AI-Driven Technologies)
    Abstract In this research work, the localized generation from renewable resources and the distribution of energy to agricultural loads, which is a local microgrid concept, have been considered, and its feasibility has been assessed. Two dispatch algorithms, named Cycle Charging and Load Following, are implemented to find the optimal solution (i.e., net cost, operation cost, carbon emission. energy cost, component sizing, etc.) of the hybrid system. The microgrid is also modeled in the DIgSILENT Power Factory platform, and the respective power system responses are then evaluated. The development of dispatch algorithms specifically tailored for agricultural applications… More >

  • Open AccessOpen Access

    ARTICLE

    Park Integrated Energy System Optimization Considering Carbon Excess Ratio and Electric Vehicle Coupling

    Yanjie Liu, Ximin Cao*, Yanchi Zhang
    Energy Engineering, Vol.122, No.8, pp. 3377-3398, 2025, DOI:10.32604/ee.2025.066577 - 24 July 2025
    (This article belongs to the Special Issue: Advanced Analytics on Energy Systems)
    Abstract Under the “dual carbon” goals, this paper constructs an optimization model of the comprehensive energy system in the park. A stepwise carbon excess rate mechanism and an electric vehicle coupling strategy are proposed: A carbon quota trading system is established based on the baseline method, and the stepwise function is adopted to quantify the cost of excess carbon emissions; Introduce the price demand response and the two-way interaction mechanism of electric Vehicle vehicle-to-grid (V2G) to enhance the flexible regulation ability. Aiming at the uncertainty of wind and solar output, a typical scene set is generated… More >

  • Open AccessOpen Access

    ARTICLE

    A Novel Cascaded TID-FOI Controller Tuned with Walrus Optimization Algorithm for Frequency Regulation of Deregulated Power System

    Geetanjali Dei1,2, Deepak Kumar Gupta1, Binod Kumar Sahu2, Amitkumar V. Jha3, Bhargav Appasani3,*, Nicu Bizon4,5,*
    Energy Engineering, Vol.122, No.8, pp. 3399-3431, 2025, DOI:10.32604/ee.2025.067357 - 24 July 2025
    (This article belongs to the Special Issue: Emerging Technologies for Future Smart Grids)
    Abstract This paper presents an innovative and effective control strategy tailored for a deregulated, diversified energy system involving multiple interconnected area. Each area integrates a unique mix of power generation technologies: Area 1 combines thermal, hydro, and distributed generation; Area 2 utilizes a blend of thermal units, distributed solar technologies (DST), and hydro power; and Third control area hosts geothermal power station alongside thermal power generation unit and hydropower units. The suggested control system employs a multi-layered approach, featuring a blended methodology utilizing the Tilted Integral Derivative controller (TID) and the Fractional-Order Integral method to enhance… More >

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